US Elections

Reports that President Donald Trump privately told donors “we need to elect JD” have added fresh momentum to an already Vance-heavy 2028 market. Vance leads Marco Rubio 42% to 23% on...

Marsha Blackburn easily won Tennessee’s Republican governor primary, confirming the forecasts from Kalshi and Polymarket, which had priced her near 96% heading into Election...

Former Rep. Cori Bush is trying to win back her Missouri 1st District seat as another notch in the 2026 progressive wave, traders are leaning toward incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell at...

Abdul El-Sayed is the overwhelming favorite to win Tuesday's Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary, trading near 100% on Kalshi and Polymarket, and the race is being watched as a national...

Kansas is not shaping up as a meaningful 2026 Senate battleground, and prediction markets are treating Sen. Roger Marshall’s reelection as the safe side of the ledger with chances at...

President Barack Obama’s second endorsement of the 2026 midterms gives Josh Turek a boost in an open Iowa Senate race that could matter for control of the chamber. Despite tightening...

Abdul El-Sayed enters the final week before Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary with a commanding prediction markets, trading at 77% on Kalshi and 78% on...