Who Will Trump Nominate as Fed Chair?Kalshi settled on Kevin Warsh
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Mar 5, 2026
Kalshi and Polymarket
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
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| Outcome | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket | Sources | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kevin Warsh Settled Yes | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Arthur Laffer Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Bill Pulte Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Christopher Waller Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Donald Trump (Himself) Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| David Malpass Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| David Zervos Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Howard Lutnick Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| James Bullard Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Jerome Powell Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Judy Shelton Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Janet Yellen Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Kevin Hassett Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Larry Kudlow Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Larry Lindsey Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Lorie K. Logan Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Michelle Bowman Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Marc Sumerlin Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Philip Jefferson Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Ron Paul Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Rick Rieder Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Scott Bessent Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Stephen Miran Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Barron Trump Closed | – | KalshiNot listed | PolymarketClosed | ||
| No one nominated before 2027 Closed | – | KalshiNot listed | PolymarketClosed | ||
Kalshi: SettledPolymarket: Closed Source: Kalshi / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between May 29, 7:31 AM ET and Jul 31, 4:11 AM ET.
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