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Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Featured prediction markets

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
33% → 16%
−18 pts
Kalshi15.5¢
Alaska Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
70% → 77%
+7 pts
Dem77¢GOP24¢
Michigan Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
74% → 71%
−3 pts
Dem71¢GOP30¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 7, 6:39 PM ET).

Today · Oct 7

More questions people are asking

Volume$2.7B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 7 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Polymarket is 2.1 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 10.5¢ on Kalshi and 8.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 15.5% in one market and 15.0% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
Explore

Every market, by topic

DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
4.7%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.3%

Weighted by the $7.3B borrowed across 146 markets.

Bitcoin price
$83,272

Down 2.7%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$7.6B

Up 4.4%vs. the day before

Across 656 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
  1. Rays-Yankees-Kalshi-Rate-10-07-2026.pngKalshi Promo Code RATE: $25 Bonus for Rays vs. Yankees Game 3
  2. South Carolina senate prediction marketsGOP Sends $5M to Defend South Carolina as Prediction Markets Still Heavily Favor Graham
  3. Wisconsin governor prediction marketsWisconsin Governor Poll Shows a Toss-Up, Kalshi Gives Crowley a 79% Probability
  4. CFTC crypto rulemakingCFTC Seeks Comments on Spot Crypto Rules as US Figures Out Regulation Post Clarity
Tools

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Bonuses

Start with up to $385 in sign-up bonuses

KalshiTrade $10, Get $25 · code RATE
$25for $10
Polymarket USDeposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus · code RATE
$25for $10
FanDuel PredictsTrade $5, Get $100
$100for $5

Compare all six offers →

How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.