Vikings vs. PackersWeek 10 Predictions, Picks and Odds

Vikings vs. Packers odds and spread

Green Bay has the stronger passing offense, but Minnesota has already shown it can disrupt Jordan Love. The Vikings won the September meeting by 17 points, and their defense has allowed only 14.5 points per game through Week 9. Sunday's rematch comes after very different results: Green Bay scored 45 against New England, while Minnesota managed six against Buffalo.

• Date and time: Sunday, November 15, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET.
• Location: Lambeau Field, Green Bay, Wisconsin.
• TV: FOX.
• Moneyline: Packers approximately 59%, Vikings approximately 41% on Kalshi's November 11 market snapshot.
• Spread: Packers −3.5, Vikings +3.5.
• Over/under: 42.5 points on the referenced Kalshi market.
• Records: Vikings 6–2, Packers 6–3.

The 3.5-point spread sits just above a field goal, so the winner and the team that covers need not be the same. A three-point Packers victory would settle Green Bay moneyline contracts as winners but favor Minnesota +3.5. Prices for those outcomes should be compared independently, especially when the spread changes by half a point.

Vikings vs. Packers picks and predictions

• Moneyline / Winner: Green Bay Packers. Love leads the NFL with 2,618 passing yards, and Green Bay has won its last two games while scoring 72 points combined. Minnesota's defense makes this a difficult matchup, particularly with its pressure and ability to generate takeaways. Still, the Vikings' current quarterback uncertainty and their failure to score a touchdown against Buffalo make it harder to back another outright Minnesota victory. Green Bay is the selection at home, with the caveat that Minnesota already beat this team convincingly in Week 1.
• Against the spread: Minnesota +3.5. Minnesota's case is much stronger against the number than on the moneyline. The Vikings are allowing only 14.5 points per game, and their 29 sacks could prevent Green Bay from building the kind of passing rhythm Love enjoyed against New England. A four-point Packers victory would beat this selection, but a three-point win would not. The biggest risk is Minnesota's offense leaving its defense on the field for long stretches, as it did against Buffalo. At +3.5, a close divisional rematch is the preferred outcome rather than a repeat of September's lopsided score.
• Over/Under: Under 42.5 points. Minnesota has scored 15 and six points in its two losses, and both defenses rank near the top of the NFL in sacks. The Packers' 45-point showing against New England is a reason for caution, but the Vikings have been far more effective at limiting opponents. Jacobs' absence also changes Green Bay's backfield. A 21–17 Packers win would produce 38 total points and satisfy both the Minnesota spread and under selections. An early defensive takeaway or a long touchdown could quickly change the game script, so the live total should be checked again before kickoff.

Predictions reflect team results, November 11 injury reports and the referenced market snapshot. Live win probabilities, spreads and totals may differ at publication and should come from the existing odds feed.

Vikings vs. Packers stats

Minnesota owns the better record and the lower points-allowed figure, but Green Bay's offense produces nearly 81 more yards per game. Both defenses get to opposing quarterbacks frequently, which may be more informative for this matchup than the teams' combined 12 wins.

Vikings vs. Packers team outlooks

• Minnesota Vikings (6–2): A 6–0 start has given way to defeats at Detroit and against Buffalo. Minnesota's defense remains formidable, ranking first in the NFL at 14.5 points allowed per game and tied for the league lead with 29 sacks. Offense is the concern. Carson Wentz completed only eight of 25 passes for 81 yards with two interceptions in Monday's 23–6 loss to the Bills, and the Vikings converted none of their eight third downs. Kyler Murray, sidelined by a hamstring injury, was listed as not participating on Wednesday's estimated practice report. Wentz was limited by an ankle issue. Minnesota also listed T.J. Hockenson, Blake Cashman and Jauan Jennings as nonparticipants, making the later injury updates important before selecting player or team-total markets.
• Green Bay Packers (6–3): Jordan Love threw for 372 yards and three touchdowns without an interception in Green Bay's 45–27 victory at New England. Christian Watson caught seven passes for 171 yards, while Matthew Golden added 164 yards on 10 receptions. Those downfield options give the Packers a clear advantage over a Minnesota offense averaging 266.8 yards per game. The complication is at running back: Josh Jacobs fractured a finger against the Patriots and is expected to miss time after surgery. Kaleb Johnson supplied 68 rushing yards and a touchdown in relief. The Packers also reported Micah Parsons as limited Wednesday, with Javon Bullard, Zaire Franklin and Sean Rhyan among those who did not participate. Their availability could affect how aggressively Green Bay attacks Minnesota's protection.

