NFL Week 3 VolumeThe public went 7–9 in Week 3, with $436.91M traded

Prediction market traders put $436.91M on NFL Week 3's games, $251.72M of it on who would win and $35.23M on player props. The most went to Eagles at Bears ($77.06M). Most of the money was on the winner in 7 of 16 games; the costliest miss was the Seahawks, with 92% of their game's money, who lost to the Commanders.

By Cheryle ShepstoneData observed Oct 5, 11:25 PM ET

Final

Traded on Week 3 games

$436.91M

6,062,373 trades16 games

What’s being traded

Winner $251.72MSpread $84.44MTotal $32.38MQuarters & halves $6.31MPlayer props $35.23MOther $26.83M

By exchangeCompare →

Kalshi$318.59M73%
Polymarket US$65.87M15%
Polymarket$52.44M12%

Money by day

Wed

Thu

Fri

Sat

$232.41MSun

Mon

$53.33MTue

Every game, by money tradedTraded

Bar: each team’s share of the moneyTick: the odds

Most traded game

$77.06M

Eagles at Bears

The public’s record

7–9

Games the money’s pick won

Biggest trade

$720K

Bears at 99¢ on Kalshi

Player props

$35.23M

Most on Bijan Robinson, $1.44M

The public’s picks

Was the money right? Every Week 3 game

The bar splits each game’s money by the team buyers took; the black tick marks the odds. A bar that runs past the tick means traders like that team more than the market does.

Thursday Night Football

FalconsAtlanta

PackersGreen Bay

Share of the money before kickoff$54.10M

36%64%

Odds now: Falcons 65%, Packers 35%

Public lost64% of the money was on the Packers (35% at open); they lost 14–35.

Where the money went

Winner: $24.31M
Spread: $11.27M
Total: $6.08M
Quarters: $1.26M
Props: $6.94M
Other: $4.24M

Kalshi: $44.30M82%
Poly US: $1.58M3%
Polymarket: $8.21M15%

ATL +69 pts since open194 whale trades · $5.94M

Final 35–14 · O/U 43.5

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

PanthersCarolina

BrownsCleveland

Share of the money before kickoff$13.25M

70%30%

Odds now: Panthers 6%, Browns 94%

Public lost70% of the money was on the Panthers (6% at open); they lost 18–21.

Where the money went

Winner: $8.67M
Spread: $1.98M
Total: $1.19M
Quarters: $135K
Props: $745K
Other: $536K

Kalshi: $9.12M69%
Poly US: $2.00M15%
Polymarket: $2.14M16%

CLE +47 pts since open62 whale trades · $1.36M

Final 18–21

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

BengalsCincinnati

SteelersPittsburgh

Share of the money before kickoff$11.76M

73%27%

Odds now: Bengals 1%, Steelers 99%

Public lost73% of the money was on the Bengals (1% at open); they lost 27–30.

Where the money went

Winner: $5.98M
Spread: $2.91M
Total: $982K
Quarters: $276K
Props: $901K
Other: $717K

Kalshi: $7.17M61%
Poly US: $2.09M18%
Polymarket: $2.51M21%

PIT +53 pts since open18 whale trades · $393K

Final 27–30

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

TexansHouston

ColtsIndianapolis

Share of the money before kickoff$11.04M

72%28%

Odds now: Texans 2%, Colts 98%

Public lost72% of the money was on the Texans (2% at open); they lost 17–19.

Where the money went

Winner: $7.11M
Spread: $1.90M
Total: $634K
Quarters: $151K
Props: $723K
Other: $520K

Kalshi: $7.50M68%
Poly US: $1.57M14%
Polymarket: $1.98M18%

IND +55 pts since open51 whale trades · $1.03M

Final 17–19

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

ChiefsKansas City

DolphinsMiami

Share of the money before kickoff$22.03M

87%13%

Odds now: Chiefs 99%, Dolphins 1%

Public won87% of the money was on the Chiefs (99% at open); they won 24–10.

