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Trump-endorsed South Carolina Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette is heading to a runoff for SC governor and still heavily favored by prediction markets.

Prediction markets are warming to Jon Ossoff for 2028, lifting him to 9% on Kalshi and 7% on Polymarket as Gavin Newsom slips and the Georgia senator remains a heavy Senate reelection favorite.

Prediction markets give Trump-backed Pamela Evette an 81% chance to win South Carolina’s GOP governor primary, but polling and recent Iowa results suggest the race may be closer than traders expect.

Despite scandals and mixed polls, prediction markets still price Graham Platner as the likely Democratic nominee and a slight favorite over Sen. Susan Collins.

Markets overestimated Spencer Pratt's early surge before vote counts pushed him to third. Karen Bass is favored for November, with Nithya Raman the likely runoff opponent.

Prediction markets show Marco Rubio closing sharply on JD Vance after fresh comments from Donald Trump in the 2028 Republican primary market.

Josh Turek's primary win has lifted Democratic hopes in Iowa's open Senate race, but prediction markets still favor Republicans, a clear media-versus-market divide.

Justin Murphy stunned prediction markets in New Jersey’s GOP Senate primary, defeating an 80% favorite as traders poured more than $600K into a race with little impact on November.

Trump-backed Randy Feenstra entered Iowa’s GOP governor primary with 80% prediction market odds, but 19% underdog Zach Lahn pulled off the upset. What it means for Iowa and 2026 midterms.

Prediction markets favor a Karen Bass–Spencer Pratt runoff in the Los Angeles Mayor race. Despite Pratt’s surge, traders still give Bass a commanding 75% chance to win November.

As California governor primary votes continue to be counted, Xavier Becerra remains the frontrunner at prediction markets with odds at 77-81% to be the next Golden State governor.

Prediction markets tighten but still favor Democrats in Maine, with Platner holding 60-65% odds despite a recent texting scandal.

Prediction markets give Republicans a 74% chance to win Montana’s open Senate seat, but polls suggest independent Seth Bodnar may be more competitive than traders expect heading into the primary.

Polymarket traders are active in New Jersey's Republican Senate primary even as prediction markets make Democrats overwhelming favorites to hold Sen. Cory Booker's seat.

Prediction markets favor Democrat Rob Sand to win Iowa's governor race while still expecting Republicans to hold the open Senate seat. Here is why traders split.

Polls now match what prediction markets priced for weeks: Democrat Xavier Becerra and Republican Steve Hilton advancing from California's top-two governor primary.

Ken Paxton's runoff win over Sen. John Cornyn made Texas one of the Senate races that prediction markets now watch for control of the chamber.

Prediction markets nailed another MAGA ouster in the Texas Senate GOP runoff, but it could set up a tough November slate for Republicans.

Texas political markets have reached $24.2 million of trading volume on Kalshi, but less than $200K in open interest separates Paxton from Cornyn.

Trump's endorsement pushed Ken Paxton to dominant odds in the Texas Senate runoff, as in Louisiana and Kentucky, while Senate markets still show a possible Democratic path.