Track Markets & Optimize Yield
We track live data across prediction markets and crypto sectors: lending, borrowing, and decentralized exchanges. We aggregate data from on-chain feeds, platform APIs, and our own databases, then normalize it so you can compare volumes, rates, and market activity across platforms on a single dashboard.
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Market Data
We aggregate raw data from four prediction market platforms into volume-weighted consensus pricing you can’t find anywhere else. Each dashboard tracks cross-platform probabilities, spreads, and arbitrage opportunities so you can compare pricing, follow momentum, and act on discrepancies before they close.
US Election Odds
US election odds aggregated across four prediction market platforms. Track volume-weighted consensus probabilities and cross-platform spreads — updated hourly. For current House, Senate and governor markets, see our 2026 midterms page.
Fed Rate Decision
Real-time probability on the next FOMC rate decision. See the probability of a cut, hold, or hike at a glance, with platform-by-platform breakdowns, historical probability charts
Bitcoin Price
Track where prediction markets think BTC is headed. We aggregate price-level probabilities from four platforms so you can compare consensus targets, spot divergences between providers.
Calculators
Free tools for market traders: convert between probability, decimal, American, and fractional odds formats, scan for cross-platform arbitrage, fee calculator, size positions with Kelly Criterion, and run expected value calculations.
Analytics & App Discovery
We focus on the sectors where data actually matters: prediction markets, DeFi lending, crypto borrowing, and decentralized exchanges. For each, we curate reputable platforms, pull structured on-chain and market data, and surface it through clear dashboards so you can compare protocols, monitor usage, and spot new opportunities.
Prediction Markets
A live dashboard for prediction markets: compare platforms, spot trends, and browse the cross-platform Top 30 movers.
Crypto Lending
Compare DeFi lending rates and APYs across leading protocols so you can earn yield on your crypto with clearer risk and return data.
Crypto Borrowing
Track crypto borrowing rates side by side, so you can unlock liquidity against your holdings while understanding costs and collateral requirements.
DEX Exchanges
Decentralized exchanges let users trade directly from their wallets, with low-friction swaps and broad token access. We highlight DEXs where depth, fees, and UX make the most sense.
Industry News and Updates
Catch up on what’s trending in prediction markets, DeFi, and on-chain finance.
- CFTC Staff Raises Bar for Mention Markets After Manipulation Cases
A September 22 staff advisory says exchanges may need to overcome a presumption that contracts on a person’s words or attendance are readily susceptible to manipulation. This is an advisory only, not a rule or a ban. - Talarico Leads on Prediction Markets in Texas Senate Race as $14.3M Trades on a Once-Unthinkable Toss-Up
James Talarico is now trading at 59% on Kalshi after more than $14.3 million in volume, a sharp shift from early September, when the Texas Senate race was essentially tied. New polling also gives the Democrat a narrow edge over Ken Paxton, an alarming development for Senate Republicans in a state they did not expect to be defending. - Kalshi Gives El-Sayed a Two-to-One Edge in Michigan Senate Race as Polls Move His WayNearly $6 million has traded on Kalshi’s Michigan Senate market, where Abdul El-Sayed is now priced at 67% to beat Republican Mike Rogers. The market’s confidence is no longer standing entirely apart from the polls as a new Suffolk survey gives the Democrat a seven-point lead in the open seat race that could decide Senate control.
- Kalshi Wants to Bring Margin Trading to Prediction MarketsKalshi is asking the CFTC to let institutional traders use margin on selected event contracts, moving prediction markets another step closer to the mechanics of traditional derivatives trading. Sports, culture and “mention” contracts would remain fully collateralized, at least under the current proposal.
Learn More About DeFi Rate
DeFi Rate is run by a small editorial and research team with experience in crypto markets and data analysis. We’ve been cited by the New York Times, ESPN, Coinbase, Wired, and the European Central Bank.
DeFi is a movement focused on creating global, permissionless financial applications on public blockchains. These include lending, borrowing, DEX trading, and increasingly, event-based markets that resemble prediction markets.
DeFi leverages composability – or the ability for applications to integrate and build on top of one another – to offer unique products and services through the use of smart contracts.
We combine original data work with clear explanations. Instead of just summarizing press releases, we build and maintain dashboards—like our lending charts and prediction market volume tracker—that pull live data from multiple sources. Then we add context so traders can understand the risks, incentives, and trends behind the numbers.
We help thousands of people each year do more with their crypto
100+
DeFi and prediction market apps tracked
28,000+
Crypto followers
2020
One of the earliest DeFi analytics sites