Steelers vs. BengalsWeek 10 Predictions, Picks and Odds
The Cincinnati Bengals are favored by 3.5 points against the Pittsburgh Steelers, with an estimated roughly 63% win probability from the pregame line. Compare live Kalshi and Polymarket US prices to find the best available contract after fees.
About 3 in 5 (−167)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $158 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+167)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $266 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
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Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 62¢64.6¢63¢ + fee$155per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 62.5¢64.6¢63¢ + fee$155per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Bengals by 3.4 with 49.3 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: CIN -3.5, total 49.5.
Steelers vs. Bengals moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cincinnati BengalsHome · −167 | 63% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $158 | Kalshi63¢ | Polymarket US63¢ | Gemini63¢ | |
| Pittsburgh SteelersAway · +167 | 37% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $266 | Kalshi38¢ | Polymarket US37.5¢ | Gemini38¢ |
Best prices to buy: Cincinnati at 63¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini; Pittsburgh at 37.5¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.005 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $37K on Kalshi and $3K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 10:31 PM and 10:36 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Cincinnati gained 5 points, to 63%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Nov 3 to Nov 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Steelers vs. Bengals spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 9:24 PM and 10:37 PM ET.
Steelers vs. Bengals team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 12, 10:37 PM ET.
Steelers vs. Bengals player props
Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe BurrowCIN | Anytime touchdown | 15% | 15¢ | 86¢ |
| Germie BernardPIT | Anytime touchdown | 26% | 27¢ | 75¢ |
| Pat FreiermuthPIT | Anytime touchdown | 24% | 24¢ | 77¢ |
| Darnell WashingtonPIT | Anytime touchdown | 26% | 26¢ | 75¢ |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | 11+ receptions | 16% | 18¢ | 86¢ |
| Germie BernardPIT | 50+ receiving yards | 51% | 51¢ | 50¢ |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | 90+ receiving yards | 52% | 52¢ | 49¢ |
| Joe BurrowCIN | 300+ passing yards | 47% | 47¢ | 54¢ |
| Ja'Marr ChaseCIN | Anytime touchdown | 52% | 53¢ | 50¢ |
| Aaron RodgersPIT | Anytime touchdown | 5.5% | 6¢ | 95¢ |
| Tee HigginsCIN | Anytime touchdown | 44% | 44¢ | 57¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Nov 12, 10:34 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
8:20 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 10 games 14 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersNYG GiantsNYG 53%
- Sun 9:30 AM ETNE PatriotsDET LionsDET 58%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETBUF BillsNYJ JetsBUF 79%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCAR PanthersNO SaintsNO 55%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETHOU TexansCLE BrownsHOU 68%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETJAC JaguarsTEN TitansJAC 84%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETKC ChiefsATL FalconsKC 63%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETMIA DolphinsIND ColtsIND 66%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETMIN VikingsGB PackersGB 60%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETLAR RamsARI CardinalsLAR 80%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETSEA SeahawksLV RaidersSEA 72%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETSF 49ersDAL CowboysSF 66%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETThis gamePIT SteelersCIN BengalsCIN 63%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETLAC ChargersBAL RavensBAL 66%
Steelers vs. Bengals odds and spread
Cincinnati is favored by 3.5 points against Pittsburgh in a matchup between two 6–2 AFC North contenders. First place in the division is on the line. Pittsburgh is coming off its bye and has an opportunity to improve its defensive health, while Cincinnati enters with a short list of injuries to monitor.
- Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026.
- Kickoff: 8:20 p.m. ET.
- Venue: Paycor Stadium, Cincinnati, Ohio.
- TV: NBC.
- Favorite: Bengals −3.5.
- Total: 49.5 points.
- Records: Steelers 6–2, Bengals 6–2.
- Implied win chance: Bengals roughly 63% (approximate, inferred from the pregame line; not a verified Kalshi ask).
The spread and total are pregame reference lines, not fixed trading quotes. The live component should show each venue's Yes ask, fee-adjusted purchase cost, and the contract's exact settlement language.
