NFL Week 5 VolumeThe public is backing 6 Week 5 underdogs, with $83.69M traded so far
Prediction market traders have put $83.69M on NFL Week 5's games since the markets opened: $47.06M on who wins, $10.98M on player props and the rest on spreads, totals and quarters. The most is on Buccaneers at Cowboys ($76.62M). In 6 games most of the money is on the team the odds say will lose, led by the Browns: 82% of the money at 44% odds.
- Kalshi$66.49M79%
- Polymarket US$12.97M15%
- Polymarket$4.23M5%
Who the money says wins each Week 5 game
Each game has two bars in its teams’ colors: the money traders put on each side, and the market’s odds. Where a team’s money runs further than its odds, traders like it more than the market does.
Traders backed the Cowboys, and they lost 16–24. 82% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 65% chance to win.
- Winner
- $43.29M
- Spread
- $11.54M
- Total
- $5.02M
- Props
- $10.45M
- Other
- $5.58M
- Kalshi
- $60.75M79%
- Poly US
- $12.31M16%
- Polymarket
- $3.56M5%
Traders back the Jaguars, but less than the odds do: 62% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 77% chance to win.
- Winner
- $571K
- Spread
- $163K
- Total
- $139K
- Props
- $55.8K
- Other
- $12.8K
- Kalshi
- $790K84%
- Polymarket
- $152K16%
Traders back the Packers, the underdog: 57% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 48% chance to win.
- Winner
- $504K
- Spread
- $113K
- Props
- $35.7K
- Kalshi
- $454K69%
- Poly US
- $70.5K11%
- Polymarket
- $137K21%
The money matches the odds on the Bengals: 72% of the money is on them, and the odds give them a 74% chance to win.
- Winner
- $126K
- Spread
- $27.6K
- Total
- $87.6K
- Props
- $37.6K
- Other
- $9.1K
- Kalshi
- $242K84%
- Poly US
- $39.5K14%
- Polymarket
- $6.9K2%
Traders back the Browns, the underdog: 82% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 44% chance to win.
- Winner
- $201K
- Spread
- $94.8K
- Total
- $14.3K
- Props
- $14.0K
- Other
- $6.1K
- Kalshi
- $221K67%
- Poly US
- $61.4K19%
- Polymarket
- $47.0K14%
Traders back the Texans, but less than the odds do: 57% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 77% chance to win.
- Winner
- $123K
- Spread
- $258K
- Total
- $41.7K
- Props
- $33.6K
- Other
- $18.2K
- Kalshi
- $415K88%
- Poly US
- $40.7K9%
- Polymarket
- $18.7K4%
The money matches the odds on the Steelers: 61% of the money is on them, and the odds give them a 58% chance to win.
- Winner
- $72.3K
- Spread
- $158K
- Total
- $33.0K
- Props
- $56.3K
- Other
- $8.1K
- Kalshi
- $278K85%
- Poly US
- $37.6K11%
- Polymarket
- $12.2K4%
Traders back the Raiders, the underdog: 74% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 36% chance to win.
- Winner
- $562K
- Spread
- $97.6K
- Total
- $43.1K
- Props
- $52.3K
- Other
- $14.6K
- Kalshi
- $643K83%
- Poly US
- $67.4K9%
- Polymarket
- $60.2K8%
Traders are piling on the Vikings: 75% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 56% chance to win.
- Winner
- $146K
- Spread
- $49.7K
- Total
- $24.6K
- Props
- $65.0K
- Other
- $5.0K
- Kalshi
- $237K81%
- Poly US
- $37.1K13%
- Polymarket
- $17.1K6%
Traders back the Giants, the underdog: 71% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 37% chance to win.
- Winner
- $196K
- Spread
- $120K
- Total
- $27.1K
- Props
- $15.2K
- Other
- $7.5K
- Kalshi
- $252K69%
- Poly US
- $36.4K10%
- Polymarket
- $77.4K21%
The money matches the odds on the Broncos: 65% of the money is on them, and the odds give them a 63% chance to win.
- Winner
- $76.7K
- Spread
- $397K
- Total
- $90.3K
- Props
- $43.2K
- Kalshi
- $571K93%
- Poly US
- $24.2K4%
- Polymarket
- $17.1K3%
The money matches the odds on the Lions: 71% of the money is on them, and the odds give them a 70% chance to win.
- Winner
- $59.6K
- Spread
- $41.7K
- Total
- $14.9K
- Props
- $38.4K
- Other
- $10.6K
- Kalshi
- $121K73%
- Poly US
- $26.0K16%
- Polymarket
- $18.1K11%
Traders back the 49ers, the underdog: 73% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 39% chance to win.
