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NFL Week 3 Odds & Predictions All 16 Week 3 games are final.
Prediction-market odds for all 16 Week 3 games, with market-implied spreads and totals. Every game is over: a result is the venue’s settlement, never read from a price.
Every game
All 16 Week 3 games
The favorite’s chance to win while a game trades, its result once it’s over, and Kalshi’s price for each side. Tap a price to open that game’s market.
Kalshi’s price for each side: its price to buy while the quote is fresh, else its displayed price. Tap one to open that game’s market; Compare prices adds Polymarket US and Polymarket.
| Game | Favorite | Away | Home | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons at Packers FinalThu, Sep 24 · 8:15pm ET | Falcons won | ATLWon | GBLost | Sources & contracts› |
| Panthers at Browns FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Browns won | CARLost | CLEWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Bengals at Steelers FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Steelers won | CINLost | PITWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Texans at Colts FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Colts won | HOULost | INDWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Chiefs at Dolphins FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Chiefs won | KCWon | MIALost | Sources & contracts› |
| Chargers at Bills FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Bills won | LACLost | BUFWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Patriots at Jaguars FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Jaguars won | NELost | JACWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Jets at Lions FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Lions won | NYJLost | DETWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Seahawks at Commanders FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Commanders won | SEALost | WASWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Titans at Giants FinalSun, Sep 27 · 1:00pm ET | Giants won | TENLost | NYGWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Cardinals at 49ers FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:05pm ET | 49ers won | ARILost | SFWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Vikings at Buccaneers FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:05pm ET | Vikings won | MINWon | TBLost | Sources & contracts› |
| Ravens at Cowboys FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:25pm ET | Ravens won | BALWon | DALLost | Sources & contracts› |
| Raiders at Saints FinalSun, Sep 27 · 4:25pm ET | Raiders won | LVWon | NOLost | Sources & contracts› |
| Rams at Broncos FinalSun, Sep 27 · 8:20pm ET | Broncos won | LARLost | DENWon | Sources & contracts› |
| Eagles at Bears FinalMon, Sep 28 · 8:15pm ET | Bears won | PHILost | CHIWon | Sources & contracts› |
Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 24, 7:51 PM ET and Sep 28, 11:42 PM ET.
Spreads and totals
What the markets imply for margin and points
The spread and total where each market is closest to 50/50, next to the favorite’s win chance.
| Game | Favorite | Win chance | Implied spread | Implied total | 24h traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL at GBThu, Sep 24 | Falcons won | – | – | – | – |
| CAR at CLESun, Sep 27 | Browns won | – | – | – | – |
| CIN at PITSun, Sep 27 | Steelers won | – | – | – | – |
| HOU at INDSun, Sep 27 | Colts won | – | – | – | – |
| KC at MIASun, Sep 27 | Chiefs won | – | – | – | – |
| LAC at BUFSun, Sep 27 | Bills won | – | – | – | – |
| NE at JACSun, Sep 27 | Jaguars won | – | – | – | – |
| NYJ at DETSun, Sep 27 | Lions won | – | – | – | – |
| SEA at WASSun, Sep 27 | Commanders won | – | – | – | – |
| TEN at NYGSun, Sep 27 | Giants won | – | – | – | – |
| ARI at SFSun, Sep 27 | 49ers won | – | – | – | – |
| MIN at TBSun, Sep 27 | Vikings won | – | – | – | – |
| BAL at DALSun, Sep 27 | Ravens won | – | – | – | – |
| LV at NOSun, Sep 27 | Raiders won | – | – | – | – |
| LAR at DENSun, Sep 27 | Broncos won | – | – | – | – |
| PHI at CHIMon, Sep 28 | Bears won | – | – | – | – |
Explanation
Week 3 matchups, line moves and how NFL game markets work
Week 3 odds and predictions
Atlanta Falcons @ Green Bay Packers | Thursday, Sept. 24 | 8:15 p.m. ET | Prime Video | Lambeau Field, Green Bay, WI |
Carolina routed short-handed Atlanta 34-3, dropping the Falcons to 0-2. Green Bay improved to 1-1 with a 20-17 overtime win over the Jets. The Packers return home on a short week as the clear Thursday night favorite.
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | Acrisure Stadium, Pittsburgh, PA |
Cincinnati improved to 2-0 with a 20-6 win at Houston as Joe Burrow threw two touchdown passes. Pittsburgh fell to 1-1 after New England held it to three points. The Bengals are now a stronger road favorite in the first AFC North meeting of the season.
Seattle Seahawks @ Washington Commanders | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Northwest Stadium, Landover, MD |
Seattle improved to 2-0 with a 31-7 win at Arizona behind three Drew Lock touchdown passes to Jaxon Smith-Njigba. Washington fell to 0-2 in a 37-20 loss at Dallas, and Jayden Daniels will miss Week 3 with a dislocated left elbow. Marcus Mariota is expected to start in his place, and Seattle has moved into clear-favorite territory.
Houston Texans @ Indianapolis Colts | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | Lucas Oil Stadium, Indianapolis, IN |
Houston dropped to 0-2 after managing six points in a 20-6 loss to Cincinnati. Indianapolis also fell to 0-2 despite taking Kansas City to overtime in a 33-30 defeat. The market still gives Houston a narrow edge in this early AFC South matchup.
New York Jets @ Detroit Lions | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Ford Field, Detroit, MI |
The Jets fell to 1-1 after Green Bay won 20-17 in overtime. Detroit is also 1-1 following a 41-31 Thursday night loss at Buffalo despite four Jared Goff touchdown passes. The Lions retain a sizeable home-market advantage.