Steelers vs. Bengals stats
| Matchup metric | Steelers | Bengals |
|---|---|---|
| Record entering Week 10 | 6–2 | 6–2 |
| Team record | 6–2 | 6–2 |
| Wednesday injury watch | Derrick Harmon limited | DJ Turner II limited |
Snapshot: information available November 11, 2026. Statistics are scoped to the specific metric shown; a dash means the corresponding figure was not established in the cited preview.
Steelers vs. Bengals team outlooks
- Pittsburgh Steelers (6–2): Pittsburgh spent its bye addressing injuries. Defensive tackle Derrick Harmon returned to practice after being placed on injured reserve, though his activation is not certain. T.J. Watt and Cameron Heyward were on veteran rest schedules Wednesday. The Steelers will need consistent pressure to prevent Cincinnati from turning this into a passing contest.
- Cincinnati Bengals (6–2): The Bengals’ first injury report listed corner DJ Turner II and guard Dylan Fairchild as limited, with safety Kyle Dugger not participating due to a quadriceps problem. Cincinnati’s home advantage gives it a narrow edge in a matchup where the overall records offer no separation.
Ja’Marr Chase and Jaylen Warren provide two player-specific angles on the NFL player props market board.
Steelers vs. Bengals picks and predictions
- Moneyline / Winner: Bengals. Home field and the market’s short-favorite position support Cincinnati, but the equal 6–2 records make this a lower-confidence winner selection than the bigger mismatches elsewhere on the slate.
- Against the spread: Steelers +3.5. A field-goal margin is a reasonable outcome between two teams with identical records. Pittsburgh’s bye-week preparation and potential defensive reinforcements strengthen the case for taking the points.
- Over/Under: Under 49.5. The divisional stakes and Pittsburgh’s rested defense could keep the game from turning into a sustained scoring exchange. One lengthy defensive stop in each half may be enough to decide a total near 50.
The picks use the listed pregame lines rather than an automatically updated contract quote. If a spread or total changes, reassess the pick against the new line. Picks are editorial forecasts, not guaranteed outcomes.
Compare the other games on the NFL odds board.
How to trade Steelers vs. Bengals odds
For a simple winner contract, you pay the current asking price for a Yes position that generally returns $1 if your selected team wins, subject to the venue's event rules. For example, 40 contracts bought at a hypothetical 62 cents cost $24.80 before fees. A $1 settlement on each would pay $40, giving you $15.20 profit; a losing settlement could cost the entire $24.80. This price is an illustration, not a live Steelers vs. Bengals quote.
The Bengals −3.5 spread is separate from the winner market. The favorite needs to win by more than 3.5 points to cover that line. A 27–24 Cincinnati finish would return a Bengals winner contract, a Steelers +3.5 contract and an over 49.5 contract. Reduce either side by a touchdown and the total outcome changes while the winner might not.
At the listed 49.5 total, an Over Yes contract requires combined scoring above 49.5 and an Under position needs combined scoring below it. Read the displayed market terms before purchase, especially for half-point versus whole-number lines and how overtime is handled.
A position can also be sold before the result is known if another participant is willing to buy at your chosen price. Suppose 40 contracts initially cost 42 cents each ($16.80). Selling at 58 cents would return $23.20, a $6.40 gain before fees; selling at 29 cents would return $11.60, a $5.20 loss. The possible exit prices are hypothetical and there is no guarantee a sell order will execute.
Where to trade Steelers vs. Bengals odds
Compare the Best Price for the same Steelers vs. Bengals outcome across Kalshi and Polymarket US using live contract asks, trading fees and available liquidity. A signup promotion should not be counted as a cheaper contract price.
Kalshi: Eligible new customers can use the Kalshi promo code RATE to get $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades. Review the offer’s eligibility requirements and deadlines before signing up.
Polymarket US: The Polymarket promo code RATE offers eligible new customers a $25 trading bonus after a qualifying $10 deposit. Check the current promotion terms and availability before creating an account.
The two offers are separate from the contracts themselves. To decide where to trade, compare the cost of buying the identical winner, spread or total outcome on each platform, including fees.
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