Buccaneers vs. Cowboys Week 5 Odds & PredictionsBuccaneers vs. Cowboys (Oct. 8, 2026)
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Dallas Cowboys, Thursday, Oct 8, 8:15 PM ET. Prediction markets give the Cowboys an 80% chance to win (−405) and the Buccaneers 20% (+410). Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket agree within a point. Kalshi's lines make it Cowboys −7.5, with 47.5 total points. The Cowboys are down 2 points this week on Kalshi. $293K has traded on the game in the last 24 hours.
About 4 in 5 (−405)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $124 if correct, before fees.
About 1 in 5 (+410)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $500 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 79¢82.1¢81¢ + fee$122per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 80¢81.4¢80.3¢ + fee$123per $100
- PolymarketOutside US5% fee · bid 80¢81.8¢81¢ + fee$122per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Cowboys by 7.8 with 47.7 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: DAL -8.5, total 47.5.
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallas CowboysHome · −405 | 80% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $124 | Kalshi81¢ | Polymarket US80.3¢Lowest ask | Polymarket81¢ | |
| Tampa Bay BuccaneersAway · +410 | 20% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $500 | Kalshi20¢ | Polymarket US20¢ | Polymarket20¢ |
Best prices to buy: Dallas at 80.3¢ on Polymarket US; Tampa Bay at 20¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $252K on Kalshi, $24K on Polymarket US and $18K on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed Oct 6, 11:27 AM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Dallas lost 2 points, to 80%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 29 to Oct 5 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys spread and over/under
Kalshi and Polymarket US price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 27 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 6, 10:37 AM and 11:27 AM ET.
Live at kickoff
8:15 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 5 games 15 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETThis gameTB BuccaneersDAL CowboysDAL 83%
- Sun 9:30 AM ETPHI EaglesJAC JaguarsJAC 69%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCIN BengalsMIA DolphinsCIN 78%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCLE BrownsNYJ JetsNYJ 55%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETHOU TexansTEN TitansHOU 74%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETIND ColtsPIT SteelersPIT 56%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETLV RaidersNE PatriotsNE 62%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETMIN VikingsNO SaintsMIN 52%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNYG GiantsWAS CommandersWAS 62%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETDEN BroncosLAC ChargersDEN 63%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETCHI BearsGB PackersCHI 58%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETDET LionsARI CardinalsDET 67%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETSF 49ersSEA SeahawksSEA 58%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETBAL RavensATL FalconsBAL 63%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETBUF BillsLAR RamsLAR 58%
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys stats
Tampa Bay visits Dallas for Thursday Night Football on Oct. 8, 2026. Kickoff is at 5:15 p.m. PT / 8:15 p.m. ET at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas, with Prime Video carrying the game. The Buccaneers enter Week 5 looking for their first win; the Cowboys have split their opening four games.
The table covers the 2026 regular season through Week 4, with four completed games for each team. Passing production uses gross passing yards before sack-yard deductions. Yardage figures are per-game averages, not projections for Thursday.
| Team stat | Buccaneers | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 0-4 | 2-2 |
| Points per game | 19.0 | 30.5 |
| Points allowed per game | 24.0 | 28.0 |
| Gross passing yards per game | 190.8 | 266.3 |
| Rushing yards per game | 106.0 | 89.5 |
| Passing yards allowed per game | 214.3 | 242.5 |
| Rushing yards allowed per game | 78.5 | 150.3 |
Stat leaders: Buccaneers: passing, Baker Mayfield (61/96, 615 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT); rushing, Bucky Irving (56 carries, 241 yards, 1 TD); receiving, Cade Otton (15 catches, 157 yards). Cowboys: passing, Dak Prescott (105/150, 1,065 yards, 8 TD, 1 INT); rushing, Javonte Williams (62 carries, 231 yards, 5 TD); receiving, CeeDee Lamb (37 catches, 498 yards, 4 TD).
Dallas has scored more per game, while Tampa Bay has allowed fewer points. The rushing matchup offers another comparison: the Buccaneers average 106.0 rushing yards, and the Cowboys have allowed 150.3. Those four-game averages describe each team's start; they are not a model prediction or an editorial pick.
Source: ESPN Buccaneers vs. Cowboys game preview and ESPN regular-season team statistics. Checked Oct. 5, 2026; team averages and leaders cover games completed through Week 4. This editorial statistics section is a dated snapshot.
Free NFL pick’em pool and printable schedules
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NFL Week 5 Odds: Latest Prices from Kalshi and Polymarket