NFL Week 10 VolumeMost of the volume is on 3 Week 10 underdogs, with $13.62M traded so far
Prediction markets have traded $13.62M (Kalshi counted at $1 a contract) on NFL Week 10's games since the markets opened: $9.50M on who wins, $639K on player props and the rest on spreads, totals and quarters. The most is on Commanders at Giants ($12.44M). In 3 games most of the volume is on the team the market prices to lose, led by the Vikings: 60% of the volume at a 41% price.
- Kalshi$125K1%
- Polymarket US$8.65M63%
- Polymarket$4.85M36%
Which team the volume backs in each Week 10 game
Each game has two bars in its teams’ colors: the volume traders put on each side, and the market’s price. Where a team’s share of the volume runs further than its price, traders like it more than the market does.
Traders backed the Giants, and they lost 21–24. 58% of the volume before kickoff was on them, while the opening price gave them a 52% chance to win.
- Winner
- $8.78M
- Spread
- $2.28M
- Total
- $723K
- Props
- $621K
- Kalshi
- $8.9K0%
- Poly US
- $8.11M65%
- Polymarket
- $4.32M35%
Traders back the Patriots, the underdog: 52% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 42% chance to win.
- Winner
- $69.6K
- Spread
- $39.6K
- Total
- $30.5K
- Props
- $6.4K
- Kalshi
- $8.7K6%
- Poly US
- $51.0K35%
- Polymarket
- $86.4K59%
Traders back the Bills a bit more than the price does: 93% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 79% chance to win.
- Winner
- $69.2K
- Spread
- $20.4K
- Total
- $4.0K
- Kalshi
- $3.6K4%
- Poly US
- $58.1K62%
- Polymarket
- $32.3K34%
Traders back the Panthers, the underdog: 56% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 45% chance to win.
- Winner
- $11.6K
- Spread
- $3.3K
- Total
- $1.3K
- Props
- $224
- Kalshi
- $7084%
- Poly US
- $10.6K65%
- Polymarket
- $5.1K31%
Traders back the Texans, but less than the price does: 59% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 68% chance to win.
- Winner
- $16.1K
- Spread
- $26.4K
- Total
- $20.6K
- Kalshi
- $1.3K2%
- Poly US
- $27.6K44%
- Polymarket
- $34.5K54%
The volume matches the price on the Jaguars: 89% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at an 84% chance to win.
- Winner
- $79.1K
- Spread
- $24.0K
- Total
- $1.1K
- Kalshi
- $10.4K10%
- Poly US
- $45.3K43%
- Polymarket
- $48.7K47%
Traders are piling on the Chiefs: 88% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 63% chance to win.
- Winner
- $59.1K
- Spread
- $19.4K
- Total
- $20.0K
- Props
- $1.9K
- Kalshi
- $2.9K3%
- Poly US
- $35.5K35%
- Polymarket
- $61.9K62%
Traders are piling on the Colts: 91% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 66% chance to win.
- Winner
- $22.9K
- Spread
- $14.1K
- Total
- $9.1K
- Kalshi
- $4.2K9%
- Poly US
- $12.6K27%
- Polymarket
- $29.4K64%
Traders back the Vikings, the underdog: 60% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 41% chance to win.
- Winner
- $86.9K
- Spread
- $63.2K
- Total
- $11.7K
- Props
- $3.4K
- Kalshi
- $6.5K4%
- Poly US
- $57.1K35%
- Polymarket
- $102K62%
The volume matches the price on the Rams: 88% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at an 80% chance to win.
- Winner
- $32.4K
- Spread
- $12.3K
- Total
- $9.4K
- Kalshi
- $2.5K5%
- Poly US
- $35.9K66%
- Polymarket
- $16.0K29%
Traders back the Seahawks a bit more than the price does: 82% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 72% chance to win.
- Winner
- $75.4K
- Spread
- $27.0K
- Props
- $1.1K
- Kalshi
- $5.1K5%
- Poly US
- $60.9K58%
- Polymarket
- $38.2K37%
Traders back the 49ers a bit more than the price does: 77% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 66% chance to win.
- Winner
- $110K
- Spread
- $47.0K
- Kalshi
- $14.2K9%
- Poly US
- $107K68%
- Polymarket
- $36.8K23%
The volume matches the price on the Bengals: 60% of the volume is on them, and the market prices them at a 63% chance to win.
- Winner
- $41.7K
- Spread
- $25.8K
- Total
- $2.6K
- Props
- $3.5K
- Kalshi
- $24.9K34%
- Poly US
- $22.2K30%
- Polymarket
- $26.6K36%
Traders back the Ravens, but less than the price does: 53% of the volume is on them, while the market prices them at a 66% chance to win.
