Alabama vs Tennessee
- Alabama64% 11 pts today (down)
$3.1M traded on Kalshi in 24 hours
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Which company will have the best AI model?
- This month: Google is the clear favorite at 78%.
- This year: Anthropic is a 48% favorite to have the best AI model at the end of 2026.
Democrats are favored to win both chambers.
- Democrats win the House90%No change today
- Democrats win the Senate63%No change today
Houston Texans at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Jaguars to win56%
Sports · Biggest move this week
Who wins Super Bowl LXI?
14%49ers
About 1 in 7▲ Up 4 pts this week
Last trades; the price to buy may differ. At the last traded price, $100 would return $790 if correct, before fees.
History: Kalshi. Shaded = no data in our feed. Sources & history› Full page →
Market moves
Biggest moves, last 7 days
Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 17, 5:20 PM ET).
Today · Oct 17
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Disagreements
Where the sources don’t match
Polymarket is 2.2 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate
Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.
A Republican sweep costs 10.5¢ on Kalshi and 8.5¢ on Polymarket
Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.
Kalshi prices an October hike at 13.5% in one market and 14.5% in another
Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.
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Polymarket Promo Code Rate: $25 Bonus for Jaguars vs. Texans London Game
Polymarket Promo Code Rate: $25 Bonus for Notre Dame vs. BYU CFB
Kalshi Promo Code RATE: $25 Bonus for UFC Edmonton Malott vs. Buckley Predictions
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Every number has receipts
SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.