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Bills vs. Texans Final Score & Odds RecapThe Bills beat the Texans 36–31 on the road

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans, Sunday, Sep 13. Final: Bills 36, Texans 31. Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket settled the game on Buffalo.

Winner
Buffalo Bills

Settled on Kalshi (Sep 13, 4:31 PM ET), Polymarket US (Sep 13, 4:28 PM ET) and Polymarket (Sep 13, 4:48 PM ET)

By Data observed
BuffaloBillsAway
36
FinalFinal
1234T
BUF3213936
HOU71401031
HoustonTexansHome
31
Bills win chance, the whole game
–ESPN’s model 100%
KalshiPolymarketESPN model
Half30%40%50%60%70%80%90%100%KOQ2Q3Q41:001:302:002:303:003:304:00
BUF FG3–0HOU TD10–14HOU TD24–21BUF FG27–21HOU FG30–31
Biggest swingBUF −16¢

4th 5:39: D.Montgomery left guard to HST 39 for 3 yards (B.Chubb; D.Williams).

Traded on the game$48M

On every market we track on it (winner, spread, total, quarters, props and more), across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket. Each venue’s share is its own published volume: Kalshi and Polymarket US at $1 a contract, Polymarket in dollars traded.

How the markets called it

At kickoff
  • Polymarket

Bills won as the favorite, 36–31.

Each venue’s last price for each team at or before 12:50 PM ET, 10 minutes before kickoff. No price from Kalshi by then.

Money traded

$48M in all · 333,521 trades
  • Kalshi$34M
    71%
  • Polymarket US$11M
    23%
  • Polymarket$2.6M
    5%

Kalshi, by bet type

  • Winner$23M
    67%
  • Spread$3.4M
    10%
  • Total points$1.8M
    5%
  • Quarters and halves$1.7M
    5%
  • Player props$3.9M
    12%
  • Everything else$410k
    1%

Every market we track on the game (winner, spread, total, quarters and halves, player props and the rest), from each market’s opening to settlement. Parlays aren’t counted. Kalshi’s figure is its own volume, as Kalshi shows it: contracts traded, each counted at its $1 payout. Polymarket US’s is its official trade volume from the exchange’s daily market reports, counted the same way. Polymarket’s is its own published volume, as Polymarket shows it: dollars traded on the game’s markets (price times contracts). The total adds the three, so it mixes contracts at $1 with Polymarket’s dollars.

