Texans vs. BrownsWeek 10 Predictions, Picks and Odds
The Houston Texans are favorites to beat the Cleveland Browns, with Kalshi giving Houston a 68% chance to win as of November 10, 2026. Houston scored <a href="https://www.houstontexans.com/schedule/2026/">44 points in its Week 9 victory</a> over the Chargers—more than twice its total in either of its previous two games. Cleveland returns home after losing 23–22 in overtime to New Orleans, while Houston makes its second consecutive road trip for the November 15 matchup. Compare live Texans–Browns prices across Kalshi and Polymarket US, including implied win probabilities, spreads and totals. Our live odds feed is updated every 2 minutes so you can compare Kalshi vs. Polymarket odds.
About 2 in 3 (−208)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $147 if correct, before fees.
About 1 in 3 (+206)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $310 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 67.8¢69.8¢68.3¢ + fee$143per $100
- PolymarketOutside US5% fee · bid 67¢69.1¢68¢ + fee$145per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Texans by 4.9 with 39.9 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: HOU -4.5, total 39.5.
Texans vs. Browns moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Houston TexansAway · −208 | 68% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $147 | Kalshi68¢ | Polymarket US68.3¢ | Gemini68¢ | |
| Cleveland BrownsHome · +206 | 33% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $310 | Kalshi34¢ | Polymarket US32.3¢ | Gemini33¢ |
Best prices to buy: Houston at 68¢ on Kalshi and Gemini; Cleveland at 32.3¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $12K on Kalshi and $653 on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 10, 9:44 AM and 9:57 AM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Houston gained 4 points, to 68%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Nov 3 to Nov 9 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Texans vs. Browns spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 10, 8:54 AM and 9:58 AM ET.
Texans vs. Browns team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 10, 9:58 AM ET.
Live at kickoff
1:00 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
Texans vs. Browns odds and info
Houston visits Cleveland for a Week 10 matchup between teams coming off very different offensive performances. The Texans scored 44 points against the Chargers, while the Browns scored just six through three quarters before taking the Saints to overtime.
- Date and time: Sunday, Nov. 15, 2026, at 1 p.m. ET.
- Location: Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland.
- TV: FOX.
- Moneyline: Houston 68% to win; Cleveland 33%.
- Spread: Texans −4.5.
- Over/under: 39.5 points.
- Records through Week 9: Texans 3–5; Browns 5–4.
The live markets below include prices for the spread and total, not just the lines. Compare the same outcome before choosing a venue.
| Market | Chance | Price | Odds | $10 pays | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread · Kalshi | |||||
| Houston wins by over 4.5 points? | 52% | 52¢ | -108 | $19.23 | Trade on Kalshi |
| Houston wins by over 5.5 points? | 48% | 49¢ | +104 | $20.41 | Trade on Kalshi |
| Houston wins by over 6.5 points? | 46% | 46¢ | +117 | $21.74 | Trade on Kalshi |
| Total Points · Kalshi | |||||
| Full Game: over 38.5 points scored? | 55% | 56¢ | -127 | $17.86 | Trade on Kalshi |
| Full Game: over 39.5 points scored? | 53% | 53¢ | -113 | $18.87 | Trade on Kalshi |
| Full Game: over 40.5 points scored?Last trade | 47% | – | +113 | – | Trade on Kalshi |
Live prices from Kalshi via DeFi Rate. A contract pays $1 if it’s right; its price is the market’s chance. Payouts are before trading fees.
Texans vs. Browns team outlooks
Houston Texans (3–5): Houston heads to Cleveland after a 44–22 win over the Chargers, with C.J. Stroud throwing for 384 yards and five touchdowns. The Texans are averaging 26.1 points and 356.5 offensive yards per game through Week 9, but they are also allowing 24.0 points per game.
Cleveland Browns (5–4): Cleveland returns home after a 23–22 overtime loss to New Orleans. The Browns have the better record, but their offense is averaging 17.9 points per game compared with Houston's 26.1. Cleveland has allowed fewer points, giving up 21.8 per game through Week 9.
