US Elections

Maine Gov. Janet Mills’ suspension of her Senate campaign this week is one of the cleanest demonstrations that prediction markets can see around the corner pretty well.  Long before...

The Virginia redistricting referendum this week did not just redraw the state’s congressional map, it also gave prediction markets a chance to price a high‑stakes, court‑bound...

The 2026 Ohio Senate special election has quietly become one of the best potential swing‑seat flips on the Democratic side of the map, and prediction markets are starting to treat it that...

The Republican side of the 2028 presidential race on prediction markets looks much more structured than the Democratic one, because there is already a traditional heir apparent in Vice...

Prediction markets are already treating the 2028 Democratic presidential race as a high‑volume, high‑volatility story with over $1.1 billion in trading volume, even though the field has...