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Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more. Compare odds, volume and price movements.

Featured prediction markets

Biggest market today

Fed Decision in December?

  • 25 bps increase86% 6 pts today (up)

$2.5M traded on Polymarket in 24 hours

AI markets

Which company will have the best AI model?

  • This month: Traders Give Gemini 4 Carbon (High) a 67% Chance to Be the Top AI Model at the End of November.
  • This year: Google is a 72% favorite to have the best AI model at the end of 2026.
Power of Congress

Democrats are favored to win both chambers.

  • Democrats win the House98%
  • Democrats win the Senate87%
Next NFL game

Washington Commanders at New York Giants

  • Giants to win56%

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Senate control (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi + Polymarket
65% → 87%
+22 pts
Kalshi86.4¢Polymarket89¢
+2
Michigan Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
70% → 86%
+16 pts
Dem86¢GOP15¢
Fed hikes Dec. 9Fed · Kalshi
75% → 86%
+11 pts
Kalshi85.5¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Nov 3, 7:03 PM ET).

Today · Nov 3

More questions people are asking

Volume$4.3B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 9 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Polymarket is 2.6 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 2.9¢ on Kalshi and 1.8¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices a December hike at 85.5% in one market and 95.5% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
Explore

Every market, by topic

DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
4.6%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.4%

Weighted by the $8.8B borrowed across 167 markets.

Bitcoin price
$73,861

Down 1.4%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$7.3B

Up 49.9%vs. the day before

Across 681 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
  1. Illustration for "Prediction Markets Face a Tougher Congress as Democrats Plan Oversight Push"Prediction Markets Face a Tougher Congress as Democrats Plan Oversight Push
  2. Illustration for "Three More Operators Sue Missouri as State Countersues Novig"Three More Operators Sue Missouri as State Countersues Novig
  3. polymarket-og-sue-arkansas-after-state-targets-kalshi-featured-1.pngPolymarket and OG Sue Arkansas After State Targets Kalshi
  4. Illustration for "Kalshi Favors Hegseth Impeachment, but Traders Are Less Sure He’ll Leave Office"Kalshi Favors Hegseth Impeachment, but Traders Are Less Sure He’ll Leave Office
Tools

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Bonuses

Start with up to $415 in sign-up bonuses

KalshiTrade $25, Get $55 · code RATE
$55for $25
Polymarket USDeposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus · code RATE
$25for $10
FanDuel PredictsTrade $5, Get $100
$100for $5

Compare all six offers →

How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.