Kalshi is 1.9 points higher than Polymarket on John McEntee as the Republican nominee
The same 2028 question priced on two venues: the widest gap in the race right now.
Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source
Kalshi, Polymarket and more. Compare odds, volume and price movements.
Seahawks5-421
4th · 2:044th & 20 at SEA 25Red zone
Raiders4-510
99% SeahawksRaiders 1%
Chance to win · Seahawks +27 since kickoff · $7.4M traded on Kalshi and Polymarket USRaiders drive · 10 plays, 44 yards, 2:18Line of scrimmageFirst down
Scoring play · 4th 2:04M.Gay 43 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Ward, Holder-A.Cole.
Featured prediction markets
Biggest market today
2027 Pro Football Champion
- San Francisco16% 1 pt today (up)
$1.5M traded on Kalshi in 24 hours
AI markets
Which company will have the best AI model?
- This month: Traders Give Gemini 4 Carbon (High) an 87% Chance to Be the Top AI Model at the End of November.
- This year: Google is a 77% favorite to have the best AI model at the end of 2026.
2028 election
Democrats are favored. Jon Ossoff is the likeliest winner.
- Democrats win the White House68%No change today
- JD Vance, GOP nominee36%No change today
- Jon Ossoff, Democratic nominee26%No change today
Economy · Biggest move this week
Will the Fed hike on Dec. 9?
88%Hike
About 9 in 10▲ Up 12 pts this week
Last trades; the price to buy may differ. At the last traded price, $100 would return $114 if correct, before fees.
History: Kalshi. Shaded = no data in our feed. Sources & history› Full page →
Market moves
Biggest moves, last 7 days
Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Nov 15, 6:44 PM ET).
Today · Nov 15
More questions people are asking
Disagreements
Where the sources don’t match
The Bears cost 12.5¢ on Kalshi and 8.9¢ on Polymarket to win the Super Bowl
Matching contracts on both venues: the widest gap among the ten favorites.
Kalshi prices a December hike at 88.0% in one market and 96.5% in another
Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.
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How we work
Every number has receipts
SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.