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Seahawks vs. RaidersWeek 10 Picks, Predictions & Spread

The Seattle Seahawks are favored by 6.5 points against the Las Vegas Raiders, with the latest odds at 73% to win. Drew Lock is expected to start again against the Raiders as Sam Darnold recovers from quadricep and rib injuries. Compare live Kalshi and Polymarket US prices to find the best available contract after fees.

Spread and total
SEA −6.5O/U 40.5

Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip

SeattleSeahawks5-4 · Away
−265
PreviewSun · 4:05 PM ETCBS · Allegiant Stadium
Las VegasRaiders4-5 · Home
+265
73%SeahawksRaiders27%
Chance to win, from Polymarket US
Get your $55 Bonus
Claim Now with Code RATE

Best price to buy

Fees included
Buy Seahawks at 72.8¢on Polymarket US · pays $1 if they win

Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.

Markets’ projected final

From the spread & total
24Seahawks
to
17Raiders

The Seahawks by 6.6 with 40.6 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: SEA -6.5, total 40.5.

NFL Week 10 · Sun, Nov 15 · 4:05 PM ET

Seahawks vs. Raiders moneyline odds

Upcoming

Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini.

Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini, observed between Nov 12, 4:51 PM and 5:00 PM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Seattle SeahawksAway · −26473%
$100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $137
Kalshi73¢Polymarket US72.8¢Gemini73¢
Las Vegas RaidersHome · +26427%
$100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $363
Kalshi28¢Polymarket US27.5¢Gemini28¢

Best prices to buy: Seattle at 72.8¢ on Polymarket US; Las Vegas at 27.5¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $27K on Kalshi and $5K on Polymarket US.

Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 4:51 PM and 5:00 PM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeNov 3 – Nov 11

Over the past week on Kalshi, Seattle gained 8 points, to 73%.

2030405060708073%28%
SeahawksRaiders

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Nov 3 to Nov 11 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Spread & total · Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini

Seahawks vs. Raiders spread and over/under

Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.

Seahawks win by more than…

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Spread ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: the lines closest to a coin flip
Seahawks byFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
5+ pts−141Kalshi59¢Polymarket US58.5¢Gemini59¢
6+ pts−125Kalshi56¢Polymarket US56¢Gemini56¢
7+ pts Coin flip−102Kalshi51¢Polymarket US51¢Gemini51¢
8+ pts+135Kalshi43¢Polymarket US43.5¢Gemini43¢
10+ pts+150Kalshi41¢Polymarket US40¢Gemini40¢
All 25 spread lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Spread ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: every line
Winner byFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Seahawks 2+ pts−239Kalshi72¢Polymarket US71.5¢Gemini72¢
Seahawks 3+ pts−223Kalshi70¢Polymarket US68.5¢Gemini70¢
Seahawks 4+ pts−167Kalshi63¢Polymarket US62¢Gemini62¢
Seahawks 5+ pts−141Kalshi59¢Polymarket US58.5¢Gemini59¢
Seahawks 6+ pts−125Kalshi56¢Polymarket US56¢Gemini56¢
Seahawks 7+ pts Coin flip−102Kalshi51¢Polymarket US51¢Gemini51¢
Seahawks 8+ pts+135Kalshi43¢Polymarket US43.5¢Gemini43¢
Seahawks 10+ pts+150Kalshi41¢Polymarket US40¢Gemini40¢
Seahawks 11+ pts+194Kalshi35¢Polymarket US34.5¢Gemini35¢
Seahawks 14+ pts+251Kalshi30¢Polymarket US30¢Gemini30¢
Seahawks 15+ pts+344Kalshi23¢Polymarket US23¢Gemini23¢
Seahawks 17+ pts+365Kalshi22¢Polymarket US22¢Gemini22¢
Seahawks 18+ pts+456Kalshi19¢Polymarket US19¢Gemini19¢
Seahawks 21+ pts+733Kalshi13¢Polymarket US13¢Gemini13¢
Raiders 2+ pts+285Kalshi27¢Polymarket US26.5¢Gemini28¢
Raiders 3+ pts+335Kalshi24¢Polymarket US23.5¢Gemini26¢
Raiders 4+ pts+400Kalshi21¢Polymarket US20.5¢Gemini22¢
Raiders 5+ pts+488Kalshi18¢Polymarket US18¢Gemini20¢
Raiders 6+ pts+567Kalshi16¢Polymarket US16.5¢Gemini18¢
Raiders 7+ pts+733Kalshi13¢Polymarket US14¢Gemini15¢
Raiders 8+ pts+900Kalshi11¢Polymarket US11¢Gemini12¢
Raiders 10+ pts+1076Kalshi10¢Polymarket US9.5¢Gemini11¢
Raiders 11+ pts+1438Kalshi9¢Polymarket US8¢Gemini10¢
Raiders 14+ pts+2122Kalshi6¢Polymarket US7¢Gemini8¢
Raiders 15+ pts+2122Kalshi6¢Polymarket US6¢Gemini7¢
Total points over…

