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Lions vs. Panthers Final Score & Odds RecapThe Panthers beat the Lions 32–26 at home

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers, Sunday, Oct 4. Final: Lions 26, Panthers 32. Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket settled the game on Carolina.

Winner
Carolina Panthers

Settled on Kalshi (Oct 4, 11:47 PM ET), Polymarket US (Oct 4, 11:45 PM ET) and Polymarket (Oct 4, 11:59 PM ET)

By Data observed
DetroitLions2-1 · Away
26
FinalFinal
1234T
DET3133726
CAR7913332
CarolinaPanthers1-2 · Home
32
Lions win chance, the whole game
–ESPN’s model 0%
KalshiPolymarketESPN model
Half0%10%20%30%40%50%60%70%KO8:309:009:3010:0010:3011:0011:30
DET FG3–0DET FG6–7CAR FG13–16CAR TD16–22CAR FG19–32
Biggest swingDET −18¢

4th 2:00: J.Goff sacked at DET 10 for -6 yards (P.Umanmielen).

Traded on the winner$33M

On Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, over the market’s life.

An upset

At kickoff
  • Kalshi
  • Polymarket
  • Polymarket US

Panthers won as clear underdogs, 32–26: the markets had the Lions at up to 67%.

Spread
DET −4.5Panthers covered
Total
52.5Over: 58 points

Each venue’s price for each team 10 minutes before kickoff; the spread and total are Kalshi’s lines priced closest to even.

Money traded

$33M in all
  • Kalshi$25M
    251,740 trades · 75%
  • Polymarket US$4.4M
    59,320 trades · 13%
  • Polymarket$4.0M
    4,673 trades · 12%

Dollars paid for contracts on the game’s winner, from the market opening to settlement.

Biggest trades

  1. $340k traded on the Panthers at 34¢Polymarket · Sun 8:12 PM
  2. $283k traded on the Lions at 66¢Polymarket · Sun 7:25 PM
  3. $250k traded on the Lions at 66¢Polymarket · Sun 8:12 PM
  4. $232k on the Panthers at 99¢Kalshi · Sun 11:38 PM
  5. $204k on the Panthers at 97¢Kalshi · Sun 11:11 PM · 3 fills
  6. $180k on the Panthers at 90¢Kalshi · Sun 11:38 PM
  7. $147k traded on the Lions at 66¢Polymarket · Sun 8:13 PM
  8. $146k traded on the Lions at 67¢Polymarket · Sun 7:57 PM

On the winner market, any time before settlement. Polymarket doesn’t say which side its buyer took, so its trades show the team traded.

Quarter & half winners

Kalshi, settled
  • 1st quarterCAR
  • 2nd quarterDET
  • 3rd quarterCAR
  • 4th quarterDET
  • 1st halfTie
  • 2nd halfCAR

Player props

Kalshi, settled
  • Darren WallerMissed
    CAR · First touchdown
    783,025 contracts traded
  • Amon-Ra St. BrownMissed
    DET · 1+ TD0 TD
    659,614 contracts traded
  • Isaac TeSlaaMissed
    DET · 1+ TD0 TD
    532,519 contracts traded
  • Jahmyr GibbsMissed
    DET · 2+ TD1 TD
    516,029 contracts traded
  • Jameson WilliamsMissed
    DET · First touchdown
    435,604 contracts traded
  • Sam LaPortaMissed
    DET · First touchdown
    393,870 contracts traded

Each player’s most-traded prop on Kalshi, as it settled.