Where the money went

Winner: $12.75M
Spread: $5.99M
Total: $758K
Quarters: $237K
Props: $1.10M
Other: $1.21M

Kalshi: $12.47M57%
Poly US: $4.41M20%
Polymarket: $5.15M23%

KC +18 pts since open66 whale trades · $2.49M

Final 24–10

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

ChargersLos Angeles

BillsBuffalo

Share of the money before kickoff$18.54M

34%66%

Odds now: Chargers 1%, Bills 99%

Public won66% of the money was on the Bills (99% at open); they won 24–16.

Where the money went

Winner: $9.15M
Spread: $5.49M
Total: $1.31M
Quarters: $268K
Props: $1.33M
Other: $1.00M

Kalshi: $12.14M65%
Poly US: $2.75M15%
Polymarket: $3.64M20%

BUF +39 pts since open35 whale trades · $835K

Final 16–24

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

PatriotsNew England

JaguarsJacksonville

Share of the money before kickoff$7.84M

48%52%

Odds now: Patriots 3%, Jaguars 97%

Public won52% of the money was on the Jaguars (98% at open); they won 35–6.

Where the money went

Winner: $3.60M
Spread: $1.73M
Total: $1.05M
Quarters: $162K
Props: $738K
Other: $553K

Kalshi: $5.57M71%
Polymarket: $2.27M29%

JAC +43 pts since open16 whale trades · $500K

Final 6–35

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

JetsNew York

LionsDetroit

Share of the money before kickoff$11.76M

33%67%

Odds now: Jets 8%, Lions 92%

Public won67% of the money was on the Lions (92% at open); they won 31–24.

Where the money went

Winner: $3.55M
Spread: $4.47M
Total: $1.43M
Quarters: $173K
Props: $1.41M
Other: $732K

Kalshi: $7.58M64%
Poly US: $1.10M9%
Polymarket: $3.08M26%

DET +30 pts since open17 whale trades · $323K

Final 24–31

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

SeahawksSeattle

CommandersWashington

Share of the money before kickoff$21.06M

92%8%

Odds now: Seahawks 10%, Commanders 90%

Public lost92% of the money was on the Seahawks (10% at open); they lost 31–33.

Where the money went

Winner: $13.15M
Spread: $4.25M
Total: $1.26M
Quarters: $324K
Props: $1.07M
Other: $994K

Kalshi: $14.67M70%
Poly US: $3.11M15%
Polymarket: $3.28M16%

WAS +36 pts since open100 whale trades · $2.07M

Final 31–33

Sunday, 1 p.m. ET

TitansTennessee

GiantsNew York

Share of the money before kickoff$8.64M

58%42%

Odds now: Titans 31%, Giants 69%

Public lost58% of the money was on the Titans (31% at open); they lost 7–12.

Where the money went

Winner: $3.58M
Spread: $2.41M
Total: $1.14M
Quarters: $89.5K
Props: $805K
Other: $617K

Kalshi: $5.32M62%
Poly US: $975K11%
Polymarket: $2.34M27%

TEN +20 pts since open16 whale trades · $311K

Final 7–12

Sunday, late afternoon

CardinalsArizona

49ersSan Francisco

Share of the money before kickoff$18.91M

19%81%

Odds now: Cardinals 8%, 49ers 92%

Public won81% of the money was on the 49ers (92% at open); they won 36–30.

Where the money went

Winner: $9.18M
Spread: $5.13M
Total: $1.88M
Props: $1.37M
Other: $1.17M

Kalshi: $13.49M71%
Poly US: $2.29M12%
Polymarket: $3.13M17%

SF +26 pts since open104 whale trades · $2.18M

Final 30–36

Sunday, late afternoon

VikingsMinnesota

BuccaneersTampa Bay

Share of the money before kickoff$25.19M

49%51%

Odds now: Vikings 99%, Buccaneers 1%

Public lost51% of the money was on the Buccaneers (1% at open); they lost 16–23.

