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Prediction market odds Every market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Featured prediction markets

Biggest market today

Fed Decision in October?

  • No change69% 12 pts today (down)

$2.1M traded on Polymarket in 24 hours

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
15% → 31%
+17 pts
Kalshi32¢
Alaska Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
77% → 74%
−3 pts
Dem74¢GOP27¢
Michigan Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
71% → 69%
−2 pts
Dem69¢GOP32¢

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Oct 14, 5:08 PM ET).

Today · Oct 14

More questions people are asking

Volume$3.3B traded in the last 24 hoursOn 9 prediction market exchanges, contracts counted at $1.Volume tracker →
Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Polymarket is 1.3 points higher than Kalshi on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 9.8¢ on Kalshi and 8.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 31.3% in one market and 32.5% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
Explore

Every market, by topic

DeFi

DeFi rates today

USDC lending rate
5.1%

Weighted across the biggest DeFi lending pools.

USDC borrowing rate
5.4%

Weighted by the $7.3B borrowed across 143 markets.

Bitcoin price
$81,686

Down 2.1%in 24 hours

Traded on DEXs, 24 hours
$8.1B

Up 9.2%vs. the day before

Across 650 exchanges.

News

Latest news

All news →
  1. ohio state flag in front of courthouseKalshi Asks Full Sixth Circuit to Review Panel Decision Favoring Ohio and Tennessee Officials
  2. Ohio governor prediction marketsRamaswamy Gets a Polling Boost, but Ohio Traders Still Back Acton
  3. Kalshi-Esports-Trading-Rate-10-13-2026.pngKalshi Promo Code RATE: Get a $25 Bonus for Esports Trading This Week
  4. Kansas Senate race prediction marketsDemocrats Put $5M Into Kansas Senate Race as Traders Still Favor Marshall
Tools

Free tools

Bonuses

Start with up to $385 in sign-up bonuses

KalshiTrade $10, Get $25 · code RATE
$25for $10
Polymarket USDeposit $10 get a $25 trading bonus · code RATE
$25for $10
FanDuel PredictsTrade $5, Get $100
$100for $5

Compare all six offers →

How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.