DeFi Rate Offer

Prediction market oddsEvery market’s answer, its best price and its source

Kalshi, Polymarket and more, compared in plain English.

Market moves

Biggest moves, last 7 days

Fed hikes Oct. 28Fed · Kalshi
50% → 69%
+19 pts
Alaska Senate (Dem)Midterms · Kalshi
76% → 71%
−5 pts

Change in percentage points over 7 days, from daily closing prices to the latest observation (Sep 28, 9:02 PM ET).

Today · Sep 28

More questions people are asking

Disagreements

Where the sources don’t match

Venue gap

Kalshi is 0.3 points higher than Polymarket on a Democratic Senate

Kalshi’s figure is built from two contracts, so the comparison is close, not exact.

Midterms →
Like-for-like

A Republican sweep costs 7.8¢ on Kalshi and 7.5¢ on Polymarket

Matching contracts on both venues. Long shots are often pricier on one.

Midterms →
Same venue, two contracts

Kalshi prices an October hike at 68.8% in one market and 70.5% in another

Two contracts that settle on the same outcome.

Fed →
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DeFi

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News

Latest news

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  1. Ohio prediction markets Senate raceSherrod Brown Edges Ahead in Ohio Senate Markets as Husted Fights to Define the Race
  2. Cooper North Carolina Senate prediction marketsCooper Hits 94.5% on Kalshi as North Carolina Moves Toward a Democratic Senate Pickup
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How we work

Every number has receipts

SourcesTap any figure to see the exact contracts, bid and ask, quote age and history.
One methodHeadline figures average Kalshi and Polymarket where both list the question. One venue alone is labeled.
TimestampsData observation and editorial updates are shown separately.
CitableEvery page has a permanent snapshot and downloadable data.