- Winner
- $45.9K
- Spread
- $9.4K
- Kalshi
- $31.4K57%
- Poly US
- $18.4K33%
- Polymarket
- $5.6K10%
Where Week 10 was traded
Kalshi handled 1% of the volume traded on Week 10. The average trade was biggest on Polymarket ($302) and smallest on Kalshi ($0). Player props are 7% of Polymarket US’s volume.
Kalshi
1% of the week- Trades
- 837,268
- Avg. trade
- $0
- Last 24h
- $111.99M
- Winner
- $125K99%
- Spread
- $6611%
Polymarket US
63% of the week- Trades
- 215,395
- Avg. trade
- $40
- Last 24h
- $7.15M
- Winner
- $6.54M76%
- Spread
- $1.05M12%
- Total
- $375K4%
- Player props
- $639K7%
Polymarket
36% of the week- Trades
- 16,022
- Avg. trade
- $302
- Last 24h
- $3.39M
- Winner
- $2.83M58%
- Spread
- $1.55M32%
- Total
- $459K9%
What Week 10 combos are riding on
Kalshi combo buyers have put at least $23.53M into combos with a Week 10 leg, across 49,125 combos averaging 8.8 legs. Traders taking the other side (NO) paid another $96.62M.
Most-traded combo legs
YES volume in combos with each leg (a combo counts for each of its legs).
- Jaguars to win12,916 combos$6.73MYES
- Bills to win11,838 combos$5.98MYES
- Giants to win8,487 combos$4.63MYES
- 49ers to win7,247 combos$3.92MYES
- Rams to win7,239 combos$3.70MYES
- Chiefs to win7,342 combos$3.63MYES
- Seahawks to win6,287 combos$3.36MYES
- Commanders to win4,310 combos$2.15MYES
Biggest combos
The largest YES trades, which pay only if every leg hits.
- $106K to win $125KNo: Washington wins 1Q by over 10.5 points? · No: Jayden Daniels 80+ rushing yards · Giants +16.5 · Under 56.5 · Bowling Green wins5legs
- $101K to win $150KBills to win · Jaguars to win2legs
- $96.0K to win $236KBills to win · Jaguars to win · Chiefs to win · 49ers to win4legs
Kalshi combos (multi-leg contracts) with at least one leg in a Week 10 game, counted once each. Volume is what buyers paid; YES buyers need every leg to hit, NO buyers take the other side. Kept apart from the week’s other figures. AllTop knows the legs of 49% of Kalshi’s combo dollars in the week’s window, so these are floors. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate.
Biggest Week 10 trades
The largest single trades on who wins.
- Commanders at 45¢Commanders at Giants · Kalshi · Thu 8:21 PM$219Kpays $487K
- Seahawks at 68¢Seahawks at Raiders · Kalshi · Tue 2:36 PM$204Kpays $300K
- Giants at 92¢Commanders at Giants · Kalshi · Thu 11:04 PM$196Kpays $213K
- Colts at 57¢Dolphins at Colts · Kalshi · Tue 3:45 PM$171Kpays $300K
- Giants at 54¢Commanders at Giants · Polymarket · Thu 7:20 PM$162Kpays $300K
- Giants at 55¢Commanders at Giants · Kalshi · Thu 8:02 PM$121Kpays $219K
Biggest price moves
Kalshi’s price, since the market opened.
- Houston TexansTexans at Browns · 41% → 68%+27points
- Seattle SeahawksSeahawks at Raiders · 55% → 72%+18points
- Indianapolis ColtsDolphins at Colts · 53% → 66%+14points
- Baltimore RavensChargers at Ravens · 53% → 66%+14points
- Green Bay PackersVikings at Packers · 49% → 59%+10points
- Cincinnati BengalsSteelers at Bengals · 54% → 63%+9points
- Cam Skattebo42 markets · Commanders at Giants$2.35Mtraded
- Jayden Daniels44 markets · Commanders at Giants$2.06Mtraded
- Malik Nabers31 markets · Commanders at Giants$1.31Mtraded
- Isaiah Likely42 markets · Commanders at Giants$1.31Mtraded
- J.J. McCarthy22 markets · Commanders at Giants$1.08Mtraded
Where the volume disagrees with the market
Each dot is the team with more volume in a game: across, its chance to win; up, its share of the volume. Above the dashed line, traders liked it more than the market price does. Bigger dots, more volume.
