Bills vs. Texans Week 1 Odds & Predictions
Prediction markets currently favor Buffalo Bills at -107 odds, with an implied probability of 51.7%. Houston Texans carries +111 odds, with an implied probability of 47.5%. Houston is integrating Kayshon Boutte after Jayden Higgins’ ACL injury, while Buffalo is monitoring the Week 1 availability of Terrel Bernard and C.J. Gardner-Johnson. This tracker compares live prices across Kalshi, Gemini, Polymarket US and Polymarket Global using volume-weighted average pricing, with prices refreshed hourly.
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Current Week 1 odds on Bills vs. Texans
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
BBBuffalo Bills
Vol —
Spread 1.5%
Agg
51.7%↑ +2.2%
U
53.0%
P
52.5%
G
52.0%
K
51.5%
HTHouston Texans
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
47.5%↓ -3.0%
G
48.0%
K
47.5%
P
47.5%
U
47.5%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US | Gemini |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BB Buffalo Bills | 51.7% ↑ +2.2% | 1.5% | — |
Kalshi
51.5%
|
Polymarket
52.5%
|
Polymarket US
53.0%
|
Gemini
52.0%
|
HT Houston Texans | 47.5% ↓ -3.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
47.5%
|
Polymarket
47.5%
|
Polymarket US
47.5%
|
Gemini
48.0%
|
Week 1 odds movement: Bills vs. Texans
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Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations
Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)
| Outcome | Venue Pair | Leg A (Buy) | Leg B (Sell) | Gross Spread | After Fees | Actionable | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HT Houston Texans |
Polymarket US
→
Polymarket | Buy @ U 47.5¢ | Sell @ P 52¢ | +4.50% | +4.50% |
Yes | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
Kalshi
→
Polymarket US | Buy @ K 52¢ | Sell @ U 52.5¢ | +0.50% | -0.02% |
No |
Outcome Diff
| Outcome A | Outcome B | Venue | A Odds | B Odds | Diff | Strategy | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
BB Buffalo Bills |
HT Houston Texans |
Polymarket US | A 53.0% | B 47.5% | +5.50% | Buy spread | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
HT Houston Texans |
Polymarket | A 52.5% | B 47.5% | +5.00% | Buy spread | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
HT Houston Texans |
Kalshi | A 51.5% | B 47.5% | +4.00% | Buy spread | |
BB Buffalo Bills |
HT Houston Texans |
Gemini | A 52.0% | B 48.0% | +4.00% | Buy spread |
After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.
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