DeFi Rate Offer

Prediction market oddsEvery market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Featured prediction markets

Biggest market today

Pro Baseball Champion

  • Los Angeles D31% 1 pt today (up)

$1.1M traded on Kalshi in 24 hours

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
54% → 46%
−8 pts
Kalshi42.5¢
Alaska Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
76% → 71%
−5 pts
Michigan Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
72% → 74%
+2 pts
Dem74¢GOP27¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Sep 29, 4:59 PM ET).

Today · Sep 29

More questions people are asking

Main prediction markets today, Sep 29, 2026
QuestionMarket estimate7 daysKalshiPolymarketSources
Who wins the Senate?Politics63% Democrats−2 ptsPolymarket63¢Polymarket–Full page →Full page →
Who wins Super Bowl LXI?Sports13% Bills+1 ptsKalshi12.5¢Polymarket13.5¢Full page →Full page →
Who wins the House?Politics92% Democrats+1 ptsKalshi91.6¢Polymarket–Full page →Full page →
Which party wins in 2028?Politics62% Democrats–Kalshi58.5¢Polymarket64.5¢Full page →Full page →
Who’s the 2028 GOP nominee?Politics48% JD Vance–Kalshi44.5¢Polymarket50.6¢Full page →Full page →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Kalshi is 0.1 points higher than Polymarket on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 8.0¢ on Kalshi and 7.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 45.5% in one market and 45.0% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
Explore

Every market, by topic

DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
4.9%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.6%

Weighted by the $7.1B borrowed across 144 markets.

Bitcoin price
$83,616

Up 0.2%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$10.2B

Up 64.7%vs. the day before

Across 637 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
  1. Alaska Senate prediction marketsPeltola Holds 70% on Kalshi Despite Staff Allegations as Alaska Senate Race Tightens
  2. Polymarket US sees more growth than Kalshi this weekPrediction Market Volume Nears $20B as Polymarket US Takes Bigger Share
  3. Ohio prediction markets Senate raceSherrod Brown Edges Ahead in Ohio Senate Markets as Husted Fights to Define the Race
  4. Cooper North Carolina Senate prediction marketsCooper Hits 94.5% on Kalshi as North Carolina Moves Toward a Democratic Senate Pickup
Tools

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Bonuses

Start with up to $410 in sign-up bonuses

KalshiTrade $10, Get $25 · code RATE
$25for $10
Polymarket USDeposit $10 get a $50 trading bonus · code RATE
$50for $10
FanDuel PredictsTrade $5, Get $100
$100for $5

Compare all six offers →

How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.