Lions vs. Panthers Week 4 Odds & PredictionsThe Lions are a 65% favorite on the road against the Panthers
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Oct 4, 8:20 PM ET. Prediction markets give the Lions a 65% chance to win (−183) and the Panthers 35% (+183). Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket agree within a point. Kalshi's lines make it Lions −3.5, with 50.5 total points. The Lions are up 6 points this week on Kalshi. $59K has traded on the game in the last 24 hours.
About 2 in 3 (−183)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $153 if correct, before fees.
About 1 in 3 (+183)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $283 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Lions vs. Panthers moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Detroit LionsAway · −183 | 65% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $153 | Kalshi65¢ | Polymarket US65¢ | Polymarket65¢ | |
| Carolina PanthersHome · +183 | 35% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $283 | Kalshi36¢ | Polymarket US35.3¢Lowest ask | Polymarket36¢ |
Best prices to buy: Detroit at 65¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket; Carolina at 35.3¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $41K on Kalshi, $12K on Polymarket US and $6K on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 10:51 AM and 10:55 AM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Detroit gained 6 points, to 65%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Lions vs. Panthers spread and over/under
Kalshi prices a ladder of margins and totals. The highlighted row is closest to a coin flip.
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 2+ pts | 63% | −167 |
| 3+ pts | 61% | −153 |
| 4+ pts | 52% | −106 |
| 5+ pts | 48% | +111 |
| 6+ pts | 46% | +120 |
All 25 spread lines
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Lions 2+ pts | 63% | −167 |
| Lions 3+ pts | 61% | −153 |
| Lions 4+ pts | 52% | −106 |
| Lions 5+ pts | 48% | +111 |
| Lions 6+ pts | 46% | +120 |
| Lions 7+ pts | 42% | +141 |
| Lions 8+ pts | 36% | +182 |
| Lions 10+ pts | 32% | +217 |
| Lions 11+ pts | 29% | +251 |
| Lions 14+ pts | 24% | +326 |
| Lions 15+ pts | 20% | +413 |
| Lions 17+ pts | 18% | +471 |
| Lions 18+ pts | 16% | +545 |
| Lions 21+ pts | 12% | +770 |
| Panthers 2+ pts | 33% | +208 |
| Panthers 3+ pts | 30% | +239 |
| Panthers 4+ pts | 23% | +344 |
| Panthers 5+ pts | 22% | +365 |
| Panthers 6+ pts | 20% | +413 |
| Panthers 7+ pts | 18% | +471 |
| Panthers 8+ pts | 14% | +641 |
| Panthers 10+ pts | 12% | +770 |
| Panthers 11+ pts | 9.5% | +953 |
| Panthers 14+ pts | 7.5% | +1233 |
| Panthers 15+ pts | 6.5% | +1438 |
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 48.5 | 60% | −147 |
| 49.5 | 57% | −130 |
| 50.5 | 52% | −106 |
| 51.5 | 48% | +111 |
| 52.5 | 46% | +120 |
All 19 total lines
| Fair odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| 28.5 | 97% | −2757 |
| 31.5 | 94% | −1438 |
| 34.5 | 90% | −852 |
| 37.5 | 85% | −545 |
| 40.5 | 81% | −413 |
| 43.5 | 74% | −277 |
| 46.5 | 66% | −190 |
| 47.5 | 62% | −160 |
| 48.5 | 60% | −147 |
| 49.5 | 57% | −130 |
| 50.5 | 52% | −106 |
| 51.5 | 48% | +111 |
| 52.5 | 46% | +120 |
| 55.5 | 38% | +167 |
| 58.5 | 30% | +239 |
| 61.5 | 23% | +344 |
| 64.5 | 18% | +471 |
| 67.5 | 12% | +770 |
| 70.5 | 8.5% | +1076 |
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 10:38 AM and 10:55 AM ET.
Lions vs. Panthers stats
These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.
| Team stat | Lions | Panthers |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Points per game | 31 | 35.5 |
| Total yards per game | 362 | 409 |
| Passing yards per game | 266.5 | 324 |
| Rushing yards per game | 115.5 | 96.5 |
| First downs per game | 25 | 21 |
| Third-down conversion | 37.5% | 43.5% |
| Red-zone TD rate | 77.8% | 70.0% |
| Turnover differential | +2 | +3 |
| Sacks per game | 3.5 | 2 |
| Time of possession | 31:33 | 27:44 |
Stat leaders: Lions — passing, Jared Goff (52/77, 533 YDS, 6 TD); rushing, Jahmyr Gibbs (45 CAR, 208 YDS, 2 TD); receiving, Amon-Ra St. Brown (19 REC, 209 YDS, 4 TD); Panthers — passing, Bryce Young (46/73, 648 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT); rushing, Chuba Hubbard (22 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Jalen Coker (16 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD).
Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.
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