Los Angeles Chargers @ Buffalo Bills | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Highmark Stadium, Orchard Park, NY |
Buffalo is 2-0 after Josh Allen accounted for five touchdowns in a 41-31 win over Detroit. Los Angeles fell to 0-2 after Kirk Cousins threw three touchdown passes in Las Vegas’ 26-14 victory. The rested Bills remain one of Week 3’s strongest favorites.
New England Patriots @ Jacksonville Jaguars | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL |
New England improved to 1-1 by holding Pittsburgh to three points in a 20-3 win. Jacksonville fell to 1-1 after Denver rallied for a 20-13 victory. The market gives the Jaguars a modest home-field edge.
Tennessee Titans @ New York Giants | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | MetLife Stadium, East Rutherford, NJ |
Tennessee is 0-2 after Philadelphia scored with nine seconds remaining to win 24-20. New York lost 28-6 to the Rams on Monday night, and rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart left in the first quarter with a left knee injury. Jameis Winston finished the game, and Brian Burns (ankle) and Andrew Thomas (groin) were also hurt late.
Carolina Panthers @ Cleveland Browns | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | FOX | Huntington Bank Field, Cleveland, OH |
Carolina rebounded with a 34-3 win at Atlanta as Bryce Young threw three touchdown passes. Cleveland also improved to 1-1 by beating Tampa Bay 23-19 behind an efficient two-touchdown game from Deshaun Watson. Carolina remains a narrow road favorite.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Miami Dolphins | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 1 p.m. ET | CBS | Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens, FL |
Kansas City improved to 2-0 with a 33-30 overtime win over Indianapolis as Patrick Mahomes threw for 382 yards and three touchdowns. Miami fell to 0-2 after San Francisco scored touchdowns on its first five drives in a 35-13 win. The Chiefs remain the strongest favorite on the Week 3 board.
Minnesota Vikings @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Raymond James Stadium, Tampa, FL |
Minnesota improved to 2-0 by holding Chicago to three points in a 9-3 win. Tampa Bay fell to 0-2 after a 23-19 home loss to Cleveland. The Vikings have replaced the Buccaneers as the market favorite.
Arizona Cardinals @ San Francisco 49ers | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 4:05 p.m. ET | FOX | Levi’s Stadium, Santa Clara, CA |
Arizona fell to 1-1 after Seattle rolled to a 31-7 win. San Francisco improved to 2-0 by scoring touchdowns on its first five drives in a 35-13 victory over Miami. The 49ers remain one of the slate’s strongest favorites.
Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Maracanã Stadium, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil |
Baltimore fell to 1-1 after New Orleans closed with two decisive drives in a 24-17 upset. Dallas improved to 1-1 as Dak Prescott threw four touchdown passes in a 37-20 win over Washington. The market still favors Baltimore for the game in Rio de Janeiro.
Las Vegas Raiders @ New Orleans Saints | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 4:25 p.m. ET | CBS | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans, LA |
Las Vegas improved to 2-0 with a 26-14 win over the Chargers as Kirk Cousins threw three touchdown passes. New Orleans moved to 1-1 by beating Baltimore 24-17 behind two late scoring drives. The Saints remain favored at home despite the Raiders’ unbeaten start.
Los Angeles Rams @ Denver Broncos | Sunday, Sept. 27 | 8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver, CO |
Denver improved to 1-1 with a 20-13 comeback win over Jacksonville. The Rams won 28-6 at SoFi Stadium on Monday night behind four Matthew Stafford touchdown passes and 327 passing yards, with Davante Adams catching eight passes for 195 yards and two scores. Los Angeles was without Puka Nacua, and Aaron Donald returned to the lineup.
Philadelphia Eagles @ Chicago Bears | Monday, Sept. 28 | 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN, ABC | Soldier Field, Chicago, IL |
Philadelphia improved to 2-0 when Jalen Hurts found Darius Cooper for the winning touchdown with nine seconds left in a 24-20 victory at Tennessee. Chicago fell to 1-1 after Minnesota held it to three points in a rain-soaked 9-3 loss, and Caleb Williams is week-to-week with a right hamstring injury. Bears coach Ben Johnson said he does not expect Williams to practice this week. Philadelphia remains the Monday night favorite.
Methodology
Each team’s chance averages every venue in our feed that lists the game (Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket). Buttons show Kalshi’s price to buy while its quote is fresh, else its displayed price. Market-implied spreads and totals come from Kalshi’s point-spread and total ladders: the line where the market is closest to 50/50. Full methodology →
Full methodology
PricesEach venue is priced at the midpoint of its bid and ask where our feed has both, otherwise at its last trade, and every source record says which.
AveragesHeadline figures average the venues that list the same outcome. A venue without a single matching contract is labeled “constructed” or left out.
Timestamps“Data observed” is when prices were read; “Updated” is when an editor last changed the text.
Stale quotesQuotes our data provider marks stale are shown but never averaged.
Activity, not depth24-hour dollars traded is recent activity, not how much you can buy at a price.
Data and sources
- Source records for every number on this page: contracts, quote types, calculations and history
- DeFi Rate prediction-market methodology: how we price, average and label every figure
- Permanent snapshot, Oct 5, 11:45 AM ET: a frozen copy for citation
- NFL Week 3 moneylines by venue (CSV)
- Every figure and contract on this page (CSV)
Questions
How do prediction market NFL odds work?
Each team has a contract that pays $1 if it wins. A 72¢ price means traders give that team about a 72% chance, roughly −257 in sportsbook terms.
How often do these odds update?
Prices are checked every 2 minutes. The page shows when the data was observed.
About the authors
Christopher Feery has written professionally since 2014 and has covered the gambling industry full time since New Jersey legalized sports betting in 2018.
Cheryle Shepstone is DeFi Rate’s Director of Content and Strategy and oversees its prediction-market research, platform reviews and editorial methodology.
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