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Total points ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: the lines closest to a coin flip
OverFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Over 34.5−217Kalshi70¢Polymarket US69¢Gemini72¢
Over 37.5−147Kalshi60¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini62¢
Over 40.5 Coin flip−102Kalshi51¢Polymarket US50.5¢Gemini52¢
Over 41.5+120Kalshi46¢Polymarket US46.5¢Gemini48¢
Over 42.5+130Kalshi44¢Polymarket US43¢Gemini45¢
All 19 total lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line, on each venue; ✓ marks the lowest ask. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Total points ladder on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini: every line
OverFair oddsKalshiPolymarket USGeminiSources
Over 22.5−1718Kalshi95¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini98¢
Over 25.5−900Kalshi92¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini94¢
Over 28.5−567Kalshi87¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini88¢
Over 31.5−376Kalshi80¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini81¢
Over 34.5−217Kalshi70¢Polymarket US69¢Gemini72¢
Over 37.5−147Kalshi60¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini62¢
Over 40.5 Coin flip−102Kalshi51¢Polymarket US50.5¢Gemini52¢
Over 41.5+120Kalshi46¢Polymarket US46.5¢Gemini48¢
Over 42.5+130Kalshi44¢Polymarket US43¢Gemini45¢
Over 43.5+147Kalshi41¢Polymarket US39.5¢Gemini42¢
Over 44.5+178Kalshi37¢Polymarket US37¢Gemini39¢
Over 45.5+190Kalshi37¢Polymarket US36.5¢Gemini37¢
Over 46.5+228Kalshi31¢Polymarket US31.5¢Gemini33¢
Over 49.5+344Kalshi23¢Polymarket US23.5¢Gemini25¢
Over 52.5+488Kalshi19¢Polymarket US19¢Gemini20¢
Over 55.5+809Kalshi12¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini14¢
Over 58.5+1438Kalshi7¢Polymarket US8¢Gemini9¢
Over 61.5+2400Kalshi5¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini7¢
Over 64.5+2757Kalshi5¢Polymarket USNot listedGemini7¢

Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Nov 12, 3:54 PM and 5:00 PM ET.

Team totals · Polymarket US

Seahawks vs. Raiders team totals

Polymarket US prices how many points each team scores: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.

Seahawks points over…

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Seahawks points ladder on Polymarket US: the lines closest to a coin flip
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 20.5−170Polymarket US66¢
Over 21.5−144Polymarket US62¢
Over 23.5 Coin flip−104Polymarket US53¢
Over 25.5+141Polymarket US44¢
Over 27.5+217Polymarket US34¢
All 17 team total lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Seahawks points ladder on Polymarket US: every line
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 13.5−700Polymarket US90¢
Over 14.5−590Polymarket US88¢
Over 16.5−376Polymarket US82¢
Over 17.5−292Polymarket US77¢
Over 19.5−223Polymarket US72¢
Over 20.5−170Polymarket US66¢
Over 21.5−144Polymarket US62¢
Over 23.5 Coin flip−104Polymarket US53¢
Over 25.5+141Polymarket US44¢
Over 27.5+217Polymarket US34¢
Over 28.5+251Polymarket US30¢
Over 30.5+344Polymarket US24¢
Over 33.5+567Polymarket US17¢
Over 35.5+953Polymarket US11¢
Over 38.5+1900Polymarket US7¢
Over 41.5+2122Polymarket US6¢
Over 45.5+2122Polymarket US6¢
Raiders points over…

