Patriots vs. Bills (Oct 4, 2026)Buffalo is a 70% favorite at home against New England
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills, Sunday, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET. Buffalo is a 70% favorite at home against New England, averaging Kalshi (70%), Polymarket US (69%) and Polymarket (70%).
About 7 in 10 (−231)
Prices to buy. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:38 PM ET); Polymarket US's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:02 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 1:18 PM ET); they may have moved.
About 1 in 3 (+229)
Prices to buy. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:38 PM ET); Polymarket US's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:02 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 1:18 PM ET); they may have moved.
New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills
Traded in the past 24 hours: $930 on Kalshi and $52 on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; Polymarket's displayed price. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 25, 1:18 PM and 3:38 PM ET.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Sep 24 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Patriots vs. Bills stats
These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.
| Team stat | Patriots | Bills |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 1-1 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 15 | 38.5 |
| Total yards per game | 302 | 427.5 |
| Passing yards per game | 193 | 291 |
| Rushing yards per game | 122.5 | 144.5 |
| First downs per game | 17 | 27 |
| Third-down conversion | 32.1% | 57.1% |
| Red-zone TD rate | 33.3% | 75.0% |
| Turnover differential | −3 | +2 |
| Sacks per game | 3 | 3.5 |
| Time of possession | 30:45 | 28:44 |
Stat leaders: Patriots — passing, Drake Maye (37/55, 386 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT); rushing, Rhamondre Stevenson (24 CAR, 94 YDS); receiving, Romeo Doubs (3 REC, 96 YDS); Bills — passing, Josh Allen (40/60, 582 YDS, 5 TD); rushing, James Cook III (34 CAR, 192 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Dalton Kincaid (12 REC, 225 YDS, 1 TD).
Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.
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