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2026-27 NFL Defensive Rookie of the Year OddsJacob Rodriguez is the favorite at 31%

Kalshi traders make Jacob Rodriguez the favorite at 31%, ahead of David Bailey at 16%. Over the past week on Kalshi, Jacob Rodriguez gained the most, 8 points to 31%, and Caleb Downs lost the most, 9 points to 6.5%.

Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?
31%Jacob Rodriguez

About 1 in 3 Up 8 pts this week

Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $312 if correct, before fees.

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner
17%David Bailey

About 1 in 6 Down 9 pts this week

Last trades. Polymarket's quote is stale (observed Oct 4, 10:07 AM ET) and may have moved.

Kalshi

Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?

24h volume
$3Kon Kalshi

Most traded: Caleb Downs ($686)

Trading closes
Feb 28, 2028

10:00 AM ET

Prices to buy each outcome. Some quotes are stale: they weren't observed recently and may have moved. Tap a price to open Kalshi.

Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner?: Kalshi odds, observed between Oct 4, 7:49 AM and 10:40 AM ET
OutcomeChanceKalshiSources
Jacob Rodriguez31%Kalshi32¢
David Bailey16%Kalshi16¢
Sonny Styles13%Kalshi13¢
Arvell Reese9.5%Kalshi10¢
Caleb Downs6.5%Kalshi7¢
Dillon Thieneman6.5%Kalshi8¢
Hezekiah Masses5.5%Kalshi6¢
Mansoor Delane4.5%Kalshi5¢
Anthony Hill Jr.3.5%Kalshi4¢
Gabe Jacas3.5%Kalshi4¢

Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask, or its last trade. Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 7:49 AM and 10:40 AM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeAug 3 – Oct 3

Over the past week on Kalshi, Jacob Rodriguez gained the most, 8 points to 31%, and Caleb Downs lost the most, 9 points to 6.5%.

010203040SepOct31%16%13%10%9%
Jacob RodriguezDavid BaileySonny StylesArvell ReeseCaleb Downs

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Aug 3 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Polymarket

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner

Polymarket traders make David Bailey the favorite at 17%, ahead of Arvell Reese at 11%.

24h volume
$32on Polymarket

Most traded: Caleb Downs ($32)

Trading closes
Feb 11, 2027

6:59 PM ET

Last trades; the price to buy may differ. Some quotes are stale: they weren't observed recently and may have moved. Tap a price to open Polymarket.

Pro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner: Polymarket odds, observed Oct 4, 10:07 AM ET
OutcomeChancePolymarketSources
David Bailey17%Polymarket17¢
Arvell Reese11%Polymarket8¢
Sonny Styles10%Polymarket11¢
Caleb Downs8.5%Polymarket10¢
Mansoor Delane5.6%Polymarket5¢
Malachi Lawrence3.9%Polymarket6¢
Rueben Bain Jr.3.4%Polymarket3.1¢
Akheem Mesidor1.7%Polymarket10¢
Player R–PolymarketNo quote
Player AF–PolymarketNo quote

Open Chance is Polymarket's displayed price. Source: Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 4, 10:07 AM ET.

Price history · Polymarket daily closeAug 3 – Oct 3

Over the past week on Polymarket, Arvell Reese gained 5 points, to 11%, and David Bailey lost the most, 10 points to 17%.

0102030SepOct18%11%10%10%5%
David BaileyArvell ReeseSonny StylesCaleb DownsMansoor Delane

Source: Polymarket daily close via DeFi Rate, Aug 3 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

David BaileyPro Football: 2026-27 AP Defensive Rookie of the Year Winner · Polymarket daily close
27% → 17%
−10 pts
Caleb DownsDefensive Rookie of the Year Winner? · Kalshi daily close
16% → 7%
−9 pts
Jacob RodriguezDefensive Rookie of the Year Winner? · Kalshi daily close
24% → 31%
+8 pts

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 4, 10:40 AM ET).

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