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Colts vs. Commanders (Oct 4, 2026)Indianapolis is a 67% favorite on the road against Washington

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders, Sunday, Oct 4, 9:30 AM ET. Indianapolis is a 67% favorite on the road against Washington, averaging Kalshi (67%), Polymarket US (66%) and Polymarket (67%).

Who wins?
67%Indianapolis Colts

About 2 in 3 (−201)

Prices to buy. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:40 PM ET); Polymarket US's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 2:59 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 1:18 PM ET); they may have moved.

The upset
33%Washington Commanders

About 1 in 3 (+200)

Prices to buy. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:40 PM ET); Polymarket US's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 2:59 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 1:18 PM ET); they may have moved.

NFL Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4 · 9:30 AM ET

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders

Upcoming

Prices to buy each team, or the last trade where no one is selling. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:40 PM ET); Polymarket US's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 2:59 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 1:18 PM ET); they may have moved. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, observed between Sep 25, 1:18 PM and 3:40 PM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketSources
Indianapolis ColtsAway · −20167%Kalshi68¢Polymarket US66.5¢Polymarket57¢
Washington CommandersHome · +20033%Kalshi35¢Polymarket US33.8¢Polymarket39¢

Traded in the past 24 hours: $545 on Kalshi and $231 on Polymarket US.

Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; Polymarket's displayed price. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 25, 1:18 PM and 3:40 PM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeSep 22 – Sep 24
304050607067%33%
ColtsCommanders

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Sep 24 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Colts vs. Commanders stats

These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.

Team statColtsCommanders
Record0-20-2
Points per game26.521
Total yards per game290342
Passing yards per game188185.5
Rushing yards per game110.5157
First downs per game20.522
Third-down conversion36.4%44.8%
Red-zone TD rate83.3%66.7%
Turnover differential−2−1
Sacks per game22.5
Time of possession28:5032:24

Stat leaders: Colts — passing, Daniel Jones (41/62, 376 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT); rushing, Jonathan Taylor (43 CAR, 190 YDS, 4 TD); receiving, Josh Downs (9 REC, 109 YDS); Commanders — passing, Jayden Daniels (29/51, 260 YDS, 3 TD); rushing, Jacory Croskey-Merritt (28 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Stefon Diggs (9 REC, 102 YDS, 3 TD).

Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.

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