Track Markets & Optimize Yield
We track live data across prediction markets and crypto sectors: lending, borrowing, and decentralized exchanges. We aggregate data from on-chain feeds, platform APIs, and our own databases, then normalize it so you can compare volumes, rates, and market activity across platforms on a single dashboard.
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Market Data
We aggregate raw data from four prediction market platforms into volume-weighted consensus pricing you can’t find anywhere else. Each dashboard tracks cross-platform probabilities, spreads, and arbitrage opportunities so you can compare pricing, follow momentum, and act on discrepancies before they close.
US Election Odds
US election odds aggregated across four prediction market platforms. Track volume-weighted consensus probabilities and cross-platform spreads — updated hourly.
Fed Rate Decision
Real-time probability on the next FOMC rate decision. See the probability of a cut, hold, or hike at a glance, with platform-by-platform breakdowns, historical probability charts
Bitcoin Price
Track where prediction markets think BTC is headed. We aggregate price-level probabilities from four platforms so you can compare consensus targets, spot divergences between providers.
Calculators
Free tools for market traders: convert between probability, decimal, American, and fractional odds formats, scan for cross-platform arbitrage, fee calculator, size positions with Kelly Criterion, and run expected value calculations.
Analytics & App Discovery
We focus on the sectors where data actually matters: prediction markets, DeFi lending, crypto borrowing, and decentralized exchanges. For each, we curate reputable platforms, pull structured on-chain and market data, and surface it through clear dashboards so you can compare protocols, monitor usage, and spot new opportunities.
Prediction Markets
A live dashboard for prediction markets: compare platforms, spot trends, and browse the cross-platform Top 30 movers.
Crypto Lending
Compare DeFi lending rates and APYs across leading protocols so you can earn yield on your crypto with clearer risk and return data.
Crypto Borrowing
Track crypto borrowing rates side by side, so you can unlock liquidity against your holdings while understanding costs and collateral requirements.
DEX Exchanges
Decentralized exchanges let users trade directly from their wallets, with low-friction swaps and broad token access. We highlight DEXs where depth, fees, and UX make the most sense.
Industry News and Updates
Catch up on what’s trending in prediction markets, DeFi, and on-chain finance.
- Prediction Markets Miss Again as Crowley Upsets Hong in Wisconsin’s Democratic Governor Primary
Francesca Hong entered Wisconsin’s Democratic governor primary trading at 96% on prediction markets. She lost anyway. David Crowley’s narrow upset is the sharpest rebuke yet to the idea that the 2026 progressive wave is unstoppable — and it gives centrist Democrats the nominee they argued would be better positioned in a purple-state general election against Republican Tom Tiffany. - CFTC Invokes Emergency Powers, Orders Kalshi to Keep Operating Amid New York Lawsuit
The CFTC declared New York’s attempt to potentially shut down the prediction market exchange a “market emergency,” escalating the federal/state fight over event contracts - Hong Heads Into Wisconsin Governor Primary as Near Prediction Markets Lock, but Her November Problem Is Already Showing
Francesca Hong is trading at 95% to win Wisconsin’s Democratic gubernatorial primary on Kalshi and 96% on Polymarket, putting her at the front of another progressive-wave test Tuesday. But markets have already flipped to Republicans in November, with the GOP at 62% on Kalshi, underscoring the harder question: whether a progressive primary win can hold up in one of the country’s most volatile purple states. - Galactic’s Stalled TIME, Sports Illustrated Prediction Market Plans Resurface With Signs of Kalshi LinkAfter its Sports Illustrated prediction market paused and a planned TIME launch never materialized, U.K.-based Galactic has secured U.S. introducing broker approval for Predictor, while development pages suggest Kalshi contracts could underpin a revived push to embed trading directly in publishers’ articles
Learn More About DeFi Rate
DeFi Rate is run by a small editorial and research team with experience in crypto markets and data analysis. We’ve been cited by the New York Times, ESPN, Coinbase, Wired, and the European Central Bank.
DeFi is a movement focused on creating global, permissionless financial applications on public blockchains. These include lending, borrowing, DEX trading, and increasingly, event-based markets that resemble prediction markets.
DeFi leverages composability – or the ability for applications to integrate and build on top of one another – to offer unique products and services through the use of smart contracts.
We combine original data work with clear explanations. Instead of just summarizing press releases, we build and maintain dashboards—like our lending charts and prediction market volume tracker—that pull live data from multiple sources. Then we add context so traders can understand the risks, incentives, and trends behind the numbers.
We help thousands of people each year do more with their crypto
100+
DeFi and prediction market apps tracked
28,000+
Crypto followers
2020
One of the earliest DeFi analytics sites