  1. Panthers drive2 plays, -4 yards, 0:42
  2. Q4 0:4011:402nd & 11 at DET 23B.Young kneels to DET 26 for -3 yards.—11.5¢→11.5¢
  3. Q4 1:2211:391st & 10 at DET 22B.Young kneels to DET 23 for -1 yards.—11.5¢→11.5¢
  4. Lions drive4 plays, 9 yards, 0:44Downs
  5. Q4 1:2911:384th & 13 at DET 10J.Goff pass short middle to I.TeSlaa to DET 22 for 12 yards (L.Ransom; W.Lee).—11.5¢→11.5¢
  6. Q4 1:3411:373rd & 13 at DET 10J.Goff pass incomplete deep right to S.LaPorta.—11.5¢→11.5¢
  7. Q4 2:0011:372nd & 7 at DET 16J.Goff sacked at DET 10 for -6 yards (P.Umanmielen).DET −18¢29.5¢→11.5¢
  8. Q4 2:0011:36Two-Minute Warning
  9. Q4 2:0611:351st & 10 at DET 13J.Goff pass short right to A.St. Brown to DET 16 for 3 yards (A.Evans).DET −3¢32.5¢→29.5¢
  10. Panthers drive6 plays, 13 yards, 1:32Punt
  11. Q4 2:1211:344th & 11 at CAR 49S.Martin punts 38 yards to DET 13, Center-J.Jansen, fair catch by T.Kennedy.DET +3¢29.5¢→32.5¢
  12. Q4 2:1211:344th & 6 at DET 46(Punt formation) PENALTY on CAR, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at DET 46 - No Play.—29.5¢→29.5¢
  13. Q4 3:0011:333rd & 6 at DET 46B.Young sacked at DET 46 for 0 yards (D.Wonnum).DET +13¢16.5¢→29.5¢
  14. Q4 3:0011:32Timeout #3 by DET at 03:00.
  15. Q4 3:0411:322nd & 6 at DET 46C.Hubbard right guard to DET 46 for no gain (T.Williams).DET +2¢14.5¢→16.5¢
  16. Q4 3:0411:31Timeout #2 by DET at 03:04.
  17. Q4 3:0911:311st & 10 at 50B.Young pass short right to T.McMillan to DET 46 for 4 yards (D.Barnes).DET +1¢13.5¢→14.5¢
  18. Q4 3:1611:303rd & 14 at CAR 32B.Young pass deep right to T.McMillan pushed ob at 50 for 18 yards (E.Rakestraw) [D.Moore].—13.5¢→13.5¢
  19. Q4 3:2211:292nd & 14 at CAR 32B.Young pass incomplete short right to C.Hubbard.DET −15¢28.5¢→13.5¢
  20. Q4 3:2611:282nd & 9 at CAR 37B.Young pass short middle to T.McMillan to CAR 48 for 11 yards (E.Rakestraw).PENALTY on CAR-S.Forsythe, Illegal Formation, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 37 - No Play.DET +7¢21.5¢→28.5¢
  21. Q4 3:2611:28Timeout #1 by DET at 03:26.
  22. 11:27Kalshi$12k on the Lions at 19¢, $62k if they winDET
  23. Q4 3:3211:271st & 10 at CAR 36C.Hubbard right end to CAR 37 for 1 yard (C.Izien).—21.5¢→21.5¢$44k traded64% DETESPN 17% DET
  24. Q4 3:3811:27J.Bates kicks 58 yards from DET 35 to CAR 7. A.Tyus to CAR 36 for 29 yards (T.Nowaske; A.Ogbongbemiga).
  25. Lions drive10 plays, 67 yards, 2:29TD
  26. Q4 3:3811:24Official Timeout at 03:38.
  27. Q4 3:3811:231st & Goal at CAR 8DET 26–32J.Goff pass short right to S.LaPorta for 8 yards, TOUCHDOWN. J.Bates extra point is GOOD, Center-H.Hatten, Holder-J.Fox.—20.5¢→20.5¢
  28. Q4 3:4211:221st & Goal at CAR 3PENALTY on DET-B.Miller, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 3 - No Play.DET +7¢13.5¢→20.5¢
  29. Q4 4:0511:224th & 5 at CAR 10J.Goff pass short right to S.LaPorta to CAR 3 for 7 yards (D.Lloyd; Z.Wheatley).—13.5¢→13.5¢
