NFL Week 3 VolumeThe public went 7–9 in Week 3, with $436.91M traded
Prediction market traders put $436.91M on NFL Week 3's games, $251.72M of it on who would win and $35.23M on player props. The most went to Eagles at Bears ($77.06M). Most of the money was on the winner in 7 of 16 games; the costliest miss was the Seahawks, with 91% of their game's money, who lost to the Commanders.
- Kalshi$318.59M73%
- Polymarket US$65.87M15%
- Polymarket$52.44M12%
Was the money right? Every Week 3 game
Each game has two bars in its teams’ colors: the money traders put on each side, and the market’s odds. Where a team’s money runs further than its odds, traders like it more than the market does.
Traders backed the Packers, and they lost 14–35. 66% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 71% chance to win.
- Winner
- $24.31M
- Spread
- $11.27M
- Total
- $6.08M
- Quarters
- $1.26M
- Props
- $6.94M
- Other
- $4.24M
- Kalshi
- $44.30M82%
- Poly US
- $1.58M3%
- Polymarket
- $8.21M15%
Traders backed the Panthers, and they lost 18–21. 64% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 59% chance to win.
- Winner
- $8.67M
- Spread
- $1.98M
- Total
- $1.19M
- Quarters
- $135K
- Props
- $745K
- Other
- $536K
- Kalshi
- $9.12M69%
- Poly US
- $2.00M15%
- Polymarket
- $2.14M16%
Traders backed the Bengals, and they lost 27–30. 67% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 55% chance to win.
- Winner
- $5.98M
- Spread
- $2.91M
- Total
- $982K
- Quarters
- $276K
- Props
- $901K
- Other
- $717K
- Kalshi
- $7.17M61%
- Poly US
- $2.09M18%
- Polymarket
- $2.51M21%
Traders backed the Texans, and they lost 17–19. 65% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 56% chance to win.
- Winner
- $7.11M
- Spread
- $1.90M
- Total
- $634K
- Quarters
- $151K
- Props
- $723K
- Other
- $520K
- Kalshi
- $7.50M68%
- Poly US
- $1.57M14%
- Polymarket
- $1.98M18%
Traders backed the Chiefs, and they won 24–10. 86% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them an 81% chance to win.
- Winner
- $12.75M
- Spread
- $5.99M
- Total
- $758K
- Quarters
- $237K
- Props
- $1.10M
- Other
- $1.21M
- Kalshi
- $12.47M57%
- Poly US
- $4.41M20%
- Polymarket
- $5.15M23%
Traders backed the Bills, and they won 24–16. 73% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 60% chance to win.
- Winner
- $9.15M
- Spread
- $5.49M
- Total
- $1.31M
- Quarters
- $268K
- Props
- $1.33M
- Other
- $1.00M
- Kalshi
- $12.14M65%
- Poly US
- $2.75M15%
- Polymarket
- $3.64M20%
Traders backed the Jaguars, and they won 35–6. 52% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 54% chance to win.
- Winner
- $3.60M
- Spread
- $1.73M
- Total
- $1.05M
- Quarters
- $162K
- Props
- $738K
- Other
- $553K
- Kalshi
- $5.57M71%
- Polymarket
- $2.27M29%
Traders backed the Lions, and they won 31–24. 74% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 68% chance to win.
- Winner
- $3.55M
- Spread
- $4.47M
- Total
- $1.43M
- Quarters
- $173K
- Props
- $1.41M
- Other
- $732K
- Kalshi
- $7.58M64%
- Poly US
- $1.10M9%
- Polymarket
- $3.08M26%
Traders backed the Seahawks, and they lost 31–33. 91% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 55% chance to win.
- Winner
- $13.15M
- Spread
- $4.25M
- Total
- $1.26M
- Quarters
- $324K
- Props
- $1.07M
- Other
- $994K
- Kalshi
- $14.67M70%
- Poly US
- $3.11M15%
- Polymarket
- $3.28M16%
Traders backed the Giants, and they won 12–7. 50% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 60% chance to win.
- Winner
- $3.58M
- Spread
- $2.41M
- Total
- $1.14M
- Quarters
- $89.5K
- Props
- $805K
- Other
- $617K
- Kalshi
- $5.32M62%
- Poly US
- $975K11%
- Polymarket
- $2.34M27%
Traders backed the 49ers, and they won 36–30. 85% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 73% chance to win.
