49ers vs. CowboysWeek 10 Predictions, Picks and Best Price
The 49ers are favored over the Cowboys at −196, with a 66% chance to win; Dallas is +197 with a 34% chance. The spread is 49ers −4.5 and the total is 55.5 points, with $76K traded in the last 24 hours. San Francisco will be without defensive lineman Gracen Halton, who was placed on injured reserve Nov. 10.
About 2 in 3 (−196)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $150 if correct, before fees.
About 1 in 3 (+197)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $294 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
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Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 66¢68.6¢67¢ + fee$146per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 65.8¢67.6¢66¢ + fee$148per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe 49ers by 4.1 with 55.4 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: SF -3.5, total 55.5.
49ers vs. Cowboys moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| San Francisco 49ersAway · −196 | 66% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $150 | Kalshi67¢ | Polymarket US66.3¢ | Gemini67¢ | |
| Dallas CowboysHome · +197 | 34% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $294 | Kalshi34¢ | Polymarket US34.3¢ | Gemini34¢ |
Best prices to buy: San Francisco at 66.3¢ on Polymarket US; Dallas at 34¢ on Kalshi and Gemini. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $63K on Kalshi and $13K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 2:01 PM and 2:06 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, San Francisco held within a point, at 67%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Nov 3 to Nov 11 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
49ers vs. Cowboys spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 1:07 PM and 2:07 PM ET.
49ers vs. Cowboys team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 12, 2:08 PM ET.
49ers vs. Cowboys player props
Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan FlournoyDAL | Anytime touchdown | 27% | 27¢ | 74¢ |
| CeeDee LambDAL | Anytime touchdown | 50% | 50¢ | 51¢ |
| George KittleSF | Anytime touchdown | 47% | 48¢ | 54¢ |
| SF 49ers D/STSF | First touchdown | 2% | 3¢ | 99¢ |
| Brock PurdySF | Anytime touchdown | 25% | 26¢ | 77¢ |
| Christian McCaffreySF | 2+ touchdowns | 32% | 32¢ | 69¢ |
| Hunter LuepkeDAL | Anytime touchdown | 8% | 9¢ | 93¢ |
| Dak PrescottDAL | Anytime touchdown | 12% | 12¢ | 89¢ |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL | First touchdown | 5% | 6¢ | 96¢ |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | Anytime touchdown | 59% | 60¢ | 42¢ |
| Brevyn Spann-FordDAL | First touchdown | 4% | 5¢ | 97¢ |
| CeeDee LambDAL | First touchdown | 8.5% | 10¢ | 93¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Nov 12, 2:04 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
4:25 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 10 games 7 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersNYG GiantsNYG 55%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETHOU TexansCLE BrownsHOU 67%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETKC ChiefsATL FalconsKC 63%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETMIA DolphinsIND ColtsIND 65%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETSEA SeahawksLV RaidersSEA 73%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETThis gameSF 49ersDAL CowboysSF 66%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETLAC ChargersBAL RavensBAL 66%
49ers vs. Cowboys odds and spread
San Francisco is favored at Dallas in the highest-total matchup on Sunday’s Week 10 board. The 49ers improved to 7–1 with a 38–17 win over the Raiders. Dallas has CeeDee Lamb producing 904 receiving yards through nine games, but its 4–5 record leaves it chasing an upset at home.
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026.
- Kickoff: 4:25 p.m. ET.
- Venue: AT&T Stadium, Arlington, Texas.
- TV: FOX.
- Favorite: 49ers −4.5.
- Total: 55.5 points.
- Records: 49ers 7–1, Cowboys 4–5.
- Implied win chance: 49ers 66%; Cowboys 34%.
The spread, total and win probabilities above update with the live markets. The live component should show each venue's Yes ask, fee-adjusted purchase cost, and the contract's exact settlement language.