Where the money went

Winner: $19.24M
Spread: $2.91M
Total: $963K
Props: $989K
Other: $908K

Kalshi: $14.40M57%
Poly US: $7.47M30%
Polymarket: $3.32M13%

MIN +50 pts since open107 whale trades · $2.77M

Final 23–16

Sunday, late afternoon

RavensBaltimore

CowboysDallas

Share of the money before kickoff$39.94M

55%45%

Odds now: Ravens 81%, Cowboys 19%

Public won55% of the money was on the Ravens (81% at open); they won 34–31.

Where the money went

Winner: $28.28M
Spread: $4.88M
Total: $2.63M
Props: $2.44M
Other: $1.33M

Kalshi: $25.82M65%
Poly US: $9.77M24%
Polymarket: $4.35M11%

BAL +28 pts since open136 whale trades · $2.52M

Final 34–31

Sunday, late afternoon

RaidersLas Vegas

SaintsNew Orleans

Share of the money before kickoff$23.35M

66%34%

Odds now: Raiders 99%, Saints 1%

Public won66% of the money was on the Raiders (99% at open); they won 35–27.

Where the money went

Winner: $15.67M
Spread: $4.27M
Total: $1.27M
Quarters: $248K
Props: $1.07M
Other: $828K

Kalshi: $14.98M64%
Poly US: $5.07M22%
Polymarket: $3.30M14%

LV +58 pts since open81 whale trades · $1.75M

Final 35–27

Sunday Night Football

RamsLos Angeles

BroncosDenver

Share of the money before kickoff$72.44M

68%32%

Odds now: Rams 11%, Broncos 89%

Public lost68% of the money was on the Rams (11% at open); they lost 26–30.

Where the money went

Winner: $47.93M
Spread: $9.42M
Total: $3.54M
Quarters: $963K
Props: $5.91M
Other: $4.68M

Kalshi: $56.09M77%
Poly US: $13.17M18%
Polymarket: $3.18M4%

DEN +47 pts since open299 whale trades · $6.71M

Final 26–30

Monday Night Football

EaglesPhiladelphia

BearsChicago

Share of the money before kickoff$77.06M

86%14%

Odds now: Eagles 1%, Bears 99%

Public lost86% of the money was on the Eagles (1% at open); they lost 7–27.

Where the money went

Winner: $39.59M
Spread: $15.44M
Total: $6.28M
Quarters: $1.28M
Props: $7.68M
Other: $6.80M

Kalshi: $67.97M88%
Poly US: $8.52M11%
Polymarket: $580K1%

CHI +56 pts since open351 whale trades · $11.94M

Final 7–27

By exchange

Where Week 3 was traded

Kalshi handled 73% of the money traded on Week 3. The average trade was biggest on Polymarket ($549) and smallest on Kalshi ($61). Player props are 11% of Kalshi’s money.

Kalshi

73% of the week

$318.59M

Trades: 5,206,986
Avg. trade: $61
Last 24h: $63.96M

Winner: $177.72M56%
Spread: $49.84M16%
Total: $22.66M7%
Quarters & halves: $6.31M2%
Player props: $35.23M11%
Other: $26.83M8%

Most tradedEagles at Bears$67.97M

Polymarket US

15% of the week

$65.87M

Trades: 759,889
Avg. trade: $87
Last 24h: $7.61M

Winner: $50.03M76%
Spread: $14.01M21%
Total: $1.83M3%

Most tradedRams at Broncos$13.17M

Polymarket

12% of the week

$52.44M

Trades: 95,498
Avg. trade: $549
Last 24h: $0

Winner: $23.98M46%
Spread: $20.58M39%
Total: $7.88M15%

Most tradedFalcons at Packers$8.21M

Whale watch

Biggest Week 3 trades

The largest single trades on a winner.

