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Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Featured prediction markets

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Michigan Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
72% → 68%
−5 pts
Dem68¢GOP33¢
Senate control (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi + Polymarket
65% → 62%
−3 pts
Kalshi61.8¢Polymarket64¢
+2
Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
17% → 19%
+2 pts
Kalshi18.5¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 13, 5:15 PM ET).

Today · Oct 13

More questions people are asking

Volume$3.5B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 9 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Polymarket is 2.2 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 10.5¢ on Kalshi and 9.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 18.5% in one market and 19.5% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
Explore

Every market, by topic

DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
5.0%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.3%

Weighted by the $7.3B borrowed across 143 markets.

Bitcoin price
$83,330

Up 0.2%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$8.4B

Up 88.2%vs. the day before

Across 655 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
  1. Ohio governor prediction marketsRamaswamy Gets a Polling Boost, but Ohio Traders Still Back Acton
  2. Kalshi-Esports-Trading-Rate-10-13-2026.pngKalshi Promo Code RATE: Get a $25 Bonus for Esports Trading This Week
  3. Kansas Senate race prediction marketsDemocrats Put $5M Into Kansas Senate Race as Traders Still Favor Marshall
  4. DWTS-Kalshi-10-13-2026.pngKalshi Promo Code RATE: $25 Bonus for Dancing With the Stars Season 35
Tools

Free tools

Bonuses

Start with up to $385 in sign-up bonuses

KalshiTrade $10, Get $25 · code RATE
$25for $10
Polymarket USDeposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus · code RATE
$25for $10
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$100for $5

Compare all six offers →

How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.