- Winner
- $9.18M
- Spread
- $5.13M
- Total
- $1.88M
- Props
- $1.37M
- Other
- $1.17M
- Kalshi
- $13.49M71%
- Poly US
- $2.29M12%
- Polymarket
- $3.13M17%
Traders backed the Buccaneers, and they lost 16–23. 57% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 51% chance to win.
- Winner
- $19.24M
- Spread
- $2.91M
- Total
- $963K
- Props
- $989K
- Other
- $908K
- Kalshi
- $14.40M57%
- Poly US
- $7.47M30%
- Polymarket
- $3.32M13%
Traders backed the Cowboys, and they lost 31–34. 54% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 45% chance to win.
- Winner
- $28.28M
- Spread
- $4.88M
- Total
- $2.63M
- Props
- $2.44M
- Other
- $1.33M
- Kalshi
- $25.82M65%
- Poly US
- $9.77M24%
- Polymarket
- $4.35M11%
Traders backed the Raiders, and they won 35–27. 52% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 41% chance to win.
- Winner
- $15.67M
- Spread
- $4.27M
- Total
- $1.27M
- Quarters
- $248K
- Props
- $1.07M
- Other
- $828K
- Kalshi
- $14.98M64%
- Poly US
- $5.07M22%
- Polymarket
- $3.30M14%
Traders backed the Rams, and they lost 26–30. 59% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 53% chance to win.
- Winner
- $47.93M
- Spread
- $9.42M
- Total
- $3.54M
- Quarters
- $963K
- Props
- $5.91M
- Other
- $4.68M
- Kalshi
- $56.09M77%
- Poly US
- $13.17M18%
- Polymarket
- $3.18M4%
Traders backed the Eagles, and they lost 7–27. 83% of the money before kickoff was on them, while the odds at open gave them a 57% chance to win.
- Winner
- $39.59M
- Spread
- $15.44M
- Total
- $6.28M
- Quarters
- $1.28M
- Props
- $7.68M
- Other
- $6.80M
- Kalshi
- $67.97M88%
- Poly US
- $8.52M11%
- Polymarket
- $580K1%
Where Week 3 was traded
Kalshi handled 73% of the money traded on Week 3. The average trade was biggest on Polymarket ($549) and smallest on Kalshi ($61). Player props are 11% of Kalshi’s money.
Kalshi
73% of the week- Trades
- 5,206,986
- Avg. trade
- $61
- Last 24h
- $63.96M
- Winner
- $177.72M56%
- Spread
- $49.84M16%
- Total
- $22.66M7%
- Quarters & halves
- $6.31M2%
- Player props
- $35.23M11%
- Other
- $26.83M8%
Polymarket US
15% of the week- Trades
- 759,889
- Avg. trade
- $87
- Last 24h
- $7.61M
- Winner
- $50.03M76%
- Spread
- $14.01M21%
- Total
- $1.83M3%
Polymarket
12% of the week- Trades
- 95,498
- Avg. trade
- $549
- Last 24h
- $0
- Winner
- $23.98M46%
- Spread
- $20.58M39%
- Total
- $7.88M15%
What Week 3 parlays rode on
Kalshi parlay buyers put at least $55.24M on combos with a Week 3 leg, across 20,706 parlays averaging 7.9 legs. Traders betting against those parlays paid another $74.02M.
Most-parlayed picks
Backers’ money in parlays with each leg (a parlay counts for each of its legs).
- Chiefs to win3,807 parlays$12.82Mbacking
- Seahawks to win2,854 parlays$10.38Mbacking
- Bills to win3,199 parlays$10.03Mbacking
- 49ers to win3,057 parlays$9.55Mbacking
- Lions to win2,640 parlays$7.30Mbacking
- Eagles to win2,333 parlays$5.29Mbacking
- Ravens to win1,298 parlays$4.30Mbacking
- Rams to win1,290 parlays$3.76Mbacking
Biggest parlays
The largest bets that every leg hits.
- $95.3K to win $326KPanthers to win · Bills to win2legs
- $89.1K to win $104KNo: ATL Falcons wins 1H by over 7.5 points? · No: Coastal Carolina wins 1H by over 7.5 points2legs
- $86.7K to win $289KRams to win · Davante Adams anytime touchdown · Under 48.53legs
Kalshi parlays (multi-leg combos) with at least one leg in a Week 3 game, counted once each. Money is what buyers paid; backers bought YES (every leg hits), faders bought NO. Kept apart from the week’s other figures. This week is older than the window AllTop measures parlay coverage over, so these are floors. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate.
Biggest Week 3 trades
The largest single trades on a winner.