- Winner
- $571K
- Spread
- $88.5K
- Total
- $57.1K
- Props
- $42.1K
- Other
- $11.5K
- Kalshi
- $639K83%
- Poly US
- $102K13%
- Polymarket
- $30.8K4%
The money matches the odds on the Falcons: 60% of the money is on them, and the odds give them a 61% chance to win.
- Winner
- $402K
- Spread
- $354K
- Total
- $47.3K
- Props
- $25.1K
- Kalshi
- $717K86%
- Poly US
- $78.8K9%
- Polymarket
- $40.1K5%
Traders back the Bills, the underdog: 67% of the money is on them, while the odds give them a 38% chance to win.
- Winner
- $152K
- Spread
- $56.7K
- Total
- $2.7K
- Props
- $12.8K
- Other
- $8.9K
- Kalshi
- $161K69%
- Poly US
- $37.6K16%
- Polymarket
- $34.6K15%
Where Week 5 was traded
Kalshi handled 79% of the money traded on Week 5. The average trade was biggest on Polymarket ($302) and smallest on Polymarket US ($49). Player props are 14% of Kalshi’s money.
Kalshi
79% of the week- Trades
- 1,014,756
- Avg. trade
- $66
- Last 24h
- $58.11M
- Winner
- $36.01M54%
- Spread
- $10.19M15%
- Total
- $4.43M7%
- Quarters & halves
- $706K1%
- Player props
- $9.45M14%
- Other
- $5.71M9%
Polymarket US
15% of the week- Trades
- 267,271
- Avg. trade
- $49
- Last 24h
- $12.23M
- Winner
- $8.75M67%
- Spread
- $2.05M16%
- Total
- $605K5%
- Player props
- $1.53M12%
Polymarket
5% of the week- Trades
- 14,030
- Avg. trade
- $302
- Last 24h
- $3.46M
- Winner
- $2.30M54%
- Spread
- $1.32M31%
- Total
- $617K15%
What Week 5 parlays are riding on
Kalshi parlay buyers have put at least $25.15M on combos with a Week 5 leg, across 60,442 parlays averaging 6.5 legs. Traders betting against those parlays paid another $61.83M.
Most-parlayed picks
Backers’ money in parlays with each leg (a parlay counts for each of its legs).
- Cowboys to win19,497 parlays$9.20Mbacking
- Texans to win4,164 parlays$1.47Mbacking
- Jaguars to win3,872 parlays$1.37Mbacking
- Buccaneers to win4,166 parlays$1.37Mbacking
- Javonte Williams anytime touchdown4,609 parlays$1.37Mbacking
- Bengals to win4,905 parlays$1.28Mbacking
- Dak Prescott 200+ passing yards3,506 parlays$1.07Mbacking
- Bucky Irving 30+ rushing yards3,318 parlays$1.05Mbacking
Biggest parlays
The largest bets that every leg hits.
- $62.8K to win $92.2KCowboys to win · Toledo wins · Arizona St. wins3legs
- $49.0K to win $127KBuccaneers +13.5 · Over 45.52legs
- $48.9K to win $72.9KDak Prescott 225+ passing yards · Argentina wins · Will over 1.5 goals be scored? · Spain wins · Will over 1.5 goals be scored?5legs
Kalshi parlays (multi-leg combos) with at least one leg in a Week 5 game, counted once each. Money is what buyers paid; backers bought YES (every leg hits), faders bought NO. Kept apart from the week’s other figures. AllTop knows the legs of 83% of Kalshi’s parlay dollars in the week’s window, so these are floors. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate.
Biggest Week 5 trades
The largest single trades on a winner.
- Buccaneers at 99¢Buccaneers at Cowboys · Kalshi · Thu 11:14 PM$429Kpays $433K
- Buccaneers at 89¢Buccaneers at Cowboys · Kalshi · Thu 10:33 PM$318Kpays $358K
- Cowboys at 81¢Buccaneers at Cowboys · Polymarket · Thu 5:04 PM$311Kpays $384K
- Cowboys at 81¢Buccaneers at Cowboys · Kalshi · Thu 6:51 PM$244Kpays $301K
- Cowboys at 80¢Buccaneers at Cowboys · Kalshi · Tue 4:26 PM$244Kpays $305K
- Cowboys at 80¢Buccaneers at Cowboys · Kalshi · Tue 4:26 PM$244Kpays $305K
Biggest line moves
Kalshi’s price, since the market opened.
