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US Elections stories
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- Louisiana Adds to Trump, Prediction Markets Senate Win Streak
Prediction markets nailed another Trump-endorsed Senate primary win, despite struggles in governor races and a tight first round.
- Prediction Markets Suggest Progressive Wave Hits Colorado House Primary
Longtime Colorado Rep. Diana DeGette faces her toughest primary yet from Melat Kiros, and prediction markets point toward an upset.
- Weiser Surges in Colorado Governor Primary as Prediction Markets Turn on Bennet
Prediction markets flipped late toward Attorney General Phil Weiser over Sen. Michael Bennet in Colorado's Democratic governor primary.
- Prediction Markets Still Favor Letlow In Heated Louisiana Senate Runoff
Louisiana’s GOP Senate runoff is tightening on the ground, with John Fleming gaining ground on prediction markets favorite Julia Letlow.
- Prediction Markets Nail Wilson’s South Carolina Governor Runoff Blowout
Prediction markets correctly called Alan Wilson’s South Carolina GOP governor runoff blowout, as he turned an initial primary deficit into a decisive win after Pamela Evette led round one.
- Prediction Markets Nail New York as Mamdani’s Slate Sweeps House Primaries
In several high profile Democratic primaries for New York House seats, prediction markets nailed the results before Tuesday’s vote.
- Prediction Markets Treat New York House Primaries as Wrapped
Despite close polling, prediction markets are treating some New York House primaries as done deals.
- Prediction Markets Put Wilson Over 90% as Evette’s South Carolina Governor Bid Unravels
After Trump also endorsed Alan Wilson, prediction markets swung sharply to him over Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette ahead of South Carolina's Republican governor runoff.
- California Billionaire Tax Qualifies for Ballot, Prediction Markets Still Bet Against It
The ballot push for a California billionaire tax has cleared one hurdle, but prediction markets still think it is a long shot.
- Alabama Senate Runoff Gives Trump, Prediction Markets Another Easy Senate Primary Win
Prediction markets notched another Senate primary win tailing a Trump-endorsed candidate in Alabama.
- Prediction Markets Miss On Another Trump Pick in Oklahoma
Prediction markets strongly backed Mike Mazzei for Oklahoma governor heading into Tuesday, where he placed second to force a runoff.
- Georgia Runoffs Offer Split Result For Prediction Markets
Prediction markets followed President Trump’s endorsements heading into runoff elections, ending up with split results.
- Prediction Markets Reverse Course in South Carolina Governor Runoff
Markets that favored Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette before South Carolina's first round have flipped to Attorney General Alan Wilson ahead of the Republican governor runoff.
- Collins Takes the Georgia Senate Prediction Markets Lead Before the Runoff
On the morning of the Georgia Senate Republican runoff, prediction markets had already settled the race.
- Mazzei Odds Near 90% Ahead of Oklahoma Governor Primary
A crowded Republican field for Oklahoma governor has not deterred prediction markets from pricing Mike Mazzei as a runaway favorite.
- Prediction Markets Set To Test Trump Power Again In Alabama Senate Race
Prediction markets are giving Barry Moore a major edge around 80-84% over Jared Hudson in the Alabama Republican Senate runoff.
- Georgia Governor Prediction Markets Heavily Favor Jones as GOP Runoff Nears
While polls are split on Georgia Republican governor runoff, prediction markets appear certain on the winner.
- Prediction Markets Call Platner Primary Win, But Maine Senate Is No Lock
Graham Platner cleared the Democratic Maine Senate primary despite tough stretch, but prediction markets are tightening ahead of November.
- Prediction Markets Saw Becerra’s California Governor Win Coming
Xavier Becerra and Steve Hilton are set for a November showdown for California governor, but prediction markets already have a winner.
- Bass Holds 64% to Win LA Mayor Runoff Fight in Prediction Markets
Incumbent LA Mayor Karen Bass remains the favorite on prediction markets at 64% as her runoff opponent officially is Nithya Raman.