Chiefs vs. Raiders Week 4 Odds & PredictionsThe Chiefs are a 69% favorite on the road against the Raiders
Kansas City Chiefs at Las Vegas Raiders, Sunday, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. Prediction markets give the Chiefs a 69% chance to win (−224) and the Raiders 31% (+221). Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket agree within a point. $2K has traded on the game in the last 24 hours.
About 7 in 10 (−224)
Prices to buy. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 26, 5:14 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 26, 2:27 PM ET); they may have moved.
About 1 in 3 (+221)
Prices to buy. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 26, 5:14 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 26, 2:27 PM ET); they may have moved.
Chiefs vs. Raiders moneyline odds
Best prices to buy: Kansas City at 70¢ on Polymarket US; Las Vegas at 31¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.01 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $1K on Kalshi and $833 on Polymarket US.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; Polymarket's displayed price. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 26, 2:27 PM and 5:27 PM ET.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Sep 25 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Chiefs vs. Raiders stats
These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.
| Team stat | Chiefs | Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-0 | 2-0 |
| Points per game | 32 | 26.5 |
| Total yards per game | 457.5 | 297.5 |
| Passing yards per game | 283 | 206.5 |
| Rushing yards per game | 186 | 93.5 |
| First downs per game | 24 | 17.5 |
| Third-down conversion | 46.7% | 33.3% |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.0% | 71.4% |
| Turnover differential | +2 | +2 |
| Sacks per game | 2 | 4 |
| Time of possession | 35:21 | 31:18 |
Stat leaders: Chiefs — passing, Patrick Mahomes (47/74, 566 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT); rushing, Kenneth Walker III (47 CAR, 290 YDS, 1 TD); receiving, Travis Kelce (12 REC, 172 YDS, 1 TD); Raiders — passing, Kirk Cousins (40/59, 413 YDS, 6 TD, 3 INT); rushing, Ashton Jeanty (44 CAR, 150 YDS); receiving, Tre Tucker (7 REC, 146 YDS, 1 TD).
Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.
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