- Jacksonville JaguarsEagles at Jaguars · 47% → 77%+30points
- Atlanta FalconsRavens at Falcons · 32% → 61%+29points
- Cincinnati BengalsBengals at Dolphins · 63% → 74%+11points
- Houston TexansTexans at Titans · 67% → 77%+10points
- Denver BroncosBroncos at Chargers · 58% → 63%+5points
- Seattle Seahawks49ers at Seahawks · 56% → 61%+5points
Most-traded players
Dollars traded across each player’s props.
- George Pickens44 markets · Buccaneers at Cowboys$1.45Mtraded
- Bucky Irving60 markets · Buccaneers at Cowboys$1.30Mtraded
- CeeDee Lamb53 markets · Buccaneers at Cowboys$1.26Mtraded
- Javonte Williams30 markets · Buccaneers at Cowboys$879Ktraded
- Jalon Daniels21 markets · Buccaneers at Cowboys$640Ktraded
Where the public disagrees with the market
Each dot is a game’s public pick: across, its chance to win; up, its share of the money. Above the dashed line, traders liked it more than the odds did. Bigger dots, more money.
82% of the money at 44% odds against the Jets.
75% of the money, 19 points above their 56% odds.
38% of the money at 24% odds against the Jaguars.
the Bengals, the Steelers, the Broncos, the Lions, the Falcons: the money and the odds agree.
Week 5 money, game by game
Every game’s money, by market and by exchange, and the side buyers took. Tap a column to sort.
| Money | By exchange | The public | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money vs. odds | Whales | |||||||||
| Buccaneers at CowboysFinal 24–16 | $76.62M | $43.29M | $10.45M | 1,121,821 | $60.75M79% | $12.31M16% | $3.56M5% | Money TB 18%Odds 35% | 44931% | +17 |
| Eagles at JaguarsSun 9:30 AM ET | $942K | $571K | $55.8K | 17,784 | $790K84% | – | $152K16% | Money PHI 38%Odds 24% | 518% | −14 |
| Ravens at FalconsSun 8:20 PM ET | $836K | $402K | $25.1K | 13,847 | $717K86% | $78.8K9% | $40.1K5% | Money BAL 40%Odds 39% | 521% | −1 |
| 49ers at SeahawksSun 4:25 PM ET | $772K | $571K | $42.1K | 27,621 | $639K83% | $102K13% | $30.8K4% | Money SF 73%Odds 39% | – | +34 |
| Raiders at PatriotsSun 1 PM ET | $770K | $562K | $52.3K | 27,194 | $643K83% | $67.4K9% | $60.2K8% | Money LV 74%Odds 36% | 38% | +37 |
| Bears at PackersSun 1 PM ET | $662K | $504K | $35.7K | 14,344 | $454K69% | $70.5K11% | $137K21% | Money CHI 43%Odds 52% | 229% | +8 |
| Broncos at ChargersSun 4:05 PM ET | $612K | $76.7K | $43.2K | 6,132 | $571K93% | $24.2K4% | $17.1K3% | Money DEN 65%Odds 63% | – | +2 |
| Texans at TitansSun 1 PM ET | $475K | $123K | $33.6K | 7,449 | $415K88% | $40.7K9% | $18.7K4% | Money HOU 57%Odds 77% | 114% | −19 |
| Giants at CommandersSun 1 PM ET | $366K | $196K | $15.2K | 9,653 | $252K69% | $36.4K10% | $77.4K21% | Money NYG 71%Odds 37% | 213% | +34 |
| Browns at JetsSun 1 PM ET | $330K | $201K | $14.0K | 11,083 | $221K67% | $61.4K19% | $47.0K14% | Money CLE 82%Odds 44% | 19% | +38 |
| Colts at SteelersSun 1 PM ET | $328K | $72.3K | $56.3K | 6,441 | $278K85% | $37.6K11% | $12.2K4% | Money IND 39%Odds 42% | – | +3 |
| Vikings at SaintsSun 1 PM ET | $291K | $146K | $65.0K | 10,039 | $237K81% | $37.1K13% | $17.1K6% | Money MIN 75%Odds 56% | – | +19 |
| Bengals at DolphinsSun 1 PM ET | $288K | $126K | $37.6K | 8,006 | $242K84% | $39.5K14% | $6.9K2% | Money CIN 72%Odds 74% | – | −1 |
| Bills at RamsMon 8:15 PM ET | $233K | $152K | $12.8K | 8,434 | $161K69% | $37.6K16% | $34.6K15% | Money BUF 67%Odds 38% | 113% | +28 |
| Lions at CardinalsSun 4:25 PM ET | $165K | $59.6K | $38.4K | 6,209 | $121K73% | $26.0K16% | $18.1K11% | Money DET 71%Odds 70% | – | +1 |
| Week 5 | $83.69M | $47.06M | $10.98M | 1,296,057 | $66.49M79% | $12.97M15% | $4.23M5% | |||
Money: every market on each game (winner, spread, total, quarters and player props), price × contracts as each exchange reports its trades. Winner and Props: those markets alone. Whales: winner trades of $10,000 or more, and their share of the winner money. Exchanges: Kalshi, Polymarket US (Polymarket’s US exchange) and Polymarket (its international exchange). Sides: Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers, by the team they bought (Polymarket doesn’t publish its buyer’s side). Odds: the average of Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s midpoints. Gap: the public pick’s share of the money minus its chance. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate, as of Oct 9, 3:25 AM ET.