  30. Q4 4:1011:213rd & 5 at CAR 10J.Goff pass incomplete short left to B.Wright.DET −1¢14.5¢→13.5¢
  31. Q4 4:3411:212nd & 10 at CAR 15J.Goff pass short right to A.St. Brown to CAR 10 for 5 yards (B.Okereke).DET +1¢13.5¢→14.5¢
  32. Q4 4:4011:201st & 10 at CAR 15J.Goff pass incomplete short right to I.TeSlaa.—13.5¢→13.5¢
  33. Q4 5:0111:202nd & 10 at CAR 36J.Goff pass short middle to S.LaPorta to CAR 15 for 21 yards (A.Evans; L.Ransom) [P.Umanmielen].DET +2¢11.5¢→13.5¢
  34. Q4 5:0611:191st & 10 at CAR 36J.Goff pass incomplete short left to I.TeSlaa (D.Brown).—11.5¢→11.5¢
  35. Q4 5:2611:191st & 10 at DET 48J.Goff pass short middle to I.TeSlaa to CAR 36 for 16 yards (T.Moehrig; W.Lee).—11.5¢→11.5¢
  36. Q4 5:4711:182nd & 5 at DET 38J.Goff pass short left to I.TeSlaa to DET 48 for 10 yards (W.Lee).DET −1¢12.5¢→11.5¢
  37. Q4 6:0711:181st & 10 at DET 33J.Goff pass short right to J.Gibbs to DET 38 for 5 yards (D.Lloyd).DET +6¢6.5¢→12.5¢
  38. Panthers drive3 plays, 3 yards, 0:57Punt
  39. Q4 6:1411:164th & 7 at CAR 15(6:14) S.Martin punts 52 yards to DET 33, Center-J.Jansen, fair catch by T.Kennedy. Penalty on DET-T.Nowaske, Running Into the Kicker, declined.—6.5¢→6.5¢
  40. Q4 6:2011:153rd & 7 at CAR 15(6:20) (Shotgun) B.Young pass incomplete short right to B.Tremayne. Penalty on CAR-B.Tremayne, Offensive Pass Interference, declined.—6.5¢→6.5¢
  41. Q4 6:2211:142nd & 7 at CAR 15B.Young pass incomplete short left to T.McMillan.—6.5¢→6.5¢
  42. Q4 7:0411:141st & 10 at CAR 12C.Hubbard left guard to CAR 15 for 3 yards (C.Izien; J.Campbell).DET +2¢4.5¢→6.5¢
  43. Lions drive9 plays, 64 yards, 1:55Downs
  44. Q4 7:0411:12Official Timeout at 07:04.
  45. Q4 7:1011:104th & 20 at CAR 25J.Goff pass short right to A.St. Brown to CAR 21 for 4 yards. Lateral to J.Gibbs to CAR 12 for 9 yards (D.Lloyd).DET −4¢7¢→3.5¢
  46. Q4 7:1011:10Timeout #2 by CAR at 07:10.
  47. Q4 7:1011:094th & 15 at CAR 20PENALTY on DET-T.Ratledge, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 20 - No Play.—6.5¢→6.5¢
  48. Q4 7:1011:084th & 10 at CAR 15PENALTY on DET, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 15 - No Play.DET −4¢10.5¢→6.5¢
  49. Q4 7:1311:073rd & 10 at CAR 15J.Goff pass incomplete short left to A.St. Brown (B.Brown).DET −4¢14.5¢→10.5¢
  50. Q4 7:1611:072nd & 10 at CAR 15J.Goff pass incomplete short left to A.St. Brown.DET −4¢18.5¢→14.5¢
  51. Q4 7:1911:061st & 10 at CAR 15J.Goff pass incomplete short right to S.LaPorta.—18.5¢→18.5¢
  52. Q4 7:4111:062nd & 3 at CAR 29J.Goff pass short right to J.Williams to CAR 15 for 14 yards (W.Lee).—18.5¢→18.5¢
  53. Q4 7:5711:051st & 10 at CAR 36J.Goff pass short middle to S.LaPorta to CAR 29 for 7 yards (N.Scott).DET +1¢18¢→18.5¢
  54. Q4 8:1611:052nd & 2 at CAR 43J.Goff pass short right to A.St. Brown to CAR 36 for 7 yards (P.Umanmielen).DET +1¢16.5¢→18¢
