The 2026 FIFA World Cup spotlight shifts to Atlanta’s Mercedes-Benz Stadium for a high-stakes Round of 16 clash between defending champions Argentina and underdog Egypt, with a place in the quarterfinals hanging in the balance.
The match kicks off at 12:00 p.m. ET on FOX.
The Kalshi markets position Argentina currently as heavy favorites to survive the knockout test and advance to the Quarterfinals in today’s massive fixture. New Kalshi traders can enter the promo code RATE to get a $10 trading bonus for the highly anticipated matchup.
How to claim the Kalshi $10 bonus for knockout stage
Enter the promo code RATE when creating a new Kalshi account to claim a $10 trading bonus for World Cup markets. Here are the steps to follow to sign up and claim the bonus.
- Download the Kalshi app: Install the free Kalshi app for your iOS or Android device and begin the registration process. You can also visit the website and click on the Sign Up button.
- Enter the promo code RATE: Enter the Kalshi referral code RATE when prompted during the sign-up process.
- Verify your identity. You will need a valid driver’s license or passport to verify your identity.
- Fund your account: Deposit and trade $10 on any market using one of the accepted payment options, including a bank account, debit cards, Apple Pay, or wire transfer.
- Place your first trade. Review the market rules and make your first trade on the Argentina vs Egypt match or any other World Cup market. Kalshi will credit your account with the $10 bonus after the market settles.
Check out our Kalshi promo code guide for the full terms and conditions. Enter the correct Kalshi code for your state
| Referral Code | Eligible States |
|---|---|
| RATE | All States + DC, excluding AR, AZ, CT, IL, LA, MA, MD, MI, MT, NJ, NV, and OH |
Kalshi World Cup Odds: Argentina vs Egypt
| Outcome | Prediction Odds | American Odds |
|---|---|---|
| Argentina to advance | 86% | -614 |
| Egypt to advance | 14% | +614 |
| Regulation time – Argentina | 72% | -257 |
| Regulation time – Egypt | 9% | +1011 |
| Regulation time – Draw | 19% | +426 |
| Regulation time – Argentina to win by 1.5 goals | 46% | +117 |
| Regulation time – Over 2.5 goals scored | 49% | +104 |
| Regulation time – Both teams to score | 42% | +138 |
| Goal scorer: Lionel Messi – Argentina | 61% | -156 |
Argentina vs Egypt preview
Argentina comes into this Round of 16 fixture in Atlanta with all the pressure of a defending champion but also the comfort of a side that has largely dealt with that pressure so far in the 2026 tournament. Lionel Messi may no longer be the only man on whom everything revolves, with Julián Álvarez, Lautaro Martínez and Enzo Fernández sharing the goalscoring workload, but Argentina’s identity remains the same: heavy possession, territorial dominance and a back line that is happy to defend higher up the pitch.
Traders have treated the Albiceleste as a business-as-usual spot, with World Cup markets continuing to price Argentina among the shortest odds to reach the quarterfinals and stay alive in outright winner markets, reinforcing the perception that anything less than a deep run would be a genuine shock.
Egypt, meanwhile, comes as a dangerous underdog, not a token participant, with an organized defensive block and the star power of Mohamed Salah to create transition opportunities against more talented sides. Discipline and tight margins were their way out of the group, and traders have noticed, with markets on Egypt to advance from this tie and to reach the Quarterfinals, trading shorter than normal for a team of their stature, showing respect for their ability to turn one moment of magic into a seismic upset.
From a match-up perspective, Egypt’s tight shape and counter-punching make-up is built to test Argentina’s patience. If the favorite shows any vulnerability, whether it’s through fatigue, nicks along the back line, or a slow start, this could be one of those knockout games where pre-match probabilities don’t fully capture the volatility once the whistle is blown.
Why trade Argentina vs Egypt on Kalshi
Kalshi’s Argentina vs Egypt markets give you more flexibility than a traditional pre-match bet. You can react to the game as it unfolds, get into a position before kickoff, and buy/sell as momentum shifts during live play. All World Cup knockout matches are shown live, with regular score updates and match statistics. This is the sort of fast-moving environment where a red card, an early goal, or a nail-biting goalless first half can produce new trading angles.
Prediction markets feel more alive than more rigid betting formats because traders are managing a position rather than just buying a ticket and waiting for the final whistle. And for any new users, the promo code RATE is an easy extra nudge, giving you a $10 bonus to get you started on one of the tournament’s biggest matchups.
NOTE: Prediction markets involve risk, and prices can move quickly before and during live events. Users should trade only with money they can afford to lose, review the rules for each market before buying shares, and avoid chasing losses.
