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DeFi Rate authorMike Breen

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Stories by Mike Breen

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  1. Polymarket US Self-Certifies Parlay-Style Sports Contracts With CFTC

    Polymarket's filing for a Combinatoric Athletic Outcome Contract could bring multi-leg sports markets to its regulated US exchange as rivals add parlay-style products.

  2. Who Won Survivor 50? Kalshi Traders Picked Aubry Early Despite ‘No Evidence’ of Insider Trading

    Aubry Bracco was priced as a heavy favorite weeks before the season aired, while Kalshi’s broader Survivor slate drew more than $40 million and renewed questions about taped-show markets.

  3. Inside the First Polymarket Private Valuation Markets for OpenAI, SpaceX and Anthropic

    Polymarket's new contracts use Nasdaq Private Market data to let traders speculate on whether OpenAI, SpaceX, Anthropic and others hit valuation thresholds.

  4. CFTC Sues Minnesota After Walz Signs Prediction Markets Ban Into Law

    The CFTC is seeking to block what it calls "the first outright ban on 'prediction markets' in the United States" before Minnesota's new law takes effect Aug. 1.

  5. Kalshi Joins NCPG To Advance Prediction Market Responsible Trading Safeguards

    Kalshi became the National Council on Problem Gambling's first prediction market member, funding its consumer protection work as the industry faces pressure over safeguards.

  6. Interactive Brokers Expands Prediction Markets with Kalshi, CME Group Integration

    IBKR’s new prediction markets interface gives its clients one place to access, compare and trade ForecastEx, Kalshi and CME event contracts.

  7. House Democrats Seek Prediction Market Records Amid Suspicious Iran War, Oil Trades

    House Democrats asked for subpoenas to identify traders behind suspicious Iran-linked trades, and Chairman James Comer said Oversight is seeking operators' information.

  8. Moomoo Joins Retail Brokerage Push Into Prediction Markets

    Moomoo plans to offer US event contract trading through its newly NFA-approved brokerage arm, though it has not said which exchange will supply the contracts.

  9. Minnesota Quietly Advances Sweeping Prediction Market Ban In Must-Pass Public Safety Bill

    Minnesota negotiators inserted the state's proposed prediction market ban, with felony penalties, into a must-pass omnibus public safety bill.

  10. DraftKings Predictions Tops $2.3B Annualized Volume Ahead of Railbird Launch, Parlay Rollout

    DraftKings reported rising prediction market volume and falling acquisition costs, and said its Railbird exchange and parlay-style combos will launch within weeks.

  11. Flutter Reinforces $300M FanDuel Predicts Expansion and Market Making Push

    Flutter said FanDuel Predicts earned little revenue in the first quarter but kept its investment plan and is testing market making ahead of the World Cup and NFL season.

  12. Will Congress Ban Its Members from Trading Stocks? Prediction Markets Are Skeptical

    The Senate banned its members from prediction market trading within a week, but Kalshi and Polymarket traders doubt Congress will pass a stock trading ban this year.

  13. Limitless Exchange Files for CFTC Approval After Record $1.66B Month

    Limitless, a blockchain prediction market on Base, has a US entity applying to the CFTC to become a designated contract market after its busiest month yet.

  14. Responsible Trading Takes Center Stage as Prediction Market Safeguards Advance

    Unlike sportsbooks, prediction markets face no responsible-gambling mandates, and problem-gambling advocates are urging the CFTC to require nationwide protections.

  15. Polymarket Eyes US Return as CFTC Weighs Regulatory Fit of Offshore Platform

    Bloomberg reports Polymarket is talking with the CFTC about reopening its main offshore exchange to US users, though some of its contract types may face limits.

  16. Robinhood Q1 Earnings Show Prediction Markets Holding Strong as Rothera Exchange Nears Launch

    Robinhood reported a record quarter for event contracts that helped offset a sharp drop in crypto revenue, and plans to launch its own Rothera exchange this quarter.

  17. New Broker Filings Fuel Distribution Race Across Prediction Markets

    DAZN, Newsmax and others have applied to become introducing brokers, a route to offer prediction markets to their audiences without running an exchange.

  18. Wisconsin Sues Kalshi, Polymarket, Crypto.com Over Sports Contracts in ‘Race to the Courthouse’

    Wisconsin sued Kalshi, Polymarket and Crypto.com, and named Robinhood and Coinbase, arguing sports event contracts are indistinguishable from ordinary sports bets.

  19. New York AG Targets Lawsuits Against Coinbase and Gemini Prediction Markets

    New York Attorney General Letitia James sued Coinbase and Gemini, alleging their prediction market products are illegal gambling and seeking large penalties.

  20. Polymarket Eyes $15B Valuation as Gap With Kalshi Widens

    Polymarket is reportedly weighing a raise at a higher valuation than its ICE deal, while Kalshi's valuation has climbed past it after several rapid rounds.