US Elections

More than $5.7 million has traded across Kalshi and Polymarket on Michigan’s open Senate race, with both platforms putting Abdul El-Sayed in the low- to mid-60s. But a new Detroit-area...

Chris Pappas and John E. Sununu easily cleared their primaries Tuesday, setting up one of November’s most consequential Senate races. The conventional political view calls New Hampshire a...

The 2028 Democratic primary market is becoming a three-way race, but Gavin Newsom is no longer leading it. With $194 million now traded on Kalshi and nearly $1.3 billion on Polymarket,...

Trump-backed Darline Graham Nordone and Mike Mazzei both won Tuesday’s Republican runoffs, validating the markets that continued to price each as the favorite after shaky first-round...

Mike Mazzei entered Oklahoma’s GOP governor primary as a near-90% prediction market favorite, only to finish just behind Attorney General Gentner Drummond, forcing a runoff. Trump is now...

Cook Political Report just moved the Texas and Iowa Senate races to toss-ups and upgraded the Iowa governor’s race to Lean Democratic, giving Democrats four more favorable ratings in two...

Mary Peltola’s first-place finish in Alaska validated traders who had treated the Senate race as a real Democratic pickup opportunity. She heads toward November with a 57% chance on...

Mary Peltola is trying to turn one of 2026’s most important Senate opportunities into a Democratic pickup, but Alaska’s unusual top-four primary adds another layer of uncertainty....