  55. Q4 8:1911:03Official Timeout at 08:19.
  56. Q4 8:3211:021st & 10 at DET 49J.Goff pass short middle to J.Gibbs to CAR 43 for 8 yards (B.Okereke). CAR-J.Phillips was injured during the play.—16.5¢→16.5¢
  57. Q4 8:5411:021st & 10 at DET 24J.Goff pass short middle to S.LaPorta to DET 49 for 25 yards (Z.Wheatley).DET +4¢12.5¢→16.5¢
  58. Q4 8:5911:01R.Fitzgerald kicks 57 yards from CAR 35 to DET 8. T.Kennedy to DET 24 for 16 yards (T.Incoom; T.Dodson).
  59. Panthers drive13 plays, 72 yards, 5:44FG
  60. Q4 8:5910:58Official Timeout at 08:59.
  61. Q4 8:5910:584th & 10 at DET 14CAR 19–32R.Fitzgerald 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-J.Jansen, Holder-S.Martin.—13.5¢→13.5¢
  62. Q4 9:0810:573rd & 10 at DET 14B.Young pass incomplete short right to D.Waller [A.Hutchinson].—13.5¢→13.5¢
  63. Q4 9:1210:562nd & 10 at DET 14B.Young pass incomplete short right to J.Reed (E.Rakestraw).DET +2¢11.5¢→13.5¢
  64. Q4 9:1810:561st & 10 at DET 14B.Young pass incomplete short right to D.Waller.DET +5¢6.5¢→11.5¢
  65. Q4 9:5810:552nd & 2 at DET 20C.Hubbard right tackle to DET 14 for 6 yards (J.Campbell).—6.5¢→6.5¢
  66. Q4 10:3410:541st & 10 at DET 28B.Young pass short left to M.Evans to DET 20 for 8 yards (C.Clark).DET −2¢8.5¢→6.5¢
  67. Q4 11:1410:544th & 4 at DET 37B.Young pass short right to D.Waller to DET 28 for 9 yards (J.Mills).DET −7¢15.5¢→8.5¢
  68. Q4 11:1410:53Timeout #1 by CAR at 11:14.
  69. Q4 11:5410:523rd & 2 at DET 35A.Dillon left guard to DET 37 for -2 yards (T.Lacy).DET −1¢16.5¢→15.5¢
  70. Q4 12:2910:522nd & 10 at DET 43B.Young pass short middle to T.McMillan to DET 35 for 8 yards (C.Clark).DET +4¢12.5¢→16.5¢
  71. Q4 13:0510:511st & 10 at DET 43A.Dillon up the middle to DET 43 for no gain (A.McNeill; C.Izien).—12.5¢→12.5¢
  72. Q4 13:4310:502nd & 11 at CAR 45C.Hubbard left guard to DET 43 for 12 yards (J.Campbell).DET +1¢11.5¢→12.5¢
  73. Q4 14:1810:501st & 10 at CAR 46B.Young sacked ob at CAR 45 for -1 yards (C.Izien).DET −2¢13.5¢→11.5¢
  74. Q4 14:4310:491st & 10 at CAR 14(14:43) C.Hubbard left tackle pushed ob at CAR 46 for 32 yards (T.Nowaske). Penalty on DET-S.Gill-Howard, Defensive Offside, declined.DET −5¢18.5¢→13.5¢
  75. Lions drive7 plays, 27 yards, 3:04Punt
  76. Q4 14:4310:46Official Timeout at 14:43.
  77. Q4 14:4910:464th & 19 at CAR 48J.Fox punts 34 yards to CAR 14, Center-H.Hatten, fair catch by D.Moore.—18.5¢→18.5¢
  78. Q4 14:4910:454th & 14 at CAR 43(Punt formation) PENALTY on DET, Delay of Game, 5 yards, enforced at CAR 43 - No Play.DET −1¢19.5¢→18.5¢
  79. Q4 14:5510:443rd & 14 at CAR 43J.Goff pass incomplete deep middle to A.St. Brown.DET −6¢26¢→19.5¢
  80. Q4 15:0010:442nd & 14 at CAR 43J.Goff pass incomplete deep middle to J.Williams.DET −1¢26.5¢→26¢
NFL Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4

