Regulation & Policy

Tracking the rules shaping prediction and crypto markets — from CFTC oversight and state-level battles to federal legislation and legal challenges between platforms and regulators. We break down what the policy shift means for traders and the industry.

Federal regulators sued New Mexico after the state challenged Kalshi’s sports event contracts, deepening the legal fight over whether prediction markets are governed by gambling laws or federal derivatives rules.

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Sues New Mexico Over Kalshi, Expanding Prediction Market Fight With States

New Mexico becomes the eighth state targeted by the CFTC as the agency pushes back against efforts to treat sports event contracts as...

Mike Breen

June 12, 2026

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Prediction Markets Rule Defines Gaming, Draws Line on Micro-Bets and Injury Markets

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) published its long-awaited prediction markets proposed rule Wednesday, putting the first formal regulatory text for event contract...

Valerie Cross

June 10, 2026

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Moves to Clear Gemini’s Record, Says 2022 Complaint ‘Should Not Have Been Filed’

The CFTC is moving to vacate its own consent order against Gemini, admitting the 2022 lawsuit never should have been filed, and closing the chapter on an enforcement saga that took down a...

Valerie Cross

May 27, 2026

The House Oversight Committee requested internal records from Kalshi and Polymarket as part of an investigation into suspicious prediction market trading

Regulation & Policy

Congress Seeks Kalshi, Polymarket Records Amid ‘Wild West’ Insider Trading Concerns

The House Oversight Committee is seeking internal records that could help identify traders behind suspicious activity, while Chairman James Comer called the regulatory environment for...

Mike Breen

May 22, 2026

A Senate hearing on sports integrity put prediction markets under scrutiny as lawmakers questioned whether sports event contracts sidestep state betting rules

Regulation & Policy

Senate Sports Betting Integrity Hearing Scrutinizes Prediction Markets

Lawmakers discussed sports prediction markets during a Senate hearing focused on betting integrity, youth protection and the limits of CFTC...

Pat Evans

May 20, 2026

The Commodity Futures Trading Commission sued Minnesota after Gov. Tim Walz signed legislation banning several major categories of prediction markets and imposing criminal penalties tied to offering or facilitating the products

Regulation & Policy

CFTC Sues Minnesota After Walz Signs Prediction Markets Ban Into Law

The CFTC is seeking to block what it calls “the first outright ban on ‘prediction markets’ in the United States” before Minnesota’s new law takes effect Aug....

Mike Breen

May 19, 2026

House Democrats are seeking subpoenas for prediction market platform records as they press for answers about suspicious Iran-linked trades and whether operators are doing enough to police potential insider trading.

Regulation & Policy

House Democrats Seek Prediction Market Records Amid Suspicious Iran War, Oil Trades

House Democrats ask for subpoenas to identify traders behind suspicious Iran-linked wagers, as Chairman James Comer says Oversight is now seeking information from prediction market...

Mike Breen

May 13, 2026

Regulation & Policy

Addabbo Advances New York Prediction Market Bill: ‘The Harder Thing to Do Is Regulate’

New York Sen. Joseph Addabbo confirmed to DeFi Rate that he plans to bring his prediction market bill, S9414, before the Senate Racing and Gaming Committee next...

Derek Helling

May 13, 2026

Regulation & Policy

Prediction Markets in Tail End of ‘Wild West Stage’ Says Veteran Gaming Lawyer

Veteran gaming lawyer Stephen Piepgrass says prediction markets are nearing the end of their “Wild West” era under a "nimble" CFTC with a "perfect storm" for a Supreme Court battle...

Pat Evans

May 11, 2026

Minnesota lawmakers advanced a sweeping prediction market ban through the state’s omnibus public safety package after the standalone Senate-passed proposal faced procedural obstacles in the House.

Regulation & Policy

Minnesota Quietly Advances Sweeping Prediction Market Ban In Must-Pass Public Safety Bill

Minnesota lawmakers moved closer Friday to enacting one of the nation’s most expansive prediction market bans after quietly advancing the proposal through the state’s omnibus public...

Mike Breen

May 8, 2026

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