Green Bay vs Minnesota Week 1 Prediction Markets

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Updated 13 minutes ago · 1:30 PM PDT

The Green Bay Packers are favored to beat Minnesota Vikings in Week 1 at prediction markets with -106 odds or 51.5% implied probability when the NFC North rivals meet on September 13. The Minnesota Vikings trade at +106 (48.5%) in the same contract. The matchup has generated $2.6K in trading volume, all of it on Kalshi. Polymarket odds will be added once released. Our odds tracker aggregates live pricing using volume-weighted average pricing (VWAP), with hourly updates.

Largest Spread
0.00%
Current Favorite
51.5%
Green Bay Packers +9.5%
30D Volume (Share)
$2.6K
K: 100.0%
Momentum Leader
+9.5%
Green Bay Packers 30D change

Current Vikings vs. Packers Odds from Kalshi

Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators

Sort:
GBP
Green Bay Packers
Vol $1.6K Spread
Agg 51.5%
↑ +9.5%
K 51.5%
MV
Minnesota Vikings
Vol $1.0K Spread
Agg 48.5%
↓ -3.0%
K 48.5%
OutcomeAggregatedSpreadVolumeKalshi
GBP
Green Bay Packers
51.5%
↑ +9.5%
$1.6K
Kalshi 51.5%
49–54¢ Vol $1.6K
MV
Minnesota Vikings
48.5%
↓ -3.0%
$1.0K
Kalshi 48.5%
48–49¢ Vol $1.0K

Probability Over Time

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Outcome:
Visible lines Aggregated · VWAP · All platforms
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Arbitrage Scanner

Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations

Minimum Spread 1.5%

Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)

No cross-venue pairs available for this event.

Outcome Diff

Outcome AOutcome BVenueA OddsB OddsDiffStrategyTrade Now
GBP
Green Bay Packers
MV
Minnesota Vikings
Kalshi
A
51.5%
B
48.5%
+3.00%
Buy spread
Kalshi Trading Fee 1% (min $0.07, max $1.75) per side
Polymarket Trading Fee 0% (gas only)
Gemini Trading Fee 0.40% per side
Polymarket US Trading Fee 0% (gas only)

After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.

Methodology & Data Mapping

How we aggregate, normalize, and map cross-platform data

Aggregation Method

Default: Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)

Weights each mapped market by its reported 24H USD volume at snapshot time. If volume is unavailable, we fall back to a simple average for that snapshot.

Use the VWAP/Simple toggle above the chart to switch aggregation views.

Data Sources & Cadence

Kalshi: Official API (best bid/ask + last + 24H volume/liquidity when available).

Event data is updated hourly. Older history is downsampled.

Outcome Mapping

Each event links one or more markets per provider. We normalize labels, map provider outcomes into a shared outcome list, and merge mapped markets where appropriate.

Spread & Liquidity

Cross-venue spread: Max–min difference across available venue probabilities for the same outcome.

Liquidity: Relative per-venue indicators based on provider liquidity fields (no depth/slippage modeling).

Arbitrage: Computed from best bid/ask when available (otherwise mid); after-fee spread applies the configured fee model only.