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Patriots vs. Bills Final Score & Odds RecapThe Patriots beat the Bills 29–26 on the road

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, Sunday, Oct 4. Final: Patriots 29, Bills 26. Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket settled the game on New England.

Winner
New England Patriots

Settled on Kalshi (Oct 4, 4:15 PM ET), Polymarket US (Oct 4, 4:20 PM ET) and Polymarket (Oct 4, 4:33 PM ET)

NFL Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4

Patriots vs. Bills moneyline

Final

Trading has closed, so there's no price to buy.

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, observed between Oct 4, 4:33 PM and 11:28 PM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketSources
New England Patriots Settled YesAway–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled
Buffalo Bills Settled NoHome–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled

Kalshi: SettledPolymarket US: SettledPolymarket: Settled Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 4:33 PM and 11:28 PM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeSep 22 – Oct 3
2030405060708026%74%
PatriotsBills

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Spread & total · Kalshi

How the Patriots vs. Bills spread and total settled

Kalshi's results for the lines either side of where each ladder settled.

Patriots win by more than…

Spread ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
3+ ptsSettled Yes
4+ ptsSettled No
All 27 spread lines

Spread ladder, Kalshi: every line
Patriots 2+ ptsSettled Yes
Patriots 3+ ptsSettled Yes
Patriots 4+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 5+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 6+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 7+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 8+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 10+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 11+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 14+ ptsSettled No
Patriots 15+ ptsSettled No
Bills 2+ ptsSettled No
Bills 3+ ptsSettled No
Bills 4+ ptsSettled No
Bills 5+ ptsSettled No
Bills 6+ ptsSettled No
Bills 7+ ptsSettled No
Bills 8+ ptsSettled No
Bills 10+ ptsSettled No
Bills 11+ ptsSettled No
Bills 14+ ptsSettled No
Bills 15+ ptsSettled No
Bills 17+ ptsSettled No
Bills 18+ ptsSettled No
Bills 21+ ptsSettled No
Bills 24+ ptsSettled No
Bills 28+ ptsSettled No
Total points over…

Total points ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
54.5Settled Yes
57.5Settled No
All 19 total lines

Total points ladder, Kalshi: every line
27.5Settled Yes
30.5Settled Yes
33.5Settled Yes
36.5Settled Yes
39.5Settled Yes
42.5Settled Yes
45.5Settled Yes
46.5Settled Yes
47.5Settled Yes
48.5Settled Yes
49.5Settled Yes
50.5Settled Yes
51.5Settled Yes
54.5Settled Yes
57.5Settled No
60.5Settled No
63.5Settled No
66.5Settled No
69.5Settled No

Settled Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 2:23 PM and 4:52 PM ET.

NFL Week 4 games 16 games

Patriots vs. Bills stats

These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.

Team statPatriotsBills
Record1-12-0
Points per game1538.5
Total yards per game302427.5
Passing yards per game193291
Rushing yards per game122.5144.5
First downs per game1727
Third-down conversion32.1%57.1%
Red-zone TD rate33.3%75.0%
Turnover differential−3+2
Sacks per game33.5
Time of possession30:4528:44

Stat leaders: Patriots — passing, Drake Maye (37/55, 386 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT); rushing, Rhamondre Stevenson (24 CAR, 94 YDS); receiving, Romeo Doubs (3 REC, 96 YDS); Bills — passing, Josh Allen (40/60, 582 YDS, 5 TD); rushing, James Cook III (34 CAR, 192 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Dalton Kincaid (12 REC, 225 YDS, 1 TD).

Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.

Free Bracket Pool – Live Game or Printable

Build a free 2026 NFL Pick’em pool with no sign-up required. Invite friends, colleagues and share on social. We keep track and do the work for you.  You can also opt for a paper copy with our printable NFL schedules.