Commanders vs. GiantsWeek 10 Predictions, Picks and Odds
Washington Commanders at New York Giants, Thursday, Nov 12, 8:15 PM ET. Prediction markets give the Giants a 57% chance to win (−130) and the Commanders 43% (+130). Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini agree within a point. Kalshi's lines make it Giants −2.5, with 41.5 total points. The Giants are up 3 points this week on Kalshi. $198K has traded on the game in the last 24 hours.
About 3 in 5 (−130)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $176 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+130)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $229 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 56¢58.7¢57¢ + fee$170per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 56.5¢58.5¢56.8¢ + fee$171per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Giants by 2.5 with 41 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: NYG -2.5, total 41.5.
Commanders vs. Giants moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New York GiantsHome · −130 | 57% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $176 | Kalshi57¢ | Polymarket US56.8¢ | Gemini57¢ | |
| Washington CommandersAway · +130 | 43% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $229 | Kalshi44¢ | Polymarket US43.5¢ | Gemini44¢ |
Best prices to buy: the Giants at 56.8¢ on Polymarket US; Washington at 43.5¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $182K on Kalshi and $15K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 11, 7:51 AM and 7:54 AM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, the Giants gained 3 points, to 57%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Nov 3 to Nov 10 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Commanders vs. Giants spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 24 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 11, 6:59 AM and 7:56 AM ET.
Commanders vs. Giants team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 11, 7:56 AM ET.
Commanders vs. Giants player props
Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Devin SingletaryNYG | Anytime touchdown | 26% | 26¢ | 75¢ |
| Malik NabersNYG | Anytime touchdown | 37% | 37¢ | 64¢ |
| Malik NabersNYG | First touchdown | 9.5% | 10¢ | 91¢ |
| Jayden DanielsWAS | 200+ passing yards | 52% | 52¢ | 49¢ |
| Isaiah LikelyNYG | First touchdown | 8.5% | 9¢ | 92¢ |
| Stefon DiggsWAS | Anytime touchdown | 28% | 28¢ | 73¢ |
| Isaiah LikelyNYG | Anytime touchdown | 32% | 32¢ | 69¢ |
| Isaiah LikelyNYG | 50+ receiving yards | 50% | 50¢ | 51¢ |
| Jaden BradleyWAS | Anytime touchdown | 6.5% | 7¢ | 94¢ |
| Devin SingletaryNYG | 25+ rushing yards | 50% | 50¢ | 51¢ |
| Chig OkonkwoWAS | 40+ receiving yards | 44% | 44¢ | 57¢ |
| Malik NabersNYG | 6+ receptions | 54% | 55¢ | 47¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Nov 11, 7:55 AM ET.
Live at kickoff
8:15 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 10 games 2 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETThis gameWAS CommandersNYG GiantsNYG 57%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETHOU TexansCLE BrownsHOU 67%
The New York Giants are narrow favorites over the Washington Commanders, with Kalshi giving them approximately a 55% chance to win as of November 9. The teams met in Week 5, playing to a 27–27 tie in Washington.
New York comes off a 19–11 win over Philadelphia, while Washington lost 20–13 to the Rams. With both teams on a short week, Thursday’s rematch is another closely priced contest.
Compare how Kalshi and Polymarket US price the rematch, including win probabilities, spreads and totals. Our live odds feed is updated every 2 minutes so you can compare Kalshi vs. Polymarket odds.
Every Week 10 game, the Super Bowl and the award races are on the NFL odds page, and the week's printable pick'em sheet has every game on one page.
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