Bears at 99¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 10:56 PM
$720Kpays $727K
Falcons at 98¢Falcons at Packers · Kalshi · Thu 10:42 PM
$490Kpays $500K
Chiefs at 85¢Chiefs at Dolphins · Kalshi · Sun 1:03 PM
$425Kpays $500K
Chiefs at 85¢Chiefs at Dolphins · Kalshi · Sun 1:03 PM
$407Kpays $479K
Eagles at 58¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 9:39 PM
$290Kpays $500K
Eagles at 58¢Eagles at Bears · Kalshi · Mon 9:39 PM
$290Kpays $500K

On the move

Biggest line moves

Kalshi’s price, since the market opened.

Atlanta FalconsFalcons at Packers · 30% → 65%
+69points
Las Vegas RaidersRaiders at Saints · 41% → 99%
+58points
Chicago BearsEagles at Bears · 43% → 99%
+56points
Indianapolis ColtsTexans at Colts · 44% → 98%
+55points
Pittsburgh SteelersBengals at Steelers · 45% → 99%
+53points
Minnesota VikingsVikings at Buccaneers · 49% → 99%
+50points

Player props

Most-traded players

Dollars traded across each player’s props.

Bijan Robinson45 markets · Falcons at Packers
$1.44Mtraded
Saquon Barkley28 markets · Eagles at Bears
$1.21Mtraded
D'Andre Swift29 markets · Eagles at Bears
$1.18Mtraded
Davante Adams28 markets · Rams at Broncos
$1.17Mtraded
Kyren Williams26 markets · Rams at Broncos
$1.11Mtraded

Money vs. the odds

Where the public disagreed with the market

Each dot is a game’s public pick: across, its chance to win; up, its share of the money. Above the dashed line, traders liked it more than the odds did. Bigger dots, more money.

Public on the underdogPiling on the favoriteEverything else

The public’s boldest call

The Eagles

86% of the money at 1% odds against the Bears.

Underdog getting action

The Chargers

34% of the money at 1% odds against the Bills.

Every figure

Week 3 money, game by game

Every game’s money, by market and by exchange, and the side buyers took. Tap a column to sort.

NFL Week 3 prediction market money by game and exchange
	Money				By exchange			The public
								Money vs. odds	Whales
Eagles at BearsFinal 7–27	$77.06M	$39.59M	$7.68M	1,102,619	$67.97M88%	$8.52M11%	$580K1%	PHI 86%14% CHI	35130%	+85
Rams at BroncosFinal 26–30	$72.44M	$47.93M	$5.91M	1,035,469	$56.09M77%	$13.17M18%	$3.18M4%	LAR 68%32% DEN	29914%	+57
Falcons at PackersFinal 35–14	$54.10M	$24.31M	$6.94M	840,662	$44.30M82%	$1.58M3%	$8.21M15%	ATL 36%64% GB	19424%	+29
Ravens at CowboysFinal 34–31	$39.94M	$28.28M	$2.44M	602,397	$25.82M65%	$9.77M24%	$4.35M11%	BAL 55%45% DAL	1369%	−25
Vikings at BuccaneersFinal 23–16	$25.19M	$19.24M	$989K	236,574	$14.40M57%	$7.47M30%	$3.32M13%	MIN 49%51% TB	10714%	+50
Raiders at SaintsFinal 35–27	$23.35M	$15.67M	$1.07M	338,606	$14.98M64%	$5.07M22%	$3.30M14%	LV 66%34% NO	8111%	−32
Chiefs at DolphinsFinal 24–10	$22.03M	$12.75M	$1.10M	243,600	$12.47M57%	$4.41M20%	$5.15M23%	KC 87%13% MIA	6620%	−12
Seahawks at CommandersFinal 31–33	$21.06M	$13.15M	$1.07M	266,645	$14.67M70%	$3.11M15%	$3.28M16%	SEA 92%8% WAS	10016%	+82
Cardinals at 49ersFinal 30–36	$18.91M	$9.18M	$1.37M	242,261	$13.49M71%	$2.29M12%	$3.13M17%	ARI 19%81% SF	10424%	−10
Chargers at BillsFinal 16–24	$18.54M	$9.15M	$1.33M	278,136	$12.14M65%	$2.75M15%	$3.64M20%	LAC 34%66% BUF	359%	−33
Panthers at BrownsFinal 18–21	$13.25M	$8.67M	$745K	200,034	$9.12M69%	$2.00M15%	$2.14M16%	CAR 70%30% CLE	6216%	+64
Bengals at SteelersFinal 27–30	$11.76M	$5.98M	$901K	174,147	$7.17M61%	$2.09M18%	$2.51M21%	CIN 73%27% PIT	187%	+72
Jets at LionsFinal 24–31	$11.76M	$3.55M	$1.41M	138,142	$7.58M64%	$1.10M9%	$3.08M26%	NYJ 33%67% DET	179%	−25
Texans at ColtsFinal 17–19	$11.04M	$7.11M	$723K	138,555	$7.50M68%	$1.57M14%	$1.98M18%	HOU 72%28% IND	5114%	+70
Titans at GiantsFinal 7–12	$8.64M	$3.58M	$805K	116,797	$5.32M62%	$975K11%	$2.34M27%	TEN 58%42% NYG	169%	+27
Patriots at JaguarsFinal 6–35	$7.84M	$3.60M	$738K	107,729	$5.57M71%	–	$2.27M29%	NE 48%52% JAC	1614%	−46
Week 3	$436.91M	$251.72M	$35.23M	6,062,373	$318.59M73%	$65.87M15%	$52.44M12%