Quarter & half winners

Kalshi, settled
  • 1st quarterHOU
  • 2nd quarterBUF
  • 3rd quarterBUF
  • 4th quarterHOU
  • 1st halfBUF
  • 2nd halfBUF
  1. Bills drive1 play, -1 yard, 0:09End
  2. Q4 0:004:18END GAME
  3. Q4 0:094:181st & 10 at BUF 24J.Allen kneels to BUF 23 for -1 yards.—72.5¢→72.5¢
  4. Texans drive10 plays, 47 yards, 1:27Fumble
  5. Q4 0:164:173rd & Goal at BUF 18C.Stroud sacked at BUF 28 for -10 yards (G.Rousseau). FUMBLES (G.Rousseau) [G.Rousseau], RECOVERED by BUF-T.Bernard at BUF 24.BUF +11¢61.5¢→72.5¢
  6. Q4 0:204:162nd & Goal at BUF 18C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to N.Collins.—61.5¢→61.5¢
  7. Q4 0:204:15Timeout #3 by HST at 00:20.
  8. Q4 0:254:151st & Goal at BUF 9C.Stroud sacked at BUF 18 for -9 yards (D.Walker).BUF −4¢65.5¢→61.5¢
  9. Q4 0:304:143rd & 3 at BUF 27C.Stroud pass short right to J.Noel pushed ob at BUF 9 for 18 yards (C.Gardner-Johnson).—65.5¢→65.5¢
  10. Q4 0:304:13Timeout #1 by BUF at 00:30.
  11. Q4 0:304:12Timeout #2 by HST at 00:30.
  12. Q4 0:354:122nd & 15 at BUF 39C.Stroud pass short middle to N.Collins to BUF 27 for 12 yards (C.Gardner-Johnson).—76.5¢→76.5¢
  13. Q4 0:394:111st & 15 at BUF 39C.Stroud pass incomplete deep middle to X.Hutchinson [G.Rousseau].—76.5¢→76.5¢
  14. Q4 0:394:111st & 10 at BUF 34PENALTY on HST-T.Brown, False Start, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 34 - No Play.—76.5¢→76.5¢
  15. Q4 0:444:093rd & 2 at BUF 45W.Marks up the middle to BUF 39 for 6 yards (T.Bernard; B.Chubb).PENALTY on BUF-D.Walker, Defensive Holding, 5 yards, enforced at BUF 39.—76.5¢→76.5¢
  16. Q4 0:504:092nd & 2 at BUF 45C.Stroud pass incomplete deep right to X.Hutchinson.—76.5¢→76.5¢
  17. Q4 1:114:081st & 10 at HOU 47C.Stroud pass short right to D.Schultz to BUF 45 for 8 yards (D.Hamlin; C.Bishop).—76.5¢→76.5¢
  18. Q4 1:314:081st & 10 at HOU 29C.Stroud pass short right to D.Schultz to HST 47 for 18 yards (D.Alford; E.Oliver).—76.5¢→76.5¢
  19. Q4 1:364:07T.Bass kicks 62 yards from BUF 35 to HST 3. J.Noel to HST 29 for 26 yards (J.Solomon).
  20. Bills drive7 plays, 96 yards, 1:37TD
  21. Q4 1:364:053rd & 11 at HOU 34BUF 36–31J.Allen pass deep middle to J.Palmer for 34 yards, TOUCHDOWN. TWO-POINT CONVERSION ATTEMPT. J.Allen pass to K.Coleman is incomplete. ATTEMPT FAILS.—68.5¢→68.5¢
  22. Q4 1:484:042nd & 11 at HOU 34J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to J.Palmer.—68.5¢→68.5¢
  23. Q4 1:484:03Timeout #1 by HST at 01:48.
  24. Q4 1:534:031st & 10 at HOU 33J.Cook up the middle to HST 34 for -1 yards (A.Al-Shaair).BUF +12¢56.5¢→68.5¢
  25. Q4 2:004:021st & 10 at BUF 32J.Allen pass short right to D.Kincaid pushed ob at HST 33 for 35 yards (J.Pitre).BUF +4¢52.5¢→56.5¢
  26. Q4 2:003:59Two-Minute Warning
  27. Q4 2:063:592nd & 3 at BUF 26J.Allen pass short right to J.Cook ran ob at BUF 32 for 6 yards (D.Stingley).—52.5¢→52.5¢
  28. Q4 2:203:58Official Timeout at 02:20.
  29. Q4 2:343:561st & 10 at BUF 19J.Allen pass short left to D.Knox to BUF 26 for 7 yards (K.Lassiter; H.To'oTo'o). HST-H.To'oTo'o was injured during the play.—33.5¢→33.5¢
  30. Q4 3:133:561st & 10 at BUF 4J.Cook left guard to BUF 16 for 12 yards (D.Stingley). FUMBLES (D.Stingley), recovered by BUF-O.Torrence at BUF 19.—33.5¢→33.5¢
