NFL Player Props Week 6 props: every line, projection and move

A player prop is a market on one player’s game rather than the result: whether a quarterback throws for 250 yards or more, a running back runs for 75, a receiver catches six passes, or a player scores a touchdown. On prediction markets like Kalshi and Polymarket US each line is a contract that pays $1 if it happens, so its price is the market’s chance.

From the whole ladder, not one line. The venues list each player at many thresholds (150+, 175+, 200+ passing yards), each with its own price. We read the chance at every rung and find the value the market gives even odds of reaching: its median. That uses every trader’s money on every line, so it moves the moment the market does.

Kalshi and Polymarket US both list passing, rushing and receiving yards, receptions, anytime and first touchdown scorers for every game, usually three to four days before kickoff. The table shows the best price to buy over or under on either app.

How many of the player’s last five games reached the line in the table, from nflverse’s official play-by-play stats. A player who reached it in four of five has been clearing it; the market’s price says how likely it is this week.

Josh Cuevas is the market’s likeliest anytime touchdown scorer in Week 6 at 99%. The Anytime TD tab ranks every player.

Prices, volume and moves are read from Kalshi and Polymarket US every ten minutes; player stats update each morning after games. Each prop’s 24-hour move compares its projection now with the same time yesterday.