- Bears at 99¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 10:56 PM$720Kpays $727K
- Falcons at 98¢Falcons at Packers · Kalshi · Thu 10:42 PM$490Kpays $500K
- Chiefs at 85¢Chiefs at Dolphins · Kalshi · Sun 1:03 PM$425Kpays $500K
- Chiefs at 85¢Chiefs at Dolphins · Kalshi · Sun 1:03 PM$407Kpays $479K
- Eagles at 58¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 9:39 PM$290Kpays $500K
- Eagles at 58¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 9:39 PM$290Kpays $500K
Biggest line moves
Kalshi’s price, since the market opened.
Once a game is settled its market closes, so its move since open drops off here.
Most-traded players
Dollars traded across each player’s props.
- Bijan Robinson45 markets · Falcons at Packers$1.44Mtraded
- Saquon Barkley28 markets · Eagles at Bears$1.21Mtraded
- D'Andre Swift29 markets · Eagles at Bears$1.18Mtraded
- Davante Adams28 markets · Rams at Broncos$1.17Mtraded
- Kyren Williams26 markets · Rams at Broncos$1.11Mtraded
Where the public disagreed with the market
Each dot is a game’s public pick: across, its chance to win; up, its share of the money. Above the dashed line, traders liked it more than the odds did. Bigger dots, more money.
52% of the money at 41% odds against the Saints.
91% of the money, 37 points above their 55% odds.
50% of the money at 41% odds against the Giants.
the Packers, the Panthers, the Chiefs, the Jaguars, the Lions, the Buccaneers, the Rams: the money and the odds agree.
Week 3 money, game by game
Every game’s money, by market and by exchange, and the side buyers took. Tap a column to sort.
| Money | By exchange | The public | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Money vs. odds | Whales | |||||||||
| Eagles at BearsFinal 7–27 | $77.06M | $39.59M | $7.68M | 1,102,619 | $67.97M88% | $8.52M11% | $580K1% | Money PHI 83%Odds 57% | 35330% | +25 |
| Rams at BroncosFinal 26–30 | $72.44M | $47.93M | $5.91M | 1,035,469 | $56.09M77% | $13.17M18% | $3.18M4% | Money LAR 59%Odds 53% | 30514% | +6 |
| Falcons at PackersFinal 35–14 | $54.10M | $24.31M | $6.94M | 840,662 | $44.30M82% | $1.58M3% | $8.21M15% | Money ATL 34%Odds 30% | 19424% | −4 |
| Ravens at CowboysFinal 34–31 | $39.94M | $28.28M | $2.44M | 602,397 | $25.82M65% | $9.77M24% | $4.35M11% | Money BAL 46%Odds 55% | 1329% | +9 |
| Vikings at BuccaneersFinal 23–16 | $25.19M | $19.24M | $989K | 236,574 | $14.40M57% | $7.47M30% | $3.32M13% | Money MIN 43%Odds 49% | 10714% | +6 |
| Raiders at SaintsFinal 35–27 | $23.35M | $15.67M | $1.07M | 338,606 | $14.98M64% | $5.07M22% | $3.30M14% | Money LV 52%Odds 41% | 8012% | +11 |
| Chiefs at DolphinsFinal 24–10 | $22.03M | $12.75M | $1.10M | 243,600 | $12.47M57% | $4.41M20% | $5.15M23% | Money KC 86%Odds 81% | 5618% | +5 |
| Seahawks at CommandersFinal 31–33 | $21.06M | $13.15M | $1.07M | 266,645 | $14.67M70% | $3.11M15% | $3.28M16% | Money SEA 91%Odds 55% | 10216% | +37 |
| Cardinals at 49ersFinal 30–36 | $18.91M | $9.18M | $1.37M | 242,261 | $13.49M71% | $2.29M12% | $3.13M17% | Money ARI 15%Odds 28% | 10524% | +12 |
| Chargers at BillsFinal 16–24 | $18.54M | $9.15M | $1.33M | 278,136 | $12.14M65% | $2.75M15% | $3.64M20% | Money LAC 27%Odds 41% | 3610% | +13 |
| Panthers at BrownsFinal 18–21 | $13.25M | $8.67M | $745K | 200,034 | $9.12M69% | $2.00M15% | $2.14M16% | Money CAR 64%Odds 59% | 6417% | +5 |
| Bengals at SteelersFinal 27–30 | $11.76M | $5.98M | $901K | 174,147 | $7.17M61% | $2.09M18% | $2.51M21% | Money CIN 67%Odds 55% | 166% | +13 |
| Jets at LionsFinal 24–31 | $11.76M | $3.55M | $1.41M | 138,142 | $7.58M64% | $1.10M9% | $3.08M26% | Money NYJ 26%Odds 33% | 179% | +6 |
| Texans at ColtsFinal 17–19 | $11.04M | $7.11M | $723K | 138,555 | $7.50M68% | $1.57M14% | $1.98M18% | Money HOU 65%Odds 56% | 5415% | +9 |
| Titans at GiantsFinal 7–12 | $8.64M | $3.58M | $805K | 116,797 | $5.32M62% | $975K11% | $2.34M27% | Money TEN 50%Odds 41% | 1910% | −9 |
| Patriots at JaguarsFinal 6–35 | $7.84M | $3.60M | $738K | 107,729 | $5.57M71% | – | $2.27M29% | Money NE 48%Odds 46% | 1614% | −3 |
| Week 3 | $436.91M | $251.72M | $35.23M | 6,062,373 | $318.59M73% | $65.87M15% | $52.44M12% | |||
