DeFi Rate Offer

Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Featured prediction markets

Biggest market today

Romania vs. Sweden

  • Sweden>99% 43 pts today (up)

$1.9M traded on Polymarket in 24 hours

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
69% → 21%
−49 pts
Alaska Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
71% → 74%
+3 pts
Senate control (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi + Polymarket
63% → 65%
+3 pts

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 5, 5:08 PM ET).

Today · Oct 5

More questions people are asking

Volume$3.6B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 7 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Polymarket is 0.2 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 8.3¢ on Kalshi and 7.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 20.5% in one market and 21.0% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
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DeFi

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News

Latest news

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  1. NFL-Week-5-Prediction-Markets-10-04-2026.pngNFL Week 5 Odds: Latest Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket
  2. NFL-Week-4-DefiRate-09-29-2026.pngNFL Week 4 Odds: Latest Spreads from Kalshi and Polymarket
  3. California governor prediction marketsBecerra Refunds Prediction Markets Donations While Leading California Governor Odds
  4. Falcons-Saints-Polymarket-MNF-10-05-2026.pngPolymarket Promo Code Rate: $25 Bonus for Falcons vs. Saints MNF
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Bonuses

Start with up to $385 in sign-up bonuses

KalshiTrade $10, Get $25 · code RATE
$25for $10
Polymarket USDeposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus · code RATE
$25for $10
FanDuel PredictsTrade $5, Get $100
$100for $5

Compare all six offers →

How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.