Packers vs. Buccaneers Week 4 Odds & PredictionsThe Packers are a 60% favorite on the road against the Buccaneers
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Sunday, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. Prediction markets give the Packers a 60% chance to win (−149) and the Buccaneers 40% (+151). Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket agree within a point. Kalshi's lines make it Packers −2.5, with 37.5 total points. The Packers are down 7 points this week on Kalshi. $576K has traded on the game in the last 24 hours.
About 3 in 5 (−149)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $166 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+151)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $251 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Packers vs. Buccaneers moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay PackersAway · −149 | 60% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $166 | Kalshi60¢ | Polymarket US60.5¢ | Polymarket60¢ | |
| Tampa Bay BuccaneersHome · +151 | 40% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $251 | Kalshi40¢ | Polymarket US39.8¢Lowest ask | Polymarket41¢ |
Best prices to buy: Green Bay at 60¢ on Kalshi and Polymarket; Tampa Bay at 39.8¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs 99.8¢ and pays $1 whichever team wins: 0.25¢ locked in, before fees. Traded in the past 24 hours: $309K on Polymarket, $243K on Kalshi and $25K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 10:33 AM and 10:34 AM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Green Bay lost 7 points, to 60%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Packers vs. Buccaneers spread and over/under
Kalshi prices a ladder of margins and totals. The highlighted row is closest to a coin flip.
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2+ pts | 58% | −135 |
| 3+ pts | 54% | −115 |
| 4+ pts | 45% | +125 |
| 5+ pts | 42% | +141 |
| 6+ pts | 40% | +153 |
All 24 spread lines
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Packers 2+ pts | 58% | −135 |
| Packers 3+ pts | 54% | −115 |
| Packers 4+ pts | 45% | +125 |
| Packers 5+ pts | 42% | +141 |
| Packers 6+ pts | 40% | +153 |
| Packers 7+ pts | 38% | +167 |
| Packers 8+ pts | 31% | +228 |
| Packers 10+ pts | 28% | +264 |
| Packers 11+ pts | 24% | +326 |
| Packers 14+ pts | 21% | +388 |
| Packers 15+ pts | 17% | +506 |
| Packers 17+ pts | 15% | +590 |
| Buccaneers 2+ pts | 39% | +160 |
| Buccaneers 3+ pts | 37% | +174 |
| Buccaneers 4+ pts | 29% | +251 |
| Buccaneers 5+ pts | 26% | +292 |
| Buccaneers 6+ pts | 24% | +326 |
| Buccaneers 7+ pts | 22% | +365 |
| Buccaneers 8+ pts | 18% | +471 |
| Buccaneers 10+ pts | 17% | +506 |
| Buccaneers 11+ pts | 14% | +641 |
| Buccaneers 14+ pts | 9.5% | +953 |
| Buccaneers 15+ pts | 7.5% | +1233 |
| Buccaneers 17+ pts | 7.5% | +1233 |
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 31.5 | 73% | −264 |
| 34.5 | 64% | −174 |
| 37.5 | 54% | −115 |
| 40.5 | 45% | +125 |
| 43.5 | 36% | +182 |
All 19 total lines
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 25.5 | 88% | −700 |
| 28.5 | 82% | −441 |
| 31.5 | 73% | −264 |
| 34.5 | 64% | −174 |
| 37.5 | 54% | −115 |
| 40.5 | 45% | +125 |
| 43.5 | 36% | +182 |
| 44.5 | 32% | +217 |
| 45.5 | 30% | +239 |
| 46.5 | 28% | +264 |
| 47.5 | 25% | +308 |
| 48.5 | 23% | +344 |
| 49.5 | 21% | +388 |
| 52.5 | 15% | +590 |
| 55.5 | 11% | +852 |
| 58.5 | 7.5% | +1233 |
| 61.5 | 4.5% | +2122 |
| 64.5 | 4.5% | +2122 |
| 67.5 | 2.5% | +3900 |
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 10:29 AM and 10:34 AM ET.
Packers vs. Buccaneers stats
These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.
| Team stat | Packers | Buccaneers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 0-2 |
| Points per game | 21 | 23 |
| Total yards per game | 309 | 297.5 |
| Passing yards per game | 266 | 199 |
| Rushing yards per game | 64.5 | 113 |
| First downs per game | 17.5 | 18 |
| Third-down conversion | 19.1% | 46.1% |
| Red-zone TD rate | 42.9% | 37.5% |
| Turnover differential | −2 | −4 |
| Sacks per game | 3.5 | 1.5 |
| Time of possession | 26:59 | 29:36 |
Stat leaders: Packers — passing, Jordan Love (37/71, 532 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT); rushing, MarShawn Lloyd (19 CAR, 57 YDS); receiving, Christian Watson (10 REC, 188 YDS, 3 TD); Buccaneers — passing, Baker Mayfield (44/62, 398 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT); rushing, Bucky Irving (25 CAR, 134 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Chris Godwin Jr. (7 REC, 86 YDS).
Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.
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