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Steelers vs. BengalsWeek 10 Predictions, Picks and Odds

The Cincinnati Bengals are favored by 3.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers, with an estimated roughly 63% win probability from the pregame line. Compare live Kalshi and Polymarket US prices to find the best available contract after fees.

Spread and total
CIN −3.5O/U 49.5

Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip

PittsburghSteelers6-2 · Away
+168
PreviewSun · 8:20 PM ETNBC · Paycor Stadium
CincinnatiBengals6-2 · Home
−168
37%SteelersBengals63%
Chance to win, from Kalshi and Polymarket US
Get your $55 Bonus
Claim Now with Code RATE

Best price to buy

Fees included
Buy Bengals at 63¢on Polymarket US · pays $1 if they win

Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.

Markets’ projected final

From the spread & total
23Steelers
to
26Bengals

The Bengals by 3.4 with 49.3 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: CIN -3.5, total 49.5.

NFL Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 8:20 PM ET

Steelers vs. Bengals moneyline odds

Upcoming

Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini, observed between Nov 12, 10:31 PM and 10:36 PM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Cincinnati BengalsHome · −16763%
$100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $158
Kalshi63¢Polymarket US63¢Gemini63¢
Pittsburgh SteelersAway · +16737%
$100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $266
Kalshi38¢Polymarket US37.5¢Gemini38¢

Best prices to buy: Cincinnati at 63¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini; Pittsburgh at 37.5¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.005 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $37K on Kalshi and $3K on Polymarket US.

Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 10:31 PM and 10:36 PM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeNov 3 – Nov 12

Over the past week on Kalshi, Cincinnati gained 5 points, to 63%.

304050607038%64%
SteelersBengals

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Nov 3 to Nov 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Spread & total · Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini

Steelers vs. Bengals spread and over/under

Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.

Bengals win by more than…

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Spread ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: the lines closest to a coin flip
Bengals byFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
2+ pts−147Kalshi60¢Polymarket US60.5¢Gemini60¢
3+ pts−135Kalshi58¢Polymarket US58.5¢Gemini58¢
4+ pts Coin flip+102Kalshi50¢Polymarket US49.5¢Gemini50¢
5+ pts+120Kalshi46¢Polymarket US46¢Gemini46¢
6+ pts+130Kalshi44¢Polymarket US43.5¢Gemini44¢
All 25 spread lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Spread ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: every line
Winner byFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Steelers 2+ pts+194Kalshi35¢Polymarket US35¢Gemini36¢
Steelers 3+ pts+212Kalshi33¢Polymarket US33¢Gemini35¢
Steelers 4+ pts+277Kalshi27¢Polymarket US26.5¢Gemini28¢
Steelers 5+ pts+344Kalshi23¢Polymarket US23¢Gemini25¢
Steelers 6+ pts+388Kalshi21¢Polymarket US22¢Gemini23¢
Steelers 7+ pts+413Kalshi20¢Polymarket US20¢Gemini22¢
Steelers 8+ pts+567Kalshi16¢Polymarket US15.5¢Gemini18¢
Steelers 10+ pts+852Kalshi11¢Polymarket US12.5¢Gemini16¢
Steelers 11+ pts+953Kalshi11¢Polymarket US12¢Gemini13¢
Steelers 14+ pts+1438Kalshi8¢Polymarket US8¢Gemini10¢
Steelers 15+ pts+1718Kalshi6¢Polymarket US6.5¢Gemini9¢
Bengals 2+ pts−147Kalshi60¢Polymarket US60.5¢Gemini60¢
Bengals 3+ pts−135Kalshi58¢Polymarket US58.5¢Gemini58¢
Bengals 4+ pts Coin flip+102Kalshi50¢Polymarket US49.5¢Gemini50¢
Bengals 5+ pts+120Kalshi46¢Polymarket US46¢Gemini46¢
Bengals 6+ pts+130Kalshi44¢Polymarket US43.5¢Gemini44¢
Bengals 7+ pts+156Kalshi40¢Polymarket US40¢Gemini40¢
Bengals 8+ pts+194Kalshi35¢Polymarket US35.5¢Gemini35¢
Bengals 10+ pts+233Kalshi31¢Polymarket US31.5¢Gemini31¢
Bengals 11+ pts+264Kalshi28¢Polymarket US28¢Gemini28¢
Bengals 14+ pts+355Kalshi23¢Polymarket US22.5¢Gemini23¢
Bengals 15+ pts+441Kalshi19¢Polymarket US19.5¢Gemini19¢
Bengals 17+ pts+525Kalshi17¢Polymarket US17¢Gemini17¢
Bengals 18+ pts+614Kalshi16¢Polymarket US15¢Gemini16¢
Bengals 21+ pts+900Kalshi11¢Polymarket US11¢Gemini11¢
Total points over…

