Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Aurora
- Aurora>99%
$1.1M traded on Polymarket in 24 hours
Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source
Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.
Featured prediction markets
Which company will have the best AI model?
- This month: Google is the clear favorite at 72%.
- This year: Google is a 43% favorite to have the best AI model at the end of 2026.
Democrats are favored to win both chambers.
- Democrats win the House90%No change today
- Democrats win the Senate62%No change today
Philadelphia Eagles at Jacksonville Jaguars
- Jaguars to win77%
Economy · Biggest move this week
Will the Fed hike on Oct. 28?
16%Hike
About 1 in 6▼ Down 3 pts this week
Last trades; the price to buy may differ. At the last traded price, $100 would return $645 if correct, before fees.
History: Kalshi. Shaded = no data in our feed. Sources & history› Full page →
Market moves
Biggest moves, last 7 days
Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 9, 5:09 PM ET).
Today · Oct 9
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Disagreements
Where the sources don’t match
Polymarket is 1.2 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate
Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.
A Republican sweep costs 10.5¢ on Kalshi and 8.5¢ on Polymarket
Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.
Kalshi prices an October hike at 15.5% in one market and 17.5% in another
Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.
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DeFi
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Polymarket Promo Code Rate: $25 Bonus for Texas vs. Oklahoma CFB Showdown
Seminole Tribe Sues DraftKings Over Sports Event Contract Offerings in Florida
Polymarket Promo Code Rate: $25 Bonus for Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Thursday Night Football
NFL Backs Up New Jersey Officials in Request for Supreme Court Review
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How we work
Every number has receipts
SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.