Prediction Market Data & Analysis for Journalists and Newsrooms

Market data, regulatory analysis, and expert commentary for journalists covering prediction and crypto markets.

The prediction market and crypto newsroom

DeFi Rate is an independent analytics and editorial publication covering prediction markets, crypto, and decentralized finance. We track volume, regulation, and market structure across Kalshi, Polymarket, DraftKings, and every major exchange. Our team includes reporters, data analysts, and researchers with backgrounds in financial journalism and regulated markets.

📰 Cited by

New York Times · ESPN · Wired · Financial Times · Coinbase · European Central Bank · Reuters · People · Benzinga · CCN

Data-driven, source-verified

We publish weekly cross-platform volume reports, regulatory analysis on CFTC rulemaking and state-level litigation, independent platform reviews, and original reporting on market structure. Our proprietary trackers power the data other outlets reference. We’re available for interviews, background briefings, and custom analysis.

📧 Need data or a quote?

We can help with the data and analysis. We respond to media inquiries within 24 hours.

📊 Data analysis

NFL mention markets: $48M tracked, season-long dataset

We assisted ESPN’s David Purdum by collecting season-long data on NFL announcer mention markets — 673 markets, 97 terms, 31 games, $48M in volume. Our tracking and commentary contributed to his feature on the category’s breakout growth.

MetricValue
Season volume tracked$48M
Markets analyzed673
Unique terms97
Games covered31

Read the ESPN story →

📈 Custom tracking

We track weekly notional volume across every major prediction market platform. This data is available for your reporting. We can also set up custom tracking if you have an upcoming story on any of the markets available — sports, pop culture, economics, or politics.

Weekly prediction market volume

Cross-platform notional volume, updated weekly.

$2.85B
Dec 1
$3.27B
Dec 8
$3.72B
Dec 15
$4.38B
Dec 22
$4.90B
Dec 29
$5.23B
Jan 5
$5.99B
Jan 12
$6.18B
Jan 19
$6.32B
Jan 26
$6.26B
Feb 2
$5.84B
Feb 9
Kalshi Polymarket Other platforms
WeekKalshiPolymarketAll platforms
Dec 1$1.43B$0.42B$2.85B
Dec 8$1.76B$0.51B$3.27B
Dec 15$1.84B$0.72B$3.72B
Dec 22$1.92B$1.12B$4.38B
Dec 29$1.98B$1.45B$4.90B
Jan 5$2.01B$1.61B$5.23B
Jan 12$2.15B$1.76B$5.99B
Jan 19$2.26B$1.70B$6.18B
Jan 26$2.20B$2.08B$6.32B
Feb 2$2.80B$1.92B$6.26B
Feb 9$2.48B$1.78B$5.84B

Source: DeFi Rate volume tracker · Weekly reports

🤝 Got questions on how it all works?

If you’re new to the predictions beat and trying to decipher what’s important and what’s noise, we’re here to connect.