US Elections

Kansas is not shaping up as a meaningful 2026 Senate battleground, and prediction markets are treating Sen. Roger Marshall’s reelection as the safe side of the ledger with chances at...

President Barack Obama’s second endorsement of the 2026 midterms gives Josh Turek a boost in an open Iowa Senate race that could matter for control of the chamber. Despite tightening...

Abdul El-Sayed enters the final week before Michigan’s Democratic Senate primary with a commanding prediction markets, trading at 77% on Kalshi and 78% on...

Troy Jackson’s formal nomination gives Maine Democrats a cleaner path for the Maine Senate seat after the Graham Platner fallout. Prediction markets are still leaning toward a Democratic...

Prediction markets have James at over 80% to win the GOP nod for Michigan governor, while they're trading at over 90% for Benson on the Democratic side....

Interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone has surged to the front of the pack for South Carolina’s August 11 Republican Senate primary following an endorsement from President Donald Trump. At...

Prediction markets have Andy Biggs at 99.5% to win Tuesday’s Arizona Republican governor primary, setting up a likely matchup with incumbent Democrat Katie Hobbs. But while Biggs has the...

After a Thursday debate, Troy Jackson has surged to the front of Maine’s Democratic replacement race, and prediction markets are now pricing him at approximately 90% to win the...