Giants vs. Commanders Week 5 Odds & PredictionsThe Commanders are a 62% favorite at home against the Giants
New York Giants at Washington Commanders, Sunday, Oct 11, 1:00 PM ET. Prediction markets give the Commanders a 62% chance to win (−166) and the Giants 38% (+166). Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket agree within a point. Kalshi's lines make it Commanders −3.5, with 43.5 total points. The Commanders are up 6 points this week on Kalshi. $36K has traded on the game in the last 24 hours.
About 3 in 5 (−166)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $160 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+166)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $264 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Giants vs. Commanders moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington CommandersHome · −166 | 62% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $160 | Kalshi63¢ | Polymarket US62.5¢ | Polymarket63¢ | |
| New York GiantsAway · +166 | 38% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $264 | Kalshi38¢ | Polymarket US37.8¢ | Polymarket38¢ |
Best prices to buy: Washington at 62.5¢ on Polymarket US; the Giants at 37.8¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $31K on Kalshi, $4K on Polymarket US and $947 on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 6, 11:55 AM and 12:05 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Washington gained 6 points, to 63%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 29 to Oct 5 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Giants vs. Commanders spread and over/under
Kalshi and Polymarket US price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi and Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 6, 11:15 AM and 11:59 AM ET.
NFL Week 5 games 15 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETTB BuccaneersDAL CowboysDAL 80%
- Sun 9:30 AM ETPHI EaglesJAC JaguarsJAC 75%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCIN BengalsMIA DolphinsCIN 76%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCLE BrownsNYJ JetsNYJ 55%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETHOU TexansTEN TitansHOU 74%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETIND ColtsPIT SteelersPIT 57%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETLV RaidersNE PatriotsNE 64%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETMIN VikingsNO SaintsMIN 55%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETThis gameNYG GiantsWAS CommandersWAS 62%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETDEN BroncosLAC ChargersDEN 63%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETCHI BearsGB PackersCHI 58%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETDET LionsARI CardinalsDET 69%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETSF 49ersSEA SeahawksSEA 58%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETBAL RavensATL FalconsATL 58%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETBUF BillsLAR RamsLAR 59%
Live prediction market odds for the New York Giants at the Washington Commanders, Sunday, Oct. 11, 1 p.m. ET: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket prices to win, the spread and total, player props, and where the money is going. At kickoff this page turns into the live Game Center, with the score, the plays and the odds moving with them.
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