Money: every market on each game (winner, spread, total, quarters and player props), price × contracts as each exchange reports its trades. Winner and Props: those markets alone. Whales: winner trades of $10,000 or more, and their share of the winner money. Exchanges: Kalshi, Polymarket US (Polymarket’s US exchange) and Polymarket (its international exchange). Sides: Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers, by the team they bought (Polymarket doesn’t publish its buyer’s side). Odds: the average of Kalshi’s and Polymarket US’s midpoints. Gap: the public pick’s share of the money minus its chance. Source: AllTop via DeFi Rate, as of Oct 5, 11:25 PM ET.

Press kit

Week 3 in numbers

Ready to quote. Each line carries its time; copy one and cite DeFi Rate.

$436.91M has been traded on NFL Week 3 games on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket since the markets opened, $251.72M of it on the winners, across 6,062,373 trades (as of Oct 5, 11:25 PM ET).
Eagles at Bears has drawn the most money of any Week 3 game: $77.06M.
In 9 Week 3 games, most prediction market money is on the underdog, led by the Eagles (86% of the money at 1% odds).
Kalshi accounts for 73% of the money traded on Week 3 games; Polymarket US for 15%.
The biggest single Week 3 trade: $720K on the Bears at 99 cents on Kalshi.
The team with most of the prediction market money won 7 of 16 finished Week 3 games.
$35.23M has been traded on Week 3 player props; Bijan Robinson draws the most, $1.44M across 45 markets.

Cite

Use these numbers

DeFi Rate, “NFL Week 3 Volume at Prediction Markets,” defirate.com/odds/nfl/week-3/, data as of Oct 5, 11:25 PM ET.

Money: What buyers paid for contracts. A contract pays $1 if it comes true.
Public pick: The team Kalshi and Polymarket US buyers put more dollars on, before kickoff.
Odds: The market’s chance: the midpoint of the best bid and ask, averaged across Kalshi and Polymarket US.
Updated: Every five minutes, from every trade.

Questions

NFL Week 3 money, answered

Which NFL Week 3 game has the most money traded on it?

Eagles at Bears, with $77.06M traded on the winner across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

How much has been traded on NFL Week 3?

$436.91M on the week's games since the markets opened ($251.72M on the winners), in 6,062,373 trades, $71.57M of it in the last 24 hours.

How did the public's Week 3 picks do?

The team with most of the money won 7 of 16 finished games.

How much has been traded on NFL Week 3 player props?

$35.23M since the markets opened. Bijan Robinson draws the most prop money, $1.44M across 45 markets.

What was the biggest Week 3 trade?

$720K on the Bears at 99 cents on Kalshi.

Where do these numbers come from?