Money: every market on each game (winner, spread, total, quarters and player props), price × contracts as each exchange reports its trades. Winner and Props: those markets alone. Whales: winner trades of $10,000 or more, and their share of the winner money. Exchanges: Kalshi, Polymarket US (Polymarket’s US exchange) and Polymarket (its international exchange). Sides: Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers, by the team they bought (Polymarket doesn’t publish its buyer’s side). Odds: the average of Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s midpoints. Gap: the public pick’s share of the money minus its chance. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate, as of Oct 6, 6:05 PM ET.
Week 3 in numbers
Ready to quote. Each line carries its time; copy one and cite DeFi Rate.
- $436.91M has been traded on NFL Week 3 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket since the markets opened, $251.72M of it on the winners, across 6,062,373 trades (as of Oct 6, 6:05 PM ET).
- Eagles at Bears has drawn the most money of any Week 3 game: $77.06M.
- In 2 Week 3 games, most prediction market money is on the underdog, led by the Raiders (52% of the money at 41% odds).
- Kalshi accounts for 73% of the money traded on Week 3 games; Polymarket US for 15%.
- The biggest single Week 3 trade: $720K on the Bears at 99 cents on Kalshi.
- The team with most of the prediction market money won 7 of 16 finished Week 3 games.
- Kalshi parlay buyers have put at least $55.24M on parlays with a Week 3 leg; the most-parlayed pick is KC to win (as of Oct 6, 6:05 PM ET).
- $35.23M has been traded on Week 3 player props; Bijan Robinson draws the most, $1.44M across 45 markets.
Use these numbers
- Money
- What buyers paid for contracts. A contract pays $1 if it comes true.
- Public pick
- The team Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers put more dollars on, before kickoff.
- Odds
- The market’s chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask, averaged across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
- Updated
- Every five minutes, from every trade.
NFL Week 3 money, answered
Which NFL Week 3 game has the most money traded on it?
Eagles at Bears, with $77.06M traded on the winner across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
How much has been traded on NFL Week 3?
$436.91M on the week's games since the markets opened ($251.72M on the winners), in 6,062,373 trades, $71.57M of it in the last 24 hours.
How did the public's Week 3 picks do?
The team with most of the money won 7 of 16 finished games.
How much has been traded on NFL Week 3 player props?
$35.23M since the markets opened. Bijan Robinson draws the most prop money, $1.44M across 45 markets.
What was the biggest Week 3 trade?
$720K on the Bears at 99 cents on Kalshi.
Where do these numbers come from?
Every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, collected by AllTop and counted by DeFi Rate. Money is what buyers paid; the side is the team they bought.
Week 3 results
16 final Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 24, 11:23 PM ET and Sep 28, 11:17 PM ET.
Where prediction market money is going on NFL Week 3: the dollars traded on every game, which team the buyers are taking, the biggest single trades and the most-traded player props, across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
Week 3 games
- Falcons vs. Packers: Thursday, Sept. 24
- Cardinals vs. 49ers: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Ravens vs. Cowboys: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Panthers vs. Browns: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Bengals vs. Steelers: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Texans vs. Colts: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Chiefs vs. Dolphins: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Chargers vs. Bills: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Rams vs. Broncos: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Raiders vs. Saints: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Vikings vs. Buccaneers: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Patriots vs. Jaguars: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Jets vs. Lions: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Seahawks vs. Commanders: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Titans vs. Giants: Sunday, Sept. 27
- Eagles vs. Bears: Monday, Sept. 28
See every game, the Super Bowl and MVP races on the NFL odds page, and print the pick'em sheet.
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