Patriots vs. Bills Final Score & Odds RecapThe Patriots beat the Bills 29–26 on the road
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, Sunday, Oct 4. Final: Patriots 29, Bills 26. Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket settled the game on New England.
Settled on Kalshi (Oct 4, 4:15 PM ET), Polymarket US (Oct 4, 4:20 PM ET) and Polymarket (Oct 4, 4:33 PM ET)
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Patriots vs. Bills moneyline
Kalshi: SettledPolymarket US: SettledPolymarket: Settled Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 4:33 PM and 11:28 PM ET.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Oct 3 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
How the Patriots vs. Bills spread and total settled
Kalshi's results for the lines either side of where each ladder settled.
| 3+ pts | Settled Yes |
|---|---|
| 4+ pts | Settled No |
All 27 spread lines
| Patriots 2+ pts | Settled Yes |
|---|---|
| Patriots 3+ pts | Settled Yes |
| Patriots 4+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 5+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 6+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 7+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 8+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 10+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 11+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 14+ pts | Settled No |
| Patriots 15+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 2+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 3+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 4+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 5+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 6+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 7+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 8+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 10+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 11+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 14+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 15+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 17+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 18+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 21+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 24+ pts | Settled No |
| Bills 28+ pts | Settled No |
| 54.5 | Settled Yes |
|---|---|
| 57.5 | Settled No |
All 19 total lines
| 27.5 | Settled Yes |
|---|---|
| 30.5 | Settled Yes |
| 33.5 | Settled Yes |
| 36.5 | Settled Yes |
| 39.5 | Settled Yes |
| 42.5 | Settled Yes |
| 45.5 | Settled Yes |
| 46.5 | Settled Yes |
| 47.5 | Settled Yes |
| 48.5 | Settled Yes |
| 49.5 | Settled Yes |
| 50.5 | Settled Yes |
| 51.5 | Settled Yes |
| 54.5 | Settled Yes |
| 57.5 | Settled No |
| 60.5 | Settled No |
| 63.5 | Settled No |
| 66.5 | Settled No |
| 69.5 | Settled No |
Settled Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 4, 2:23 PM and 4:52 PM ET.
NFL Week 4 games 16 games
- FinalPIT Steelers24CLE Browns27$61M traded
- FinalIND Colts30WAS Commanders13$31M traded
- FinalARI Cardinals24NYG Giants36$12M traded
- FinalDAL Cowboys34HOU Texans30$22M traded
- FinalGB Packers17TB Buccaneers14$11M traded
- FinalJAC Jaguars22CIN Bengals17$14M traded
- FinalLAR Rams24PHI Eagles20$22M traded
- FinalThis gameNE Patriots29BUF Bills26$22M traded
- FinalNYJ Jets12CHI Bears23$9.7M traded
- FinalMIA Dolphins10MIN Vikings15$15M traded
- FinalTEN Titans18BAL Ravens24$10M traded
- FinalDEN Broncos14SF 49ers24$23M traded
- FinalKC Chiefs30LV Raiders27$44M traded
- FinalLAC Chargers23SEA Seahawks30$16M traded
- FinalDET Lions26CAR Panthers32$58M traded
- FinalATL Falcons45NO Saints24$57M traded
Patriots vs. Bills stats
Historical comparison: these figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2 and are preserved at that cutoff. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages, not this game’s final stats or current season totals. The final score and market results appear above.
| Team stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 15 | 38.5 |
| Total yards per game | 302 | 427.5 |
| Passing yards per game | 193 | 291 |
| Rushing yards per game | 122.5 | 144.5 |
| First downs per game | 17 | 27 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.1% | 57.1% |
| Red-zone TD rate | 33.3% | 75.0% |
| Turnover differential | −3 | +2 |
| Sacks per game | 3 | 3.5 |
| Time of possession | 30:45 | 28:44 |
Stat leaders: Patriots — passing, Drake Maye (37/55, 386 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT); rushing, Rhamondre Stevenson (24 CAR, 94 YDS); receiving, Romeo Doubs (3 REC, 96 YDS); Bills — passing, Josh Allen (40/60, 582 YDS, 5 TD); rushing, James Cook III (34 CAR, 192 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Dalton Kincaid (12 REC, 225 YDS, 1 TD).
Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; preserved as a historical snapshot, not refreshed after subsequent weeks.
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