Every trade on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, collected by AllTop and counted by DeFi Rate. Money is what buyers paid; the side is the team they bought.

NFL Week 3 · Kalshi

Week 3 results

Tap a game for its full odds, spread and total.

NFL Week 3 games on Kalshi, observed between Sep 24, 11:23 PM ET and Sep 28, 11:17 PM ET
Game	Result	Away	Home	Sources
Falcons at Packers FinalThu, Sep 24	Falcons won 35–14	ATL35	GB14	Game →	Game →
Cardinals at 49ers FinalSun, Sep 27	49ers won 36–30	ARI30	SF36	Game →	Game →
Ravens at Cowboys FinalSun, Sep 27	Ravens won 34–31	BAL34	DAL31	Game →	Game →
Panthers at Browns FinalSun, Sep 27	Browns won 21–18	CAR18	CLE21	Game →	Game →
Bengals at Steelers FinalSun, Sep 27	Steelers won 30–27	CIN27	PIT30	Game →	Game →
Texans at Colts FinalSun, Sep 27	Colts won 19–17	HOU17	IND19	Game →	Game →
Chiefs at Dolphins FinalSun, Sep 27	Chiefs won 24–10	KC24	MIA10	Game →	Game →
Chargers at Bills FinalSun, Sep 27	Bills won 24–16	LAC16	BUF24	Game →	Game →
Rams at Broncos FinalSun, Sep 27	Broncos won 30–26	LAR26	DEN30	Game →	Game →
Raiders at Saints FinalSun, Sep 27	Raiders won 35–27	LV35	NO27	Game →	Game →
Vikings at Buccaneers FinalSun, Sep 27	Vikings won 23–16	MIN23	TB16	Game →	Game →
Patriots at Jaguars FinalSun, Sep 27	Jaguars won 35–6	NE6	JAC35	Game →	Game →
Jets at Lions FinalSun, Sep 27	Lions won 31–24	NYJ24	DET31	Game →	Game →
Seahawks at Commanders FinalSun, Sep 27	Commanders won 33–31	SEA31	WAS33	Game →	Game →
Titans at Giants FinalSun, Sep 27	Giants won 12–7	TEN7	NYG12	Game →	Game →
Eagles at Bears FinalMon, Sep 28	Bears won 27–7	PHI7	CHI27	Game →	Game →

16 final Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 24, 11:23 PM ET and Sep 28, 11:17 PM ET.

Where prediction market money is going on NFL Week 3: the dollars traded on every game, which team the buyers are taking, the biggest single trades and the most-traded player props, across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Week 3 games

Falcons vs. Packers: Thursday, Sept. 24
Cardinals vs. 49ers: Sunday, Sept. 27
Ravens vs. Cowboys: Sunday, Sept. 27
Panthers vs. Browns: Sunday, Sept. 27
Bengals vs. Steelers: Sunday, Sept. 27
Texans vs. Colts: Sunday, Sept. 27
Chiefs vs. Dolphins: Sunday, Sept. 27
Chargers vs. Bills: Sunday, Sept. 27
Rams vs. Broncos: Sunday, Sept. 27
Raiders vs. Saints: Sunday, Sept. 27
Vikings vs. Buccaneers: Sunday, Sept. 27
Patriots vs. Jaguars: Sunday, Sept. 27
Jets vs. Lions: Sunday, Sept. 27
Seahawks vs. Commanders: Sunday, Sept. 27
Titans vs. Giants: Sunday, Sept. 27
Eagles vs. Bears: Monday, Sept. 28

See every game, the Super Bowl and MVP races on the NFL odds page, and print the pick'em sheet.

NFL Week 3 VolumeThe public went 7–9 in Week 3, with $436.91M traded

Was the money right? Every Week 3 game

Where Week 3 was traded

Kalshi

Polymarket US

Polymarket

Biggest Week 3 trades

Biggest line moves

Most-traded players

Where the public disagreed with the market

Week 3 money, game by game

Week 3 in numbers

Use these numbers

NFL Week 3 money, answered

Week 3 results

Week 3 games

Latest news

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