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Broncos vs. 49ers (Oct 4, 2026)San Francisco is a 59% favorite at home against Denver

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers, Sunday, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET. San Francisco is a 59% favorite at home against Denver, averaging Kalshi (59%), Polymarket US (59%) and Polymarket (59%).

Who wins?
59%San Francisco 49ers

About 3 in 5 (−141)

Prices to buy. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:40 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 1:18 PM ET); they may have moved.

NFL Week 4 · Sun, Oct 4 · 4:25 PM ET

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers

Upcoming

Prices to buy each team, or the last trade where no one is selling. Kalshi's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 3:40 PM ET); Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Sep 25, 1:18 PM ET); they may have moved. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket.

Denver Broncos at San Francisco 49ers: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, observed between Sep 25, 1:18 PM and 4:05 PM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketSources
San Francisco 49ersHome · −14159%Kalshi59¢Polymarket US59¢PolymarketNo ask
Denver BroncosAway · +13942%Kalshi43¢Polymarket US42¢Polymarket40¢

Best prices to buy: San Francisco at 59¢ on Polymarket US; Denver at 42¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.01 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $2K on Kalshi and $126 on Polymarket US.

Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; Polymarket's displayed price. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 25, 1:18 PM and 4:05 PM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeSep 22 – Sep 24
304050607036%66%
Broncos49ers

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 22 to Sep 24 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Broncos vs. 49ers stats

These figures cover the 2026 regular season through Week 2. The table compares each team’s record and per-game averages side by side.

Team statBroncos49ers
Record1-12-0
Points per game1531
Total yards per game284380.5
Passing yards per game209.5246
Rushing yards per game82.5134.5
First downs per game15.523
Third-down conversion26.1%63.2%
Red-zone TD rate42.9%87.5%
Turnover differential−1+1
Sacks per game22
Time of possession28:4731:48

Stat leaders: Broncos — passing, Bo Nix (39/59, 419 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT); rushing, J.K. Dobbins (18 CAR, 72 YDS); receiving, Jaylen Waddle (9 REC, 140 YDS); 49ers — passing, Brock Purdy (45/56, 492 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT); rushing, Christian McCaffrey (20 CAR, 91 YDS, 2 TD); receiving, Mike Evans (9 REC, 103 YDS, 1 TD).

Source: ESPN team statistics. 2026 regular-season averages and leaders through Week 2; the section is refreshed as each week is completed.

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