Lions vs. Panthers moneyline

Final

Trading has closed, so there's no price to buy.

Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, observed between Oct 4, 11:55 PM ET and Oct 5, 3:01 AM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketSources
Carolina Panthers Settled YesHome–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled
Detroit Lions Settled NoAway–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled

Kalshi: SettledPolymarket US: SettledPolymarket: Settled Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 11:55 PM ET and Oct 5, 3:01 AM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeSep 22 – Oct 3
304050607065%36%
LionsPanthers

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Spread & total · Kalshi

How the Lions vs. Panthers spread and total settled

Kalshi's results for the lines either side of where each ladder settled.

Panthers win by more than…

Spread ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
6+ ptsSettled Yes
7+ ptsSettled No
All 27 spread lines

Spread ladder, Kalshi: every line
Lions 2+ ptsSettled No
Lions 3+ ptsSettled No
Lions 4+ ptsSettled No
Lions 5+ ptsSettled No
Lions 6+ ptsSettled No
Lions 7+ ptsSettled No
Lions 8+ ptsSettled No
Lions 10+ ptsSettled No
Lions 11+ ptsSettled No
Lions 14+ ptsSettled No
Lions 15+ ptsSettled No
Lions 17+ ptsSettled No
Lions 18+ ptsSettled No
Lions 21+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 2+ ptsSettled Yes
Panthers 3+ ptsSettled Yes
Panthers 4+ ptsSettled Yes
Panthers 5+ ptsSettled Yes
Panthers 6+ ptsSettled Yes
Panthers 7+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 8+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 10+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 11+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 14+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 15+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 17+ ptsSettled No
Panthers 18+ ptsSettled No
Total points over…

Total points ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
55.5Settled Yes
58.5Settled No
All 21 total lines

Total points ladder, Kalshi: every line
28.5Settled Yes
31.5Settled Yes
34.5Settled Yes
37.5Settled Yes
40.5Settled Yes
43.5Settled Yes
46.5Settled Yes
47.5Settled Yes
48.5Settled Yes
49.5Settled Yes
50.5Settled Yes
51.5Settled Yes
52.5Settled Yes
55.5Settled Yes
58.5Settled No
61.5Settled No
64.5Settled No
67.5Settled No
70.5Settled No
73.5Settled No
76.5Settled No

Settled Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 10:22 PM ET and Oct 5, 12:17 AM ET.

NFL Week 4 games 16 games

Week 4 data →

Lions vs. Panthers stats

These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.

Team statLionsPanthers
Record1-11-1
Points per game3135.5
Total yards per game362409
Passing yards per game266.5324
Rushing yards per game115.596.5
First downs per game2521
Third-down conversion37.5%43.5%
Red-zone TD rate77.8%70.0%
Turnover differential+2+3
Sacks per game3.52
Time of possession31:3327:44

Stat leaders: Lions — passing, Jared Goff (52/77, 533 YDS, 6 TD); rushing, Jahmyr Gibbs (45 CAR, 208 YDS, 2 TD); receiving, Amon-Ra St. Brown (19 REC, 209 YDS, 4 TD); Panthers — passing, Bryce Young (46/73, 648 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT); rushing, Chuba Hubbard (22 CAR, 102 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Jalen Coker (16 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD).

Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.

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Source: DraftKings Predictions / Gemini / Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket / Polymarket US / ProphetX / Rothera / Underdog Exchange via DeFi Rate: volume by category as of Oct 9, 2:30 AM ET.