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Kalshi and Polymarket expect a July hold at Kevin Warsh's first rate decision as Fed chair, while longer-dated contracts still price a real chance of a hike this year.

The SAVE America Act would require proof of citizenship to register to vote in federal elections, but Kalshi traders see little chance it becomes law this year.

Kalshi prices on whether Tarik Skubal and Luis Arraez will be traded before the MLB deadline, plus how the variable new-user bonus with promo code RATE works.

How Kalshi promo code RATE's variable new-user bonus works, and where Magomed Ankalaev and Bogdan Guskov trade for UFC Fight Night Abu Dhabi.

UFC Fight Night descends on Abu Dhabi for an early Saturday card. It’s Magomed Ankalaev vs. Bogdan Guskov in the main event, with a clear favorite emerging at Kalshi and Polymarket.

Kalshi promo code RATE is available for France vs. England third-place match. Complete match preview and details on how to claim a $15 trading bonus.

Kalshi promo code RATE is available for France vs. Spain semifinal match. Complete match preview and details on how to claim a $15 trade bonus.

Kalshi odds favor Max Holloway over Conor McGregor, returning after five years away, in their UFC 329 rematch, and new users can claim a bonus with promo code RATE.

Kalshi promo code RATE is available for Argentina vs. Egypt knockout stage. Complete match preview and details on how to claim a $10 trade bonus.

Kalshi promo code RATE is available for Mexico vs. England knockout stage. Complete match preview and details on how to claim a $10 trade bonus.

OG Predictions promo code is available for Australia vs. Egypt today. Complete match preview and details on how to claim a $10 bonus.

Kalshi promo code RATE is available for England vs. DR Congo in the World Cup Round of 32. Complete match preview and details on how to claim a $10 bonus.

Türkiye is eliminated and the USA won Group D with a win over Australia, and Kalshi and Polymarket have repriced the tournament and the day's matches.

How new Kalshi users can claim a trading bonus with promo code RATE before the USMNT's World Cup opener against Paraguay, and the terms that apply.

Traders make the USMNT a slight favorite over Paraguay in its World Cup opener in Los Angeles, with a draw and a Paraguay win priced well behind.

Prediction markets back Canada at 54% to beat Bosnia and Herzegovina in their World Cup opener at BMO Field, even without injured captain Alphonso Davies.

The World Cup opens with Mexico against South Africa in Mexico City, and Kalshi and Polymarket offer markets on the opening matches and the tournament.

Kalshi and Polymarket odds for co-hosts USA, Canada and Mexico, including group winners, their opening matches and which host will go furthest.

A group-by-group look at Kalshi and Polymarket odds to win each of the twelve World Cup groups, with the teams DeFi Rate sees as mispriced.

Kalshi launched a free World Cup contest whose prize pool is shared among eligible entrants who correctly pick the champion, with tickets to the final also on offer.