60% of the volume at 41% price against the Packers.
88% of the volume, 26 points above their 63% price.
41% of the volume at 32% price against the Texans.
the Giants, the Jaguars, the Rams, the Bengals: the volume and the price agree.
Week 10 volume, game by game
Every game’s volume, by market and by exchange, and the side buyers took. Tap a column to sort.
| Volume | By exchange | Volume’s side | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Volume vs. price | Whales | |||||||||
| Commanders at GiantsFinal 24–21 | $12.44M | $8.78M | $621K | 883,515 | $8.9K0% | $8.11M65% | $4.32M35% | Volume WAS 42%Price 49% | 33019% | +7 |
| Vikings at PackersSun 1 PM ET | $165K | $86.9K | $3.4K | 30,744 | $6.5K4% | $57.1K35% | $102K62% | Volume MIN 60%Price 41% | 320% | +19 |
| 49ers at CowboysSun 4:25 PM ET | $158K | $110K | $331 | 27,003 | $14.2K9% | $107K68% | $36.8K23% | Volume SF 77%Price 66% | 27% | +11 |
| Patriots at LionsSun 9:30 AM ET | $146K | $69.6K | $6.4K | 20,452 | $8.7K6% | $51.0K35% | $86.4K59% | Volume NE 52%Price 42% | 212% | +10 |
| Jaguars at TitansSun 1 PM ET | $104K | $79.1K | $275 | 11,309 | $10.4K10% | $45.3K43% | $48.7K47% | Volume JAC 89%Price 84% | 221% | +6 |
| Seahawks at RaidersSun 4:05 PM ET | $104K | $75.4K | $1.1K | 14,470 | $5.1K5% | $60.9K58% | $38.2K37% | Volume SEA 82%Price 72% | 550% | +10 |
| Chiefs at FalconsSun 1 PM ET | $100K | $59.1K | $1.9K | 16,589 | $2.9K3% | $35.5K35% | $61.9K62% | Volume KC 88%Price 63% | 15% | +26 |
| Bills at JetsSun 1 PM ET | $94.0K | $69.2K | $352 | 15,301 | $3.6K4% | $58.1K62% | $32.3K34% | Volume BUF 93%Price 79% | 210% | +14 |
| Steelers at BengalsSun 8:20 PM ET | $73.7K | $41.7K | $3.5K | 11,830 | $24.9K34% | $22.2K30% | $26.6K36% | Volume PIT 40%Price 37% | 319% | −3 |
| Texans at BrownsSun 1 PM ET | $63.3K | $16.1K | $265 | 7,927 | $1.3K2% | $27.6K44% | $34.5K54% | Volume HOU 59%Price 68% | – | −9 |
| Chargers at RavensMon 8:15 PM ET | $55.4K | $45.9K | $0 | 6,991 | $31.4K57% | $18.4K33% | $5.6K10% | Volume LAC 47%Price 34% | – | −13 |
| Rams at CardinalsSun 4:05 PM ET | $54.5K | $32.4K | $347 | 7,227 | $2.5K5% | $35.9K66% | $16.0K29% | Volume LAR 88%Price 80% | 232% | +8 |
| Dolphins at ColtsSun 1 PM ET | $46.2K | $22.9K | $132 | 8,442 | $4.2K9% | $12.6K27% | $29.4K64% | Volume MIA 9%Price 34% | 872% | +25 |
| Panthers at SaintsSun 1 PM ET | $16.3K | $11.6K | $224 | 6,885 | $7084% | $10.6K65% | $5.1K31% | Volume CAR 56%Price 45% | 119% | +11 |
| Week 10 | $13.62M | $9.50M | $639K | 1,068,685 | $125K1% | $8.65M63% | $4.85M36% | |||
Volume: every market on each game (winner, spread, total, quarters and player props). Kalshi’s share is its own volume, as Kalshi shows it: contracts traded, each counted at its $1 payout (AllTop’s count of every Kalshi trade). Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid, price × contracts, as each reports its trades. A game’s total adds the three. Winner and Props: those markets alone. Sides, paid by day, the biggest trades and whales are what buyers paid. Whales: winner trades of $10,000 or more, and their share of the winner volume paid. Exchanges: Kalshi, Polymarket US (Polymarket’s US exchange) and Polymarket (its international exchange). Sides: Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers, by the team they bought (Polymarket doesn’t publish its buyer’s side). Price: the average of Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s midpoints. Gap: the leading side’s share of the volume minus its chance. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate, as of Nov 13, 6:40 PM ET. Kalshi’s contract counts as of Nov 13, 6:27 PM ET, read from AllTop every 15 minutes, so a game still trading can trail Kalshi’s own figure by a few minutes.