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Total points ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: the lines closest to a coin flip
OverFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Over 47.5−127Kalshi57¢Polymarket US57¢Gemini58¢
Over 48.5−111Kalshi53¢Polymarket US53¢Gemini55¢
Over 49.5 Coin flip+102Kalshi50¢Polymarket US50.5¢Gemini53¢
Over 50.5+117Kalshi47¢Polymarket US47¢Gemini49¢
Over 51.5+135Kalshi43¢Polymarket US43¢Gemini44¢
All 19 total lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Total points ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: every line
OverFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Over 27.5−2757Kalshi98¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini99¢
Over 30.5−1718Kalshi95¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini99¢
Over 33.5−1011Kalshi92¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini94¢
Over 36.5−567Kalshi87¢Polymarket US86¢Gemini90¢
Over 39.5−376Kalshi80¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini81¢
Over 42.5−251Kalshi72¢Polymarket US72¢Gemini74¢
Over 45.5−156Kalshi62¢Polymarket US61.5¢Gemini64¢
Over 46.5−150Kalshi61¢Polymarket US61¢Gemini62¢
Over 47.5−127Kalshi57¢Polymarket US57¢Gemini58¢
Over 48.5−111Kalshi53¢Polymarket US53¢Gemini55¢
Over 49.5 Coin flip+102Kalshi50¢Polymarket US50.5¢Gemini53¢
Over 50.5+117Kalshi47¢Polymarket US47¢Gemini49¢
Over 51.5+135Kalshi43¢Polymarket US43¢Gemini44¢
Over 54.5+186Kalshi36¢Polymarket US35.5¢Gemini37¢
Over 57.5+270Kalshi28¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini29¢
Over 60.5+400Kalshi21¢Polymarket US21¢Gemini24¢
Over 63.5+590Kalshi16¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini19¢
Over 66.5+809Kalshi13¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini14¢
Over 69.5+1233Kalshi10¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini11¢

Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 9:24 PM and 10:37 PM ET.

Team totals · Polymarket US

Steelers vs. Bengals team totals

Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.

Steelers points over…

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Steelers points ladder on Polymarket US: the lines closest to a coin flip
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 20.5−138Polymarket US59¢
Over 21.5−117Polymarket US55¢
Over 22.5 Coin flip−104Polymarket US52¢
Over 23.5+115Polymarket US49¢
Over 27.5+245Polymarket US32¢
All 17 team total lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Steelers points ladder on Polymarket US: every line
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 10.5−953Polymarket US91¢
Over 13.5−545Polymarket US86¢
Over 14.5−426Polymarket US82¢
Over 16.5−308Polymarket US77¢
Over 17.5−233Polymarket US71¢
Over 19.5−178Polymarket US66¢
Over 20.5−138Polymarket US59¢
Over 21.5−117Polymarket US55¢
Over 22.5 Coin flip−104Polymarket US52¢
Over 23.5+115Polymarket US49¢
Over 27.5+245Polymarket US32¢
Over 28.5+292Polymarket US27¢
Over 30.5+400Polymarket US22¢
Over 33.5+700Polymarket US15¢
Over 35.5+1233Polymarket US9¢
Over 38.5+2122Polymarket US6¢
Over 41.5+2400Polymarket US5¢
Bengals points over…

