DeFi Rate authorMike Breen
Stories by Mike Breen
61–80 of 159, newest first
- House Panel Advances Congress Prediction Market Ban, First Of 20+ Bills To Move Forward
The first prediction market bill to clear a committee vote split lawmakers over whether Congress should adopt a narrow ethics measure or a broader ban.
- Meta Reportedly Eyes Prediction Markets as Next Social Format to Remake
A points-based Arena app would let Meta test prediction markets as a social game before deciding whether to move deeper into real-money event contracts.
- Kalshi IPO Talks Reportedly Begin After Revenue Run Rate Tops $2B
The reported IPO talks follow a rapid valuation climb and record trading volume for the prediction market exchange.
- CME Sues CFTC Over Perpetual Futures as Kalshi Perps Volume Surges
CME Group sued the CFTC over its approval of perpetual futures, arguing they are swaps under Dodd-Frank, as Kalshi's new crypto perps draw heavy volume.
- Kalshi, Polymarket Capture Nearly Three-Quarters Of Betting App Downloads During World Cup Surge
Apptopia data shows Kalshi and Polymarket leading new betting app installs during the World Cup, drawing first-time users and hitting active-user highs.
- Fed Prediction Markets Shift to Warsh’s Words as June Rate Decision Looks Settled
Traders expect the Fed to hold rates at Kevin Warsh's first meeting as chair, so his press conference and related rate, recession and inflation markets are the bigger bets.
- Novig Receives CFTC Approval as ProphetX Launches Sports Prediction Markets Days After Designation
Novig targets a summer launch after winning CFTC designation, while ProphetX went live five days after its approval.
- Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket US Sue to Block Kentucky Prediction Market Tax
A new Coalition for Fair Markets including Kalshi, Crypto.com and Polymarket US sued Kentucky over its prediction market tax and limits on gaming operators' ties to exchanges.
- CFTC Sues New Mexico Over Kalshi, Expanding Prediction Market Fight With States
New Mexico becomes the eighth state targeted by the CFTC as the agency pushes back against efforts to treat sports event contracts as gambling.
- ProphetX Wins CFTC Approval For Sports Focused Prediction Exchange
After a roughly 6-month approval process, ProphetX is moving from a sweepstakes model to a federally regulated sports prediction exchange as peer-to-peer rivals remain in the CFTC queue.
- Kalshi Adds Employment Checks, New Safeguards To Fight Prediction Market Insider Trading
Kalshi says its new safeguards will risk-score contracts, screen some traders before they trade and expand tools for reporting suspicious activity.
- From Ronaldo Tears to Trump Photo Ops, World Cup Prediction Markets Move Beyond the Pitch
World Cup markets on Kalshi and Polymarket show the platforms testing how much of the tournament’s surrounding culture can become tradable.
- Could Bet365 Be the Next Sportsbook to Enter Prediction Markets?
Bet365's new fantasy product reaches beyond its sportsbook states, but a person familiar with its US strategy said event contracts are not currently in its plans.
- Robinhood Launches World Cup Prediction Markets Through Rothera
Robinhood is using the tournament to test its affiliated Rothera exchange, but some World Cup contracts will still route through Kalshi.
- Prediction Market Odds Are Shaping Political Narratives, Raising Manipulation Questions
After short seller Andrew Left's conviction, CFTC Chairman Mike Selig said manipulation rules apply to prediction markets, as odds increasingly shape political narratives.
- Rothera Files Soccer Contracts as Robinhood-Backed Prediction Market Exchange Nears Launch
Rothera's soccer contracts may list June 1, giving Robinhood a way to rely less on third-party exchanges such as Kalshi ahead of the World Cup.
- Fanatics Markets Launches FIFA World Cup Prediction Markets Hub with ADI Predictstreet
The new hub gives Fanatics a FIFA-linked World Cup product while the contracts themselves stay on Crypto.com's CDNA exchange.
- DraftKings Railbird Exchange Files First Sports Prediction Market Contracts
DraftKings' Railbird Exchange filed its first sports contracts, covering winner, spread, prop and head-to-head markets, ahead of a planned listing date.
- Prediction Markets Cross $5.6B Week, Kalshi Takes 71% of Volume
Kalshi rose and Polymarket fell for the week of May 18, lifting Kalshi's share of their combined volume, with sports the largest category on both platforms.
- Congress Seeks Kalshi, Polymarket Records Amid ‘Wild West’ Insider Trading Concerns
House Oversight Chairman James Comer requested Kalshi and Polymarket records in an insider trading probe and called prediction market regulation the Wild West.