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Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more. Compare odds, volume and price movements.

Featured prediction markets

AI markets

Which company will have the best AI model?

  • This month: Traders Give claude-opus-5.5-high a 95% Chance to Be the Top AI Model at the End of November.
  • This year: Google is a 56% favorite to have the best AI model at the end of 2026.

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Michigan Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
67% → 77%
+10 pts
Dem77¢GOP24¢
Senate control (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi + Polymarket
65% → 72%
+7 pts
Kalshi71.5¢Polymarket73¢
+2
Fed hikes Dec. 9Fed · Kalshi
75% → 70%
−5 pts
Kalshi69.5¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Nov 1, 3:52 AM ET).

Today · Nov 1

More questions people are asking

Volume$6.1B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 9 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Polymarket is 1.5 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 6.6¢ on Kalshi and 4.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices a December hike at 70.0% in one market and 71.5% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
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DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
4.8%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.9%

Weighted by the $7.8B borrowed across 146 markets.

Bitcoin price
$78,102

Up 0.8%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$5.6B

Down 48.6%vs. the day before

Across 628 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
  1. Polymarket Chiefs Broncos 10 31 2026Polymarket Promo Code RATE: Get $25 for Chiefs vs. Broncos
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  3. UFC Fight Night Polymarket 10 31 2026Polymarket UFC Fight Night Props: $25 Bonus With Code RATE
  4. OhioState USC Kalshi 10 31 2026Kalshi Promo Code RATE: $55 Bonus for Ohio State vs. USC
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Bonuses

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How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.