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Bengals points ladder on Polymarket US: the lines closest to a coin flip
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 23.5−178Polymarket US66¢
Over 25.5−130Polymarket US58¢
Over 27.5 Coin flip+122Polymarket US46¢
Over 28.5+138Polymarket US43¢
Over 30.5+194Polymarket US36¢
All 17 team total lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Bengals points ladder on Polymarket US: every line
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 13.5−1438Polymarket US96¢
Over 14.5−1150Polymarket US93¢
Over 16.5−700Polymarket US90¢
Over 17.5−506Polymarket US84¢
Over 19.5−388Polymarket US82¢
Over 20.5−285Polymarket US75¢
Over 21.5−257Polymarket US73¢
Over 23.5−178Polymarket US66¢
Over 25.5−130Polymarket US58¢
Over 27.5 Coin flip+122Polymarket US46¢
Over 28.5+138Polymarket US43¢
Over 30.5+194Polymarket US36¢
Over 33.5+317Polymarket US26¢
Over 35.5+525Polymarket US17¢
Over 38.5+1011Polymarket US10¢
Over 41.5+1900Polymarket US7¢
Over 45.5+2400Polymarket US5¢

Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 12, 10:37 PM ET.

Player props · Kalshi

Steelers vs. Bengals player props

Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →

Kalshi's player props on Pittsburgh Steelers at Cincinnati Bengals: each player's line, its chance and the prices to buy Yes and No
PlayerPropChanceYesNo
Joe BurrowCINAnytime touchdown15%15¢86¢
Germie BernardPITAnytime touchdown26%27¢75¢
Pat FreiermuthPITAnytime touchdown24%24¢77¢
Darnell WashingtonPITAnytime touchdown26%26¢75¢
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN11+ receptions16%18¢86¢
Germie BernardPIT50+ receiving yards51%51¢50¢
Ja'Marr ChaseCIN90+ receiving yards52%52¢49¢
Joe BurrowCIN300+ passing yards47%47¢54¢
Ja'Marr ChaseCINAnytime touchdown52%53¢50¢
Aaron RodgersPITAnytime touchdown5.5%6¢95¢
Tee HigginsCINAnytime touchdown44%44¢57¢

The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Nov 12, 10:34 PM ET.

Live at kickoff

8:20 PM
  • Every play, with how the price moved on it
  • The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
  • Live best prices on each venue, fees included
  • Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
  • Quarter winners and player props as they settle

This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.

NFL Week 10 games 14 games

Steelers vs. Bengals odds and spread

Cincinnati is favored by 3.5 points against Pittsburgh in a matchup between two 6–2 AFC North contenders. First place in the division is on the line. Pittsburgh is coming off its bye and has an opportunity to improve its defensive health, while Cincinnati enters with a short list of injuries to monitor.

  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026.
  • Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET.
  • Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio.
  • TV: NBC.
  • Favorite: Bengals −3.5.
  • Total: 49.5 points.
  • Records: Steelers 6–2, Bengals 6–2.
  • Implied win chance: Bengals roughly 63% (approximate, inferred from the pregame line; not a verified Kalshi ask).

The spread and total are pregame reference lines, not fixed trading quotes. The live component should show each venue's Yes ask, fee-adjusted purchase cost, and the contract's exact settlement language.

Steelers vs. Bengals stats

Matchup metricSteelersBengals
Record entering Week 106–26–2
Team record6–26–2
Wednesday injury watchDerrick Harmon limitedDJ Turner II limited

Snapshot: information available November 11, 2026. Statistics are scoped to the specific metric shown; a dash means the corresponding figure was not established in the cited preview.

