DeFi Rate Offer

Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Featured prediction markets

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
63% → 18%
−45 pts
Kalshi18.5¢
Senate control (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi + Polymarket
62% → 65%
+3 pts
Polymarket65¢
+3
Ravens win Super BowlSuper Bowl · Kalshi
6% → 8%
+2 pts
Kalshi8.5¢Polymarket7.8¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 3, 5:01 PM ET).

Today · Oct 3

More questions people are asking

Volume$3.4B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 7 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Kalshi is 1.1 points higher than Polymarket on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 8.2¢ on Kalshi and 6.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 18.0% in one market and 14.0% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
Explore

Every market, by topic

DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
4.5%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.0%

Weighted by the $7.2B borrowed across 145 markets.

Bitcoin price
$84,734

Up 0.6%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$6.9B

Down 22.0%vs. the day before

Across 641 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
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Bonuses

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How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.