  31. Texans drive3 plays, 1 yard, 2:26Punt
  32. Q4 3:243:544th & 9 at HOU 37K.Kroeger punts 59 yards to BUF 4, Center-A.Brinkman, downed by HST-J.Smith.—33.5¢→33.5¢
  33. Q4 4:103:543rd & 9 at HOU 37C.Stroud pass short left to D.Schultz to HST 37 for no gain (B.Chubb; C.Bishop) [E.Oliver].—33.5¢→33.5¢
  34. Q4 4:573:532nd & 7 at HOU 39B.Fisher reported in as eligible. D.Montgomery right end to HST 37 for -2 yards (D.Williams, E.Oliver).—33.5¢→33.5¢
  35. Q4 5:393:521st & 10 at HOU 36D.Montgomery left guard to HST 39 for 3 yards (B.Chubb; D.Williams).BUF −16¢49.5¢→33.5¢
  36. Bills drive3 plays, -2 yards, 1:05Punt
  37. Q4 5:453:514th & 12 at BUF 18T.Doman punts 46 yards to HST 36, Center-R.Ferguson, fair catch by J.Noel.—49.5¢→49.5¢
  38. Q4 5:503:503rd & 12 at BUF 18J.Allen pass incomplete short right to D.Moore (D.Hunter).—49.5¢→49.5¢
  39. Q4 5:563:502nd & 12 at BUF 18J.Allen pass incomplete deep left to D.Moore (K.Lassiter).—49.5¢→49.5¢
  40. Q4 6:383:491st & 10 at BUF 20J.Allen FUMBLES (Aborted) at BUF 18, and recovers at BUF 18.—49.5¢→49.5¢
  41. Q4 6:443:48K.Fairbairn kicks 64 yards from HST 35 to BUF 1. G.Dortch to BUF 20 for 19 yards (S.Harsh; D.Robinson).
  42. Texans drive7 plays, 26 yards, 3:47FG
  43. Q4 6:443:474th & 4 at BUF 39HOU 30–31K.Fairbairn 58 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-A.Brinkman, Holder-K.Kroeger.BUF −1¢50.5¢→49.5¢
  44. Q4 7:303:463rd & 6 at BUF 41C.Stroud pass short middle to N.Collins to BUF 39 for 2 yards (C.Benford).—50.5¢→50.5¢
  45. Q4 8:123:452nd & 12 at BUF 47C.Stroud pass short middle to N.Collins to BUF 41 for 6 yards (C.Benford).—50.5¢→50.5¢
  46. Q4 8:493:451st & 10 at BUF 45W.Marks up the middle to BUF 47 for -2 yards (D.Carter).BUF −5¢55.5¢→50.5¢
  47. Q4 9:283:443rd & 10 at HOU 35C.Stroud pass short middle to X.Hutchinson pushed ob at BUF 45 for 20 yards (M.Hairston).—55.5¢→55.5¢
  48. Q4 10:143:432nd & 20 at HOU 25W.Marks left guard to HST 35 for 10 yards (T.Bernard).—55.5¢→55.5¢
  49. Q4 10:223:422nd & 10 at HOU 35C.Stroud pass incomplete short right.PENALTY on HST-A.Ersery, Offensive Holding, 10 yards, enforced at HST 35 - No Play.—55.5¢→55.5¢
  50. Q4 10:263:411st & 10 at HOU 35C.Stroud pass incomplete deep left to N.Collins.—55.5¢→55.5¢
  51. Q4 10:313:41T.Bass kicks 58 yards from BUF 35 to HST 7. T.Smith to HST 35 for 28 yards (J.Hancock; J.Andreessen).
  52. Bills drive7 plays, 52 yards, 3:03FG
  53. Q4 10:313:38Official Timeout at 10:31.
  54. Q4 10:313:384th & 4 at HOU 14BUF 30–28T.Bass 33 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-R.Ferguson, Holder-T.Doman.—55.5¢→55.5¢
  55. Q4 10:413:373rd & 4 at HOU 14J.Allen pass incomplete short right to K.Shakir (S.Rankins).BUF +5¢50.5¢→55.5¢
  56. Q4 11:153:362nd & 7 at HOU 17J.Allen pass short left to J.Cook pushed ob at HST 14 for 3 yards (J.Pitre).—50.5¢→50.5¢
  57. Q4 11:583:351st & 10 at HOU 20J.Cook right guard to HST 17 for 3 yards (J.Pitre).—50.5¢→50.5¢
  58. Q4 12:443:353rd & 4 at BUF 40J.Allen pass deep right to D.Kincaid to HST 20 for 40 yards (C.Bullock).—50.5¢→50.5¢
  59. Q4 13:233:342nd & 10 at BUF 34J.Allen pass short middle to D.Kincaid to BUF 40 for 6 yards (R.Blankenship).—50.5¢→50.5¢
  60. Q4 13:293:331st & 10 at BUF 34J.Allen pass incomplete short right to J.Cook