The division rematch can also be viewed against both clubs’ Super Bowl odds, which reflect the longer-term market rather than Sunday’s result.

Source: NFL Week 10 matchup game center; statistics through Week 9 of the 2026 season.

Green Bay's passing advantage has become harder to ignore. Love has 19 passing touchdowns through nine games, with Watson and Golden combining for more than 1,600 receiving yards. Minnesota can counter with a defense that creates pressure and rarely allows opponents to score freely. Whether the Vikings can sustain drives with their available quarterback may determine how often that defense has to return to the field.

How to trade Vikings vs. Packers odds

Green Bay's approximately 62-cent Yes price represents what traders are willing to pay for a $1 settlement if the Packers win. That is not a guaranteed 62% outcome. It is a market-implied probability that can change as new orders arrive, injury updates are released and the game unfolds.

Consider a hypothetical order for 40 Green Bay Yes contracts at 62 cents. The purchase would cost $24.80 before fees. A Packers win would return $40, leaving $15.20 in profit before fees. If Minnesota wins, the 40 contracts settle at zero and the $24.80 purchase cost is lost. Kalshi's NFL winner rules provide a 50-cent settlement per contract if the official game result is a tie.

Spread contracts give traders a way to separate a Green Bay victory from its margin. With the Packers favored by 3.5, a 20–17 Green Bay win is enough for a Packers moneyline position but not for a Packers −3.5 Yes contract. Minnesota +3.5 would cover. Change the final score to 24–17, however, and the Packers would also cover the 3.5-point spread. Those are different outcomes with different prices.

The total is a separate question. At 41.5 points, a game finishing 21–17 has 38 combined points, so an Under 41.5 Yes contract settles at $1. A 24–21 result totals 45, which would instead pay an Over 41.5 Yes contract. Points scored in overtime count under the applicable total-points rules.

You can also sell a position before the score becomes final. Imagine paying 38 cents each for 60 Minnesota Yes contracts, a $22.80 position before fees. If the Vikings' pass rush forces two early turnovers and the available selling price increases to 59 cents, selling all 60 would bring back $35.40. That is a $12.60 gain before fees, even if Green Bay eventually comes back to win.

The reverse is possible, too. If the Vikings fall behind and their available selling price drops to 19 cents, closing the same position would recover $11.40, realizing an $11.40 loss before fees. Holding might still produce a winning payout if Minnesota stages a comeback, but the entire purchase cost remains at risk.

Prediction-market trading lets you enter a sell order as prices change, rather than rely only on the optional early cash-out features offered by some traditional sportsbooks. Selling is not automatic: someone must match your order, and fees, available liquidity and price changes can affect the amount you receive. Check the specified team, margin and total on each contract before placing an order.

See the rest of the schedule and compare current prices on our NFL odds page. You can also explore NFL player props as more injury information becomes available.

Where to trade Vikings vs. Packers odds

Compare the Best Price for the same Vikings vs. Packers outcome across Kalshi and Polymarket US using live contract asks, trading fees and available liquidity. A signup promotion should not be counted as a cheaper contract price.

Kalshi: Eligible new customers can use the Kalshi promo code RATE to get $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades. Review the offer’s eligibility requirements and deadlines before signing up.

Polymarket US: The Polymarket promo code RATE offers eligible new customers a $25 trading bonus after a qualifying $10 deposit. Check the current promotion terms and availability before creating an account.

The two offers are separate from the contracts themselves. To decide where to trade, compare the cost of buying the identical winner, spread or total outcome on each platform, including fees.