Week 10 in numbers
Ready to quote. Each line carries its time; copy one and cite DeFi Rate.
- $13.62M has been traded on NFL Week 10 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket since the markets opened, $9.50M of it on the winners, across 1,068,685 trades (as of Nov 13, 6:40 PM ET). Kalshi’s share counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume (its contracts counted as of Nov 13, 6:27 PM ET); Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid.
- Commanders at Giants has drawn the most volume of any Week 10 game: $12.44M (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 13, 6:27 PM ET).
- In 3 Week 10 games, most prediction market volume is on the underdog, led by the Vikings (60% of the volume at a 41% price).
- Kalshi accounts for 1% of the volume traded on Week 10 games; Polymarket US for 63% (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 13, 6:27 PM ET).
- The biggest single Week 10 trade so far: $219K on the Commanders at 45 cents on Kalshi.
- The team with most of the prediction market volume won 0 of 1 finished Week 10 games.
- Kalshi combo buyers have put at least $23.53M into combos with a Week 10 leg; the most-traded combo leg is JAC to win (as of Nov 13, 6:40 PM ET).
- $639K has been traded on Week 10 player props; Cam Skattebo draws the most, $2.35M across 42 markets (Kalshi’s contracts counted as of Nov 13, 6:27 PM ET).
Use these numbers
- Volume
- On Kalshi, contracts traded, each counted at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume. On Polymarket US and Polymarket, what buyers paid for contracts. A contract pays $1 if it comes true.
- Volume’s side
- The team Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers put more dollars on, before kickoff.
- Price
- The market’s chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask, averaged across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
- Updated
- Every five minutes, from every trade.
NFL Week 10 volume, answered
Which NFL Week 10 game has the most volume traded on it?
Commanders at Giants, with $12.44M traded across all its markets ($8.78M on who wins) across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
How much has been traded on NFL Week 10?
$13.62M on the week's games since the markets opened ($9.50M on the winners), in 1,068,685 trades, $122.53M of it in the last 24 hours. Kalshi’s share counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows its volume (its contracts counted as of Nov 13, 6:27 PM ET); Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s are what buyers paid.
How did the team with more volume do in Week 10?
The team with most of the volume before kickoff won 0 of 1 finished games.
Which Week 10 underdogs have most of the volume?
The Vikings: 60% of the volume at a 41% price. The Panthers: 56% of the volume at a 45% price. The Patriots: 52% of the volume at a 42% price.
How much has been traded on NFL Week 10 player props?
$639K since the markets opened. Cam Skattebo draws the most prop volume, $2.35M across 42 markets.
What was the biggest Week 10 trade?
$219K on the Commanders at 45 cents on Kalshi.
Where do these numbers come from?
Every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, collected by AllTop and counted by DeFi Rate. Kalshi’s volume counts each contract traded at $1, as Kalshi shows it; Polymarket US’s and Polymarket’s volume is what buyers paid; the side is the team they bought.
Where prediction market volume is going on NFL Week 10: the dollars traded on every game, which team the buyers are taking, the biggest single trades and the most-traded player props, across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
Week 10 games
- Commanders vs. Giants: Thursday, Nov. 12, 8:15 p.m. ET
- Patriots vs. Lions: Sunday, Nov. 15, 9:30 a.m. ET
- Texans vs. Browns: Sunday, Nov. 15, 1 p.m. ET
- Bills vs. Jets: Sunday, Nov. 15, 1 p.m. ET
- Chiefs vs. Falcons: Sunday, Nov. 15, 1 p.m. ET
- Panthers vs. Saints: Sunday, Nov. 15, 1 p.m. ET
- Dolphins vs. Colts: Sunday, Nov. 15, 1 p.m. ET
- Jaguars vs. Titans: Sunday, Nov. 15, 1 p.m. ET
- Vikings vs. Packers: Sunday, Nov. 15, 1 p.m. ET
- Seahawks vs. Raiders: Sunday, Nov. 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
- Rams vs. Cardinals: Sunday, Nov. 15, 4:05 p.m. ET
- 49ers vs. Cowboys: Sunday, Nov. 15, 4:25 p.m. ET
- Steelers vs. Bengals: Sunday, Nov. 15, 8:20 p.m. ET
- Chargers vs. Ravens: Monday, Nov. 16, 8:15 p.m. ET
See every game, the Super Bowl and MVP races on the NFL odds page, and print the pick'em sheet.
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