Steelers vs. Bengals team outlooks

  • Pittsburgh Steelers (6–2): Pittsburgh spent its bye addressing injuries. Defensive tackle Derrick Harmon returned to practice after being placed on injured reserve, though his activation is not certain. T.J. Watt and Cameron Heyward were on veteran rest schedules Wednesday. The Steelers will need consistent pressure to prevent Cincinnati from turning this into a passing contest.
  • Cincinnati Bengals (6–2): The Bengals’ first injury report listed corner DJ Turner II and guard Dylan Fairchild as limited, with safety Kyle Dugger not participating due to a quadriceps problem. Cincinnati’s home advantage gives it a narrow edge in a matchup where the overall records offer no separation.

Ja’Marr Chase and Jaylen Warren provide two player-specific angles on the NFL player props market board.

Steelers vs. Bengals picks and predictions

  • Moneyline / Winner: Bengals. Home field and the market’s short-favorite position support Cincinnati, but the equal 6–2 records make this a lower-confidence winner selection than the bigger mismatches elsewhere on the slate.
  • Against the spread: Steelers +3.5. A field-goal margin is a reasonable outcome between two teams with identical records. Pittsburgh’s bye-week preparation and potential defensive reinforcements strengthen the case for taking the points.
  • Over/Under: Under 49.5. The divisional stakes and Pittsburgh’s rested defense could keep the game from turning into a sustained scoring exchange. One lengthy defensive stop in each half may be enough to decide a total near 50.

The picks use the listed pregame lines rather than an automatically updated contract quote. If a spread or total changes, reassess the pick against the new line. Picks are editorial forecasts, not guaranteed outcomes.

Compare the other games on the NFL odds board.

How to trade Steelers vs. Bengals odds

For a simple winner contract, you pay the current asking price for a Yes position that generally returns $1 if your selected team wins, subject to the venue's event rules. For example, 40 contracts bought at a hypothetical 62 cents cost $24.80 before fees. A $1 settlement on each would pay $40, giving you $15.20 profit; a losing settlement could cost the entire $24.80. This price is an illustration, not a live Steelers vs. Bengals quote.

The Bengals −3.5 spread is separate from the winner market. The favorite needs to win by more than 3.5 points to cover that line. A 27–24 Cincinnati finish would return a Bengals winner contract, a Steelers +3.5 contract and an over 49.5 contract. Reduce either side by a touchdown and the total outcome changes while the winner might not.

At the listed 49.5 total, an Over Yes contract requires combined scoring above 49.5 and an Under position needs combined scoring below it. Read the displayed market terms before purchase, especially for half-point versus whole-number lines and how overtime is handled.

A position can also be sold before the result is known if another participant is willing to buy at your chosen price. Suppose 40 contracts initially cost 42 cents each ($16.80). Selling at 58 cents would return $23.20, a $6.40 gain before fees; selling at 29 cents would return $11.60, a $5.20 loss. The possible exit prices are hypothetical and there is no guarantee a sell order will execute.

Where to trade Steelers vs. Bengals odds

Compare the Best Price for the same Steelers vs. Bengals outcome across Kalshi and Polymarket US using live contract asks, trading fees and available liquidity. A signup promotion should not be counted as a cheaper contract price.

Kalshi: Eligible new customers can use the Kalshi promo code RATE to get $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades. Review the offer’s eligibility requirements and deadlines before signing up.

Polymarket US: The Polymarket promo code RATE offers eligible new customers a $25 trading bonus after a qualifying $10 deposit. Check the current promotion terms and availability before creating an account.

The two offers are separate from the contracts themselves. To decide where to trade, compare the cost of buying the identical winner, spread or total outcome on each platform, including fees.

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Source: DraftKings Predictions / Gemini / Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket / Polymarket US / ProphetX / Rothera / Underdog Exchange via DeFi Rate: volume by category as of Nov 12, 8:30 PM ET.