Week 5 in numbers
Ready to quote. Each line carries its time; copy one and cite DeFi Rate.
- $83.69M has been traded on NFL Week 5 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket since the markets opened, $47.06M of it on the winners, across 1,296,057 trades (as of Oct 9, 3:25 AM ET).
- Buccaneers at Cowboys has drawn the most money of any Week 5 game: $76.62M.
- In 6 Week 5 games, most prediction market money is on the underdog, led by the Browns (82% of the money at 44% odds).
- Kalshi accounts for 79% of the money traded on Week 5 games; Polymarket US for 15%.
- The biggest single Week 5 trade so far: $429K on the Buccaneers at 99 cents on Kalshi.
- The team with most of the prediction market money won 0 of 1 finished Week 5 games.
- Kalshi parlay buyers have put at least $25.15M on parlays with a Week 5 leg; the most-parlayed pick is DAL to win (as of Oct 9, 3:25 AM ET).
- $10.98M has been traded on Week 5 player props; George Pickens draws the most, $1.45M across 44 markets.
Use these numbers
- Money
- What buyers paid for contracts. A contract pays $1 if it comes true.
- Public pick
- The team Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers put more dollars on, before kickoff.
- Odds
- The market’s chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask, averaged across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
- Updated
- Every five minutes, from every trade.
NFL Week 5 money, answered
Which NFL Week 5 game has the most money traded on it?
Buccaneers at Cowboys, with $76.62M traded on the winner across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
How much has been traded on NFL Week 5?
$83.69M on the week's games since the markets opened ($47.06M on the winners), in 1,296,057 trades, $73.80M of it in the last 24 hours.
How did the public's Week 5 picks do?
The team with most of the money won 0 of 1 finished games.
Which Week 5 underdogs is the public backing?
The Browns: 82% of the money at 44% odds. The Raiders: 74% of the money at 36% odds. The 49ers: 73% of the money at 39% odds. The Giants: 71% of the money at 37% odds. The Bills: 67% of the money at 38% odds. The Packers: 57% of the money at 48% odds.
How much has been traded on NFL Week 5 player props?
$10.98M since the markets opened. George Pickens draws the most prop money, $1.45M across 44 markets.
What was the biggest Week 5 trade?
$429K on the Buccaneers at 99 cents on Kalshi.
Where do these numbers come from?
Every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, collected by AllTop and counted by DeFi Rate. Money is what buyers paid; the side is the team they bought.
Week 5 odds & results
1 final14 upcoming Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 8, 11:24 PM ET and Oct 9, 3:28 AM ET.
Where prediction market money is going on NFL Week 5: the dollars traded on every game, which team the buyers are taking, the biggest single trades and the most-traded player props, across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket. For each game’s odds, spread and total, see NFL Week 5 odds: latest prices.
Week 5 games
- Buccaneers vs. Cowboys: Thursday, Oct. 8, 8:15 p.m. ET
- Eagles vs. Jaguars: Sunday, Oct. 11, 9:30 a.m. ET
- Raiders vs. Patriots: Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Browns vs. Jets: Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Bengals vs. Dolphins: Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Colts vs. Steelers: Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Giants vs. Commanders: Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Texans vs. Titans: Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Vikings vs. Saints: Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET
- Broncos vs. Chargers: Sunday, Oct. 11, 4:05 p.m. ET
- Lions vs. Cardinals: Sunday, Oct. 11, 4:25 p.m. ET
- 49ers vs. Seahawks: Sunday, Oct. 11, 4:25 p.m. ET
- Bears vs. Packers: Sunday, Oct. 11, 4:25 p.m. ET
- Ravens vs. Falcons: Sunday, Oct. 11, 8:20 p.m. ET
- Bills vs. Rams: Monday, Oct. 12, 8:15 p.m. ET
See every game, the Super Bowl and MVP races on the NFL odds page, and print the pick'em sheet.
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