Settled on Kalshi, Sep 24, 11:23 PM ET
Falcons vs. Packers Week 3 Odds & Predictions The Falcons beat the Packers 35–14 on the road
Thursday Night Football, Sep 24. Final: Falcons 35, Packers 14. Kalshi settled the game on Atlanta at 11:23 PM ET. Kalshi has settled its spread and total ladders too.
From Kalshi’s spread ladder as it settled: “Falcons by more than 20.5” Yes and “Falcons by more than 23.5” No.
From Kalshi’s total ladder as it settled: “over 48.5” Yes and “over 49.5” No.
Moneyline
FinalWho won, by venue
Each venue’s word on the game. The winner is a venue’s settlement, never read from a price; a venue that still lists the game as open after it has no price here.
Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 24, 7:51 PM ET and Sep 25, 12:03 AM ET.
Spread & total
How the ladders settled
Kalshi’s results for the lines either side of where each ladder’s results flip.
Kalshi’s price for each side: its price to buy while the quote is fresh, else its displayed price.
| Game | Favorite | Away | Home | Sources | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Panthers at Browns FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Browns won | CARLost | CLEWon | Week 3 → | |
| Bengals at Steelers FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Steelers won | CINLost | PITWon | Week 3 → | |
| Texans at Colts FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Colts won | HOULost | INDWon | Week 3 → | |
| Chiefs at Dolphins FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Chiefs won | KCWon | MIALost | Week 3 → | |
| Chargers at Bills FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Bills won | LACLost | BUFWon | Week 3 → | |
| Patriots at Jaguars FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Jaguars won | NELost | JACWon | Week 3 → | |
| Jets at Lions FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Lions won | NYJLost | DETWon | Week 3 → | |
| Seahawks at Commanders FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Commanders won | SEALost | WASWon | Week 3 → | |
| Titans at Giants FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Giants won | TENLost | NYGWon | Week 3 → | |
| Cardinals at 49ers FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:05pm ET | 49ers won | ARILost | SFWon | Week 3 → | |
| Vikings at Buccaneers FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:05pm ET | Vikings won | MINWon | TBLost | Week 3 → | |
| Ravens at Cowboys FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:25pm ET | Ravens won | BALWon | DALLost | Week 3 → | |
| Raiders at Saints FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:25pm ET | Raiders won | LVWon | NOLost | Week 3 → | |
| Rams at Broncos FinalSun, Sep 27 · 8:20pm ET | Broncos won | LARLost | DENWon | Week 3 → | |
| Eagles at Bears FinalMon, Sep 28 · 8:15pm ET | Bears won | PHILost | CHIWon | Week 3 → | |
NFL news
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Kalshi and Polymarket prices for Giants vs. Rams on Monday Night Football: moneyline, spreads, totals and player props.
Garrett Kerman ·NFL Week 3 Odds: Daily Predictions and Lines
Week 3 opens with the Packers at 72% against the Falcons on Thursday Night Football. Kansas City is the strongest favorite at 87% against Miami.
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Kris Johnson ·Polymarket Promo Code RATE: $50 Bonus and Zero Fees for Commanders vs. Cowboys
Christopher Feery ·Explanation
How to read NFL game markets
Moneyline: who wins
The simplest market asks who wins the game, overtime included. A contract on the winner pays $1 and one on the loser pays nothing: Kalshi settled this game on the Falcons. Before and during the game, each team’s price is the market’s chance of that result.
Spread and total ladders
Instead of one spread line, Kalshi lists a ladder of contracts: “Falcons win by more than 1.5,” “by more than 2.5,” and so on, each with its own price. The price falls as the margin grows. The line where it crosses 50% is the market’s implied spread. Totals work the same way with “over X points.” You can trade any rung, not just the one closest to even.
Converting to American odds
For a favorite priced at p, American odds are −100 × p ÷ (1 − p); for an underdog, +100 × (1 − p) ÷ p. So 72¢ is about −257 and 28¢ is about +257. These are fair odds before fees; a sportsbook’s line also includes its margin.
Methodology
The winner is the venue’s settlement as DeFi Rate’s market data reports it, never read from a price. Where the spread and total ladders settled comes from the same results. Full methodology →
Full methodology
PricesEach venue is priced at the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise at its last trade, and every source record says which.
AveragesHeadline figures average the venues that list the same outcome. A venue without a single matching contract is labeled “constructed” or left out.
Timestamps“Data observed” is when prices were read; “Updated” is when an editor last changed the text.
Stale quotesQuotes our data provider marks stale are shown but never averaged.
Activity, not depth24-hour dollars traded is recent activity, not how much you can buy at a price.
Data and sources
- Source records for every number on this page: contracts, quote types, calculations and history
- DeFi Rate prediction-market methodology: how we price, average and label every figure
- Permanent snapshot, Oct 4, 10:04 AM ET: a frozen copy for citation
- Falcons vs. Packers moneyline by venue (CSV)
- Packers spread ladder (Kalshi) (CSV)
- Total points ladder (Kalshi) (CSV)
- Every figure and contract on this page (CSV)
Questions
Who won Falcons vs. Packers?
The Atlanta Falcons. Kalshi settled the game on Atlanta on Sep 24, 11:23 PM ET; the result is its settlement, never read from a price.
How did the spread and total settle for Falcons vs. Packers?
Kalshi settled “Falcons by more than 20.5” Yes and “Falcons by more than 23.5” No. Kalshi settled “over 48.5 points” Yes and “over 49.5 points” No.
When and where was Falcons vs. Packers?
Thursday, Sep 24, 2026, at 8:15 p.m. ET in Green Bay, on Prime Video.
About the authors
Christopher Feery has written professionally since 2014 and has covered the gambling industry full time since New Jersey legalized sports betting in 2018.
Cheryle Shepstone is DeFi Rate’s Director of Content and Strategy and oversees its prediction-market research, platform reviews and editorial methodology.
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