WTI Oil Price PredictionsTraders see a 34% chance of $115 or more
How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026? Kalshi traders give $115.01 or above the highest chance, 34%, ahead of $120.01 or above at 29%. More than one outcome can resolve Yes. Over the past week on Kalshi, $120.01 or above gained the most, 5 points to 29%, and $135.01 or above lost the most, 2 points to 15%.
About 1 in 3Unchanged this week
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $290 if correct, before fees.
About 19 in 20
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket at the ask pays $103 if correct, before fees.
WTI Oil Price Predictions: Will Oil Hit $150 a Barrel in 2026?
Each column is one market's question, and each row a price level across them. The columns ask different questions, so their prices differ; nothing here is averaged. Tap a price to trade it.
| Price | How high will oil (WTI) get by Dec 31, 2026?Kalshi | What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?Polymarket |
|---|---|---|
| $200 or higher | 6.2%Kalshi7.2¢ | Not listed |
| $180 or higher | 6.6%Kalshi7.9¢ | Not listed |
| $160 or higher | 8.7%Kalshi9.2¢ | Not listed |
| $150 or higher | 7.6%Kalshi7.7¢ | 0.7%Polymarket0.80¢ |
| $140 or higher | 9.5%Kalshi10¢ | 0.7%Polymarket0.80¢ |
| $135 or higher | 15%Kalshi15.3¢ | Not listed |
| $130 or higher | 17%Kalshi17.4¢ | 1%Polymarket1.1¢ |
| $125 or higher | 23%Kalshi23.9¢ | Not listed |
| $120 or higher | 29%Kalshi29.9¢ | 2.7%Polymarket3¢ |
| $115 or higher | 34%Kalshi34.4¢ | 6.5%Polymarket7¢ |
| $110 or higher | Not listed | 13%Polymarket13¢ |
| $105 or higher | Not listed | 22%Polymarket23¢ |
| $100 or higher | Not listed | 41%Polymarket41¢ |
| $95 or higher | Not listed | 75%Polymarket75¢ |
| $90 or lower | Not listed | 96%Polymarket96.5¢ |
| $85 or lower | Not listed | 59%Polymarket59¢ |
| $80 or lower | Not listed | 36%Polymarket36¢ |
| $75 or lower | Not listed | 18%Polymarket19¢ |
| $70 or lower | Not listed | 7.5%Polymarket8¢ |
| $65 or lower | Not listed | 2.4%Polymarket2.5¢ |
| $60 or lower | Not listed | 0.8%Polymarket0.90¢ |
| $50 or lower | Not listed | 0.9%Polymarket0.30¢ |
| $40 or lower | Not listed | 0.4%Polymarket0.40¢ |
| $30 or lower | Not listed | <0.1%Polymarket0.10¢ |
| $20 or lower | Not listed | 0.2%Polymarket0.20¢ |
Chance is each venue's price for Yes. Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate and Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 7:02 AM and 10:02 AM ET.
Biggest moves, last 7 days
Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 4, 10:02 AM ET).
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