Chargers vs. Ravens Odds: Kalshi vs Polymarket Picks and Predictions
The Ravens have a 66% chance to beat the Chargers, but can Baltimore cover Ravens −4.5 on Monday night? Compare the moneyline, spread and 38.5 total below, see our picks for each market, and compare live prices on Kalshi and Polymarket US.
About 2 in 3 (−198)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $150 if correct, before fees.
About 1 in 3 (+198)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $296 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
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Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 66¢68.6¢67¢ + fee$146per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 66.3¢68.1¢66.5¢ + fee$147per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Ravens by 4.2 with 38.6 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: BAL -4.5, total 38.5.
Chargers vs. Ravens moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baltimore RavensHome · −198 | 66% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $150 | Kalshi67¢ | Polymarket US66.5¢ | Gemini67¢ | |
| Los Angeles ChargersAway · +198 | 34% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $296 | Kalshi34¢ | Polymarket US33.8¢ | Gemini34¢ |
Best prices to buy: Baltimore at 66.5¢ on Polymarket US; the Chargers at 33.8¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $7K on Kalshi and $6K on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 4:54 PM and 4:57 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Baltimore gained 9 points, to 67%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Nov 3 to Nov 11 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Chargers vs. Ravens spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 3:53 PM and 4:58 PM ET.
Chargers vs. Ravens team totals
Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 17 team total lines
All 17 team total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 12, 4:58 PM ET.
Chargers vs. Ravens player props
Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark AndrewsBAL | 20+ receiving yards | 55% | 55¢ | 46¢ |
| Keaton MitchellLAC | 10+ rushing yards | 51% | 52¢ | 50¢ |
| Derrick HenryBAL | Anytime touchdown | 54% | 54¢ | 47¢ |
| Jacoby BrissettBAL | Anytime touchdown | 12% | 12¢ | 89¢ |
| Jacoby BrissettBAL | 10+ rushing yards | 35% | 37¢ | 67¢ |
| Derrick HenryBAL | First touchdown | 20% | 21¢ | 81¢ |
| Derrick HenryBAL | 70+ rushing yards | 57% | 59¢ | 45¢ |
| Josh CuevasBAL | Anytime touchdown | 6.5% | 8¢ | 95¢ |
| Zay FlowersBAL | Anytime touchdown | 33% | 35¢ | 69¢ |
| Zay FlowersBAL | 70+ receiving yards | 50% | 51¢ | 52¢ |
| Omarion HamptonLAC | Anytime touchdown | 20% | 22¢ | 82¢ |
| Ja'Kobi LaneBAL | Anytime touchdown | 17% | 18¢ | 84¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Nov 12, 4:58 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
8:15 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 10 games 7 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersNYG GiantsNYG 53%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETHOU TexansCLE BrownsHOU 67%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETKC ChiefsATL FalconsKC 63%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETMIA DolphinsIND ColtsIND 66%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETSEA SeahawksLV RaidersSEA 73%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETSF 49ersDAL CowboysSF 66%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETThis gameLAC ChargersBAL RavensBAL 66%
Chargers vs. Ravens odds and spread
Baltimore is favored to beat winless Los Angeles on Monday night, although neither team has its preferred quarterback situation. The Ravens’ line has moved to −4.5 from an earlier −1.5, with Lamar Jackson unavailable and Jacoby Brissett listed as the replacement starter. Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert is also on the injury watch list.
- Date: Monday, November 16, 2026.
- Kickoff: 8:15 p.m. ET.
- Venue: M&T Bank Stadium, Baltimore, Maryland.
- TV: ESPN.
- Favorite: Ravens −4.5.
- Total: 38.5 points.
- Records: Chargers 0–8, Ravens 4–5.
- Implied win chance: Ravens about 66% (approximate, inferred from the pregame line; not a verified Kalshi ask).
The spread and total are pregame reference lines, not fixed trading quotes. The live component should show each venue's Yes ask, fee-adjusted purchase cost, and the contract's exact settlement language.
