What Price Will Bitcoin Hit in 2026?Traders see a 40% chance of $100,000 or more
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026? Kalshi traders give Above $99,999.99 the highest chance, 40%, ahead of Above $109,999.99 at 20%. More than one outcome can resolve Yes. Over the past week on Kalshi, Above $129,999.99 lost the most, 3 points to 6%.
About 2 in 5Unchanged this week
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $250 if correct, before fees.
More than 99 in 100
Last trades. Polymarket's quote is stale (observed Aug 20, 11:39 PM ET) and may have moved.
How high will Bitcoin get in 2026?
Most traded: Above $99,999.99 ($494)
11:59 PM ET
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 9:48 AM and 10:03 AM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Above $129,999.99 lost the most, 3 points to 6%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Aug 3 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
Polymarket traders give ↑ 75,000, ↑ 80,000 and ↑ 65,000 the same chance, more than 99%. More than one outcome can resolve Yes. Already settled Yes: ↑ 85,000 and ↓ 75,000.
Most traded: ↑ 100,000 ($6K)
12:00 AM ET
Prices to buy each outcome, or the last trade where no one is selling. Some quotes are stale: they weren't observed recently and may have moved. Tap a price to open Polymarket.
| Outcome | Chance | Polymarket | Sources | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 75,000 | >99% | Polymarket99.9¢ | ||
| ↑ 80,000 | >99% | Polymarket99.9¢ | ||
| ↑ 65,000 | >99% | Polymarket99.9¢ | ||
| ↓ 60,000 | 90% | PolymarketNo ask | ||
| ↑ 90,000 | 76% | Polymarket76¢ | ||
| ↑ 95,000 | 54% | Polymarket54¢ | ||
| ↑ 100,000 | 36% | Polymarket36¢ | ||
| ↓ 70,000 | 29% | Polymarket29¢ | ||
| ↑ 110,000 | 18% | Polymarket18¢ | ||
| ↓ 65,000 | 17% | Polymarket17¢ | ||
| ↓ 60,000 | 11% | Polymarket12¢ | ||
| ↓ 55,000 | 8.5% | Polymarket9¢ | ||
| ↑ 120,000 | 8.5% | Polymarket9¢ | ||
| ↓ 50,000 | 6.5% | Polymarket7¢ | ||
| ↑ 130,000 | 4.6% | Polymarket4.6¢ | ||
| ↓ 45,000 | 3.6% | Polymarket3.7¢ | ||
| ↑ 140,000 | 3.4% | Polymarket3.3¢ | ||
| ↓ 40,000 | 3.1% | Polymarket3.1¢ | ||
| ↑ 150,000 | 2.7% | Polymarket2.7¢ | ||
| ↓ 35,000 | 2.4% | Polymarket2.4¢ | ||
| ↑ 160,000 | 2.3% | Polymarket2.2¢ | ||
| ↓ 30,000 | 2.1% | Polymarket2.1¢ | ||
| ↑ 180,000 | 1.5% | Polymarket1.5¢ | ||
| ↓ 20,000 | 1.3% | Polymarket1.3¢ | ||
| ↑ 170,000 | 1.3% | Polymarket1.3¢ | ||
| ↑ 190,000 | 1.2% | Polymarket1.1¢ | ||
| ↑ 200,000 | 1.1% | Polymarket1¢ | ||
| ↓ 25,000 | 1.1% | Polymarket1¢ | ||
| ↓ 15,000 | 0.8% | Polymarket0.60¢ | ||
| ↑ 250,000 | 0.7% | Polymarket0.70¢ | ||
| ↓ 5,000 | 0.7% | Polymarket0.70¢ | ||
| ↓ 10,000 | 0.5% | Polymarket0.50¢ | ||
| ↑ 500,000 | 0.5% | Polymarket0.40¢ | ||
| ↑ 1,000,000 | 0.3% | Polymarket0.30¢ | ||
| ↑ 85,000 Settled Yes | – | PolymarketSettled | ||
| ↓ 75,000 Settled Yes | – | PolymarketSettled | ||
| ↑ 65,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↑ 75,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↓ 60,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↑ 80,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↑ 70,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↑ 70,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↓ 85,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↓ 65,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↑ 90,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
| ↓ 75,000 Closed | – | PolymarketClosed | ||
Open · 2 of 46 settled Chance is Polymarket's displayed price, or the midpoint of its bid and ask, or its last trade. Source: Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Jun 24, 5:20 AM ET and Oct 4, 10:03 AM ET.
Over the past week on Polymarket, ↑ 90,000 gained 5 points, to 76%.
Source: Polymarket daily close via DeFi Rate, Aug 3 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Biggest moves, last 7 days
Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 4, 10:03 AM ET).
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