49ers vs. Cowboys picks and predictions
Moneyline / Winner: 49ers. San Francisco has the stronger record and just put up 38 points against Las Vegas. Dallas can trade scores through Lamb, but the 49ers have produced the more reliable results to date.
Against the spread: Cowboys +4.5. A Dallas passing game capable of making explosive gains should keep this closer than the win probabilities alone suggest. A San Francisco victory by a field goal still gives Dallas the successful spread side.
Over/Under: Over 55.5. This is the highest posted total among Sunday’s listed games, so the price already expects offense. Dallas’ receiving production and San Francisco’s recent scoring make an over viable, though offensive injuries add uncertainty.
The total above updates with the live market; the Cowboys +4.5 spread pick uses the listed pregame line. If a spread or total changes, reassess the pick against the new line. Picks are editorial forecasts, not guaranteed outcomes.
Compare the other games on the NFL odds board.
49ers vs. Cowboys stats
| Matchup metric | 49ers | Cowboys |
|---|---|---|
| Record entering Week 10 | 7–1 | 4–5 |
| Week 9 result | Beat Raiders 38–17 | — |
| CeeDee Lamb receiving yards | — | 904 in nine games |
49ers vs. Cowboys team outlooks
San Francisco 49ers (7–1): San Francisco’s recent form is strong, but the receiving group is dealing with injuries. Mike Evans and Deebo Samuel have appeared on the report, while defensive back Renardo Green and Deommodore Lenoir have been monitored. Defensive lineman Gracen Halton suffered a serious ankle injury against Las Vegas.
Dallas Cowboys (4–5): Lamb has caught 70 passes for 904 yards and seven touchdowns, giving Dallas a genuine route to matching San Francisco’s scoring. The Cowboys are monitoring other offensive contributors, including George Pickens and Jake Ferguson, ahead of a matchup with an unusually high total.
For a broader view of San Francisco’s season, compare its chances in this matchup with its Super Bowl odds.
How to trade 49ers vs. Cowboys at prediction markets
For a simple winner contract, you pay the current asking price for a Yes position that generally returns $1 if your selected team wins, subject to the venue's event rules. For example, 40 contracts bought at 62 cents cost $24.80 before fees. A $1 settlement on each would pay $40, giving you $15.20 profit; a losing settlement could cost the entire $24.80. This price is an illustration, not a live 49ers vs. Cowboys quote.
The 49ers −4.5 spread is separate from the winner market. The favorite needs to win by more than the displayed point spread to cover that line. For example, with a 49ers −4.5 spread and 55.5 total, a 31–28 San Francisco finish would pay the 49ers winner and Cowboys +4.5 contracts, while the 59-point combined total would beat 55.5. A 28–24 score instead falls under the total in this example.
At the listed 55.5 total, an Over Yes contract requires combined scoring above 55.5 and an Under position needs combined scoring below it. Read the displayed market terms before purchase, especially for half-point versus whole-number lines and how overtime is handled.
A position can also be sold before the result is known if another participant is willing to buy at your chosen price. Suppose 40 contracts initially cost 42 cents each ($16.80). Selling at 58 cents would return $23.20, a $6.40 gain before fees; selling at 29 cents would return $11.60, a $5.20 loss. These exit prices are examples and there is no guarantee a sell order will execute.
Where to trade 49ers vs. Cowboys odds
Compare the Best Price for the same 49ers vs. Cowboys outcome across Kalshi and Polymarket US using live contract asks, trading fees and available liquidity. A signup promotion should not be counted as a cheaper contract price.
Kalshi: Eligible new customers can use the Kalshi promo code RATE to get $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades. Review the offer’s eligibility requirements and deadlines before signing up.
Polymarket US: The Polymarket promo code RATE offers eligible new customers a $25 trading bonus after a qualifying $10 deposit. Check the current promotion terms and availability before creating an account.
The two offers are separate from the contracts themselves. To decide where to trade, compare the cost of buying the identical winner, spread or total outcome on each platform, including fees.
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