Chargers vs. Ravens stats
| Matchup metric | Chargers | Ravens |
|---|---|---|
| Record entering Week 10 | 0–8 | 4–5 |
| Team record | 0–8 | 4–5 |
| Listed quarterback status | Justin Herbert questionable | Lamar Jackson out |
Snapshot: information available November 11, 2026. Statistics are scoped to the specific metric shown; a dash means the corresponding figure was not established in the cited preview.
Chargers vs. Ravens team outlooks
- Los Angeles Chargers (0–8): Los Angeles has started 0–8 and is trying to find stability on offense. Herbert’s listed availability and Ladd McConkey’s back issues complicate the passing-game outlook. The Chargers need to protect the ball and avoid forcing the offense into long third downs.
- Baltimore Ravens (4–5): Baltimore is 4–5 and has adjusted to the absence of Lamar Jackson, with Jacoby Brissett on the depth chart as the expected starter. Derrick Henry is an obvious focal point for reducing the demands on the passing game. Defensive injuries, including the status of Kyle Hamilton, remain relevant.
For a position on either side of the spread, the trading calculator can show the potential return at different contract prices.
Chargers vs. Ravens picks and predictions
- Moneyline / Winner: Ravens. Baltimore’s four wins and home field offer the strongest case for the favorite. The quarterback uncertainty keeps this from being a straightforward selection based solely on the Chargers’ 0–8 record.
- Against the spread: Chargers +4.5. The Ravens are also missing their starting quarterback. A defensive contest decided by a field goal could give Baltimore the win but reward Los Angeles for staying within the number.
- Over/Under: Under 38.5. Both quarterback situations create reasons to expect conservative plans. Baltimore may prioritize Henry and possession, while the Chargers need to avoid quick giveaways.
The picks use the listed pregame lines rather than an automatically updated contract quote. If a spread or total changes, reassess the pick against the new line. Picks are editorial forecasts, not guaranteed outcomes.
Compare the other games on the NFL odds board.
How to trade Chargers vs. Ravens odds
For a simple winner contract, you pay the current asking price for a Yes position that generally returns $1 if your selected team wins, subject to the venue's event rules. For example, 40 contracts bought at a hypothetical 62 cents cost $24.80 before fees. A $1 settlement on each would pay $40, giving you $15.20 profit; a losing settlement could cost the entire $24.80. This price is an illustration, not a live Chargers vs. Ravens quote.
The Ravens −4.5 spread is separate from the winner market. The favorite needs to win by more than 4.5 points to cover that line. A 20–17 Ravens victory would make Baltimore the winner, Los Angeles +4.5 the successful spread side and under 38.5 the winning total. A touchdown added late would flip only the total if it does not alter the margin beyond 4.5.
At the listed 38.5 total, an Over Yes contract requires combined scoring above 38.5 and an Under position needs combined scoring below it. Read the displayed market terms before purchase, especially for half-point versus whole-number lines and how overtime is handled.
A position can also be sold before the result is known if another participant is willing to buy at your chosen price. Suppose 40 contracts initially cost 42 cents each ($16.80). Selling at 58 cents would return $23.20, a $6.40 gain before fees; selling at 29 cents would return $11.60, a $5.20 loss. The possible exit prices are hypothetical and there is no guarantee a sell order will execute.
Where to trade Chargers vs. Ravens odds
Compare the Best Price for the same Chargers vs. Ravens outcome across Kalshi and Polymarket US using live contract asks, trading fees and available liquidity. A signup promotion should not be counted as a cheaper contract price.
Kalshi: Eligible new customers can use the Kalshi promo code RATE to get $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades. Review the offer’s eligibility requirements and deadlines before signing up.
Polymarket US: The Polymarket promo code RATE offers eligible new customers a $25 trading bonus after a qualifying $10 deposit. Check the current promotion terms and availability before creating an account.
The two offers are separate from the contracts themselves. To decide where to trade, compare the cost of buying the identical winner, spread or total outcome on each platform, including fees.
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