Falcons vs. Saints Week 4 Odds & PredictionsThe Saints are a 54% favorite at home against the Falcons
Atlanta Falcons at New Orleans Saints, Monday, Oct 5, 8:15 PM ET. Prediction markets give the Saints a 54% chance to win (−117) and the Falcons 46% (+116). Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket agree within a point. Kalshi's lines make it Saints −1.5, with 47.5 total points. The Saints are down 3 points this week on Kalshi. $33K has traded on the game in the last 24 hours.
About even (−117)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $185 if correct, before fees.
About even (+116)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $216 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Falcons vs. Saints moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New Orleans SaintsHome · −117 | 54% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $185 | Kalshi55¢ | Polymarket US54¢ | Polymarket54¢ | |
| Atlanta FalconsAway · +116 | 46% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $216 | Kalshi47¢ | Polymarket US46.3¢Lowest ask | Polymarket47¢ |
Best prices to buy: New Orleans at 54¢ on Polymarket US and Polymarket; Atlanta at 46.3¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $25K on Kalshi, $6K on Polymarket US and $2K on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 4, 10:01 AM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, New Orleans lost 3 points, to 55%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Falcons vs. Saints spread and over/under
Kalshi prices a ladder of margins and totals. The highlighted row is closest to a coin flip.
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2+ pts | 51% | −102 |
| 3+ pts | 48% | +111 |
| 4+ pts | 40% | +153 |
| 5+ pts | 37% | +174 |
| 6+ pts | 37% | +174 |
All 25 spread lines
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Falcons 2+ pts | 44% | +130 |
| Falcons 3+ pts | 41% | +147 |
| Falcons 4+ pts | 33% | +203 |
| Falcons 5+ pts | 30% | +239 |
| Falcons 6+ pts | 29% | +251 |
| Falcons 7+ pts | 25% | +308 |
| Falcons 8+ pts | 21% | +388 |
| Falcons 10+ pts | 18% | +471 |
| Falcons 11+ pts | 15% | +590 |
| Falcons 14+ pts | 13% | +700 |
| Falcons 15+ pts | 9.5% | +953 |
| Saints 2+ pts | 51% | −102 |
| Saints 3+ pts | 48% | +111 |
| Saints 4+ pts | 40% | +153 |
| Saints 5+ pts | 37% | +174 |
| Saints 6+ pts | 37% | +174 |
| Saints 7+ pts | 32% | +212 |
| Saints 8+ pts | 28% | +264 |
| Saints 10+ pts | 25% | +308 |
| Saints 11+ pts | 21% | +388 |
| Saints 14+ pts | 17% | +506 |
| Saints 15+ pts | 14% | +614 |
| Saints 17+ pts | 12% | +733 |
| Saints 18+ pts | 10% | +900 |
| Saints 21+ pts | 7.5% | +1233 |
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 45.5 | 58% | −135 |
| 46.5 | 55% | −120 |
| 47.5 | 51% | −102 |
| 48.5 | 47% | +115 |
| 49.5 | 46% | +120 |
All 19 total lines
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 27.5 | 94% | −1438 |
| 30.5 | 92% | −1076 |
| 33.5 | 87% | −669 |
| 36.5 | 81% | −413 |
| 39.5 | 76% | −308 |
| 42.5 | 67% | −199 |
| 45.5 | 58% | −135 |
| 46.5 | 55% | −120 |
| 47.5 | 51% | −102 |
| 48.5 | 47% | +115 |
| 49.5 | 46% | +120 |
| 50.5 | 42% | +141 |
| 51.5 | 39% | +160 |
| 54.5 | 31% | +228 |
| 57.5 | 25% | +308 |
| 60.5 | 19% | +441 |
| 63.5 | 14% | +641 |
| 66.5 | 9.5% | +953 |
| 69.5 | 5.5% | +1718 |
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 9:46 AM and 10:01 AM ET.
Falcons vs. Saints stats
These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.
| Team stat | Falcons | Saints |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 8 | 27 |
| Total yards per game | 262 | 383.5 |
| Passing yards per game | 144 | 331 |
| Rushing yards per game | 138.5 | 78 |
| First downs per game | 16.5 | 24 |
| Third-down conversion | 24.0% | 50.0% |
| Red-zone TD rate | 0.0% | 71.4% |
| Turnover differential | −6 | −1 |
| Sacks per game | 2 | 2 |
| Time of possession | 30:48 | 32:10 |
Stat leaders: Falcons — passing, Cooper Rush (22/39, 229 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT); rushing, Bijan Robinson (37 CAR, 155 YDS); receiving, Bijan Robinson (11 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD); Saints — passing, Tyler Shough (62/90, 662 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT); rushing, Travis Etienne Jr. (17 CAR, 71 YDS); receiving, Chris Olave (18 REC, 268 YDS, 1 TD).
Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.
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