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Raiders points ladder on Polymarket US: the lines closest to a coin flip
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 13.5−182Polymarket US67¢
Over 14.5−150Polymarket US61¢
Over 16.5 Coin flip−108Polymarket US55¢
Over 17.5+133Polymarket US44¢
Over 19.5+153Polymarket US42¢
All 17 team total lines

Prices to buy Yes on each line. Fair odds: the line's chance (the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade) as American odds, before fees. The Yes price beside it is what a contract costs to buy, so it sits above the chance when the bid and ask are far apart.

Raiders points ladder on Polymarket US: every line
OverFair oddsPolymarket USSources
Over 8.5−590Polymarket US88¢
Over 9.5−456Polymarket US84¢
Over 10.5−300Polymarket US77¢
Over 13.5−182Polymarket US67¢
Over 14.5−150Polymarket US61¢
Over 16.5 Coin flip−108Polymarket US55¢
Over 17.5+133Polymarket US44¢
Over 19.5+153Polymarket US42¢
Over 20.5+208Polymarket US35¢
Over 21.5+257Polymarket US30¢
Over 23.5+355Polymarket US25¢
Over 27.5+900Polymarket US13¢
Over 28.5+1150Polymarket US9¢
Over 30.5+1718Polymarket US8¢
Over 33.5+1900Polymarket US7¢
Over 35.5+2400Polymarket US5¢
Over 38.5+2400Polymarket US6¢

Open Chance is the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Source: Polymarket US via DeFi Rate, observed Nov 12, 5:00 PM ET.

Player props · Kalshi

Seahawks vs. Raiders player props

Every NFL player prop this week, with projections and best picks →

Kalshi's player props on Seattle Seahawks at Las Vegas Raiders: each player's line, its chance and the prices to buy Yes and No
PlayerPropChanceYesNo
Mike Washington Jr.LVAnytime touchdown21%21¢80¢
Fernando MendozaLVAnytime touchdown14%14¢87¢
Jaxon Smith-NjigbaSEAAnytime touchdown48%48¢53¢
Fernando MendozaLVFirst touchdown3.5%4¢97¢
Jadarian PriceSEAFirst touchdown10%11¢91¢
Brock BowersLVAnytime touchdown30%31¢71¢
AJ BarnerSEAAnytime touchdown24%25¢77¢
Brock BowersLVFirst touchdown8%9¢93¢
Michael MayerLVAnytime touchdown14%15¢87¢
Michael MayerLVFirst touchdown3%4¢98¢
Fernando MendozaLV15+ rushing yards45%46¢56¢
Fernando MendozaLV175+ passing yards54%55¢48¢

The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Nov 12, 4:54 PM ET.

Live at kickoff

4:05 PM
  • Every play, with how the price moved on it
  • The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
  • Live best prices on each venue, fees included
  • Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
  • Quarter winners and player props as they settle

This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.

NFL Week 10 games 7 games

Seahawks vs. Raiders odds and spread

Seattle is favored at Seahawks −6.5 despite preparing to start Drew Lock in place of Sam Darnold. Seahawks coach Mike Macdonald said Darnold and guard Quenton Nelson would not play in Las Vegas. Lock was limited by elbow and oblique injuries, making this a game in which the favorite’s quarterback availability deserves close scrutiny.

  • Date: Sunday, November 15, 2026.
  • Kickoff: 4:05 p.m. ET.
  • Venue: Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas, Nevada.
  • TV: CBS.
  • Favorite: Seahawks −6.5.
  • Total: 40.5 points.
  • Records: Seahawks 5–4, Raiders 4–5.
  • Implied win chance: Seahawks 73%.

The spread and total update automatically with the live market data. The live component should show each venue's Yes ask, fee-adjusted purchase cost, and the contract's exact settlement language.