Texans vs. Browns picks and predictions
Moneyline / Winner: Houston is favored to win on the road at −208, with a 68% chance to win. Cleveland is the underdog at +206, with a 33% chance of an upset. The Texans have the stronger scoring offense entering this matchup, even though the Browns hold the better record.
Against the spread: Traders narrowly favor Texans −4.5. Houston's 22-point win last week was comfortably above that margin, while Cleveland's last game was decided by a single point in overtime. The market favors another Texans victory, but the spread pricing shows much less confidence in Houston winning by a comfortable margin.
Over/Under: The slight preference is for OVER 39.5 points. Houston's last game produced 66 points, while Cleveland's finished with 45. The Texans have also averaged more points than the Browns this season, 26.1 to 17.9, but the pricing favors the over only narrowly. This is not a runaway scoring game.
Source: the live odds board, quotes observed Nov. 10, 2026, between 7:51 and 7:57 a.m. ET. Win probabilities, moneyline odds, the spread and the total update automatically. Team stats cover the season through Week 9.
Texans vs. Browns stats
The stats below show how both teams compare across the season through Week 9.
| Team stat | Texans | Browns |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 8 | 9 |
| Points scored per game | 26.1 | 17.9 |
| Points allowed per game | 24.0 | 21.8 |
| Total offensive yards per game | 356.5 | 307.8 |
| Net passing yards per game | 269.4 | 210.4 |
| Rushing yards per game | 87.1 | 97.3 |
| Total yards allowed per game | 338.6 | 331.6 |
| Turnover differential (season total) | +4 | +1 |
Week 9 stat leaders: Stroud led Houston's passing game with 384 yards; Sanders led Cleveland with 297. Kayshon Boutte led Texans receivers with 125 yards, while Denzel Boston led the Browns with 98.
The team stats cover the season through Week 9, and the player leaders are from Week 9 only. Sources include the official Texans team stats, checked Nov. 10, 2026.
How to trade Texans vs. Browns odds
On Kalshi, a Houston Yes contract pays $1 if the Texans beat the Browns, including in overtime. If Houston loses, the contract settles at $0. If the game ends in a tie, the contract pays 50 cents.
For example, if you buy 100 Houston Yes contracts at 60 cents each, your total cost is $60. A Texans victory returns $100, leaving you with a $40 profit before fees. If Cleveland wins, you lose your $60 investment.
The Texas vs Browns spread is a bit different. Houston must cover the point spread specified in the contract, not simply win the game. The Texans could win by three points and still leave you with a losing position if you bought a contract requiring them to win by more than 3.5 points. Overtime points count toward the final margin.
For totals, you're trading on the combined score rather than which team wins. If the contract is for over 44.5 points, the Texans and Browns must score at least 45 points combined, including overtime, for a Yes contract to pay $1.
You can sell your Texans contracts before the Browns game ends. Suppose you buy 100 Houston Yes contracts at 60 cents each for $60. If the Texans take an early lead and the market price rises to 75 cents, you could sell all 100 contracts for $75, making a $15 profit before fees without waiting for Houston to win.
If Cleveland takes the lead and Houston's price falls to 45 cents, selling those same contracts would return $45, limiting your loss to $15 instead of risking the full $60. You can also hold your contracts until the final result if you believe the Texans will come back.
Unlike traditional online sportsbooks, prediction markets allow you to buy and sell contracts as prices change during the game. You can take a profit or cut your losses without waiting for the final score. Sportsbooks generally don't allow customers to trade positions directly with one another, although some offer early cash-out features.
On prediction markets, your sell order must be matched with a buyer before it can execute. You may not be able to exit at your preferred price, and trading carries the risk of losing your entire investment.
Every Week 10 game, the Super Bowl and the award races are on the NFL odds page, and the week's printable pick'em sheet has every game on one page.
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