Seahawks vs. Raiders stats

Matchup metricSeahawksRaiders
Record entering Week 105–44–5
Seahawks starting QB expectationDrew Lock—
Wednesday practice: Sam DarnoldDid not participate—

Snapshot: information available November 11, 2026. Statistics are scoped to the specific metric shown; a dash means the corresponding figure was not established in the cited preview.

Seahawks vs. Raiders team outlooks

  • Seattle Seahawks (5–4): Lock is expected to start for the second consecutive week. Darnold and Nelson are out, while offensive tackle Charles Cross and defensive tackle Leonard Williams remain uncertain. Rashid Shaheed returned as a full participant, giving Seattle a potential receiving boost.
  • Las Vegas Raiders (4–5): Las Vegas enters one game below .500 and has an opportunity to challenge an opponent missing its usual quarterback. Raiders defensive tackles Thomas Booker and Folorunso Fatukasi were limited Wednesday, which could affect the interior matchup.

The NFL player props page provides another comparison for Jaxon Smith-Njigba’s receiving and touchdown contracts.

Seahawks vs. Raiders picks and predictions

  • Moneyline / Winner: Seahawks. Seattle remains the favorite because it has shown enough across the season to sit above .500. The selection is less confident than the spread might suggest with Lock playing through his own listed injuries.
  • Against the spread: Raiders to cover against Seahawks −6.5. The favorite is missing Darnold and an important guard. A lower-scoring, field-position game could keep Las Vegas within one touchdown even if Seattle protects the lead.
  • Over/Under: Under 40.5. Seattle’s quarterback and offensive-line situation may encourage a conservative approach. A Raiders offense trying to exploit those absences does not automatically turn this into a high-total game.

The listed spread and total update automatically; the picks remain editorial forecasts. If a spread or total changes, reassess the pick against the new line. Picks are editorial forecasts, not guaranteed outcomes.

Compare the other games on the NFL odds board.

How to trade Seahawks vs. Raiders odds

For a simple winner contract, you pay the current asking price for a Yes position that generally returns $1 if your selected team wins, subject to the venue's event rules. For example, 40 contracts bought at a hypothetical 62 cents cost $24.80 before fees. A $1 settlement on each would pay $40, giving you $15.20 profit; a losing settlement could cost the entire $24.80. This price is an illustration, not a live Seahawks vs. Raiders quote.

The Seahawks −6.5 spread is separate from the winner market. For example, at a 6.5-point line, the favorite needs to win by more than 6.5 points to cover. If a 20–17 Seattle lead holds, a Seahawks winner contract succeeds but Raiders +6.5 and under 40.5 also succeed. A late Raiders touchdown could change all three markets at once.

At the listed 40.5 total, an Over Yes contract requires combined scoring above 40.5 and an Under position needs combined scoring below it. Read the displayed market terms before purchase, especially for half-point versus whole-number lines and how overtime is handled.

A position can also be sold before the result is known if another participant is willing to buy at your chosen price. Suppose 40 contracts initially cost 42 cents each ($16.80). Selling at 58 cents would return $23.20, a $6.40 gain before fees; selling at 29 cents would return $11.60, a $5.20 loss. The possible exit prices are hypothetical and there is no guarantee a sell order will execute.

Where to trade Seahawks vs. Raiders odds

Compare the Best Price for the same Seahawks vs. Raiders outcome across Kalshi and Polymarket US using live contract asks, trading fees and available liquidity. A signup promotion should not be counted as a cheaper contract price.

Kalshi: Eligible new customers can use the Kalshi promo code RATE to get $55 in trading credit after $25 in qualifying trades. Review the offer’s eligibility requirements and deadlines before signing up.

Polymarket US: The Polymarket promo code RATE offers eligible new customers a $25 trading bonus after a qualifying $10 deposit. Check the current promotion terms and availability before creating an account.

The two offers are separate from the contracts themselves. To decide where to trade, compare the cost of buying the identical winner, spread or total outcome on each platform, including fees.

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Source: DraftKings Predictions / Gemini / Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket / Polymarket US / ProphetX / Rothera / Underdog Exchange via DeFi Rate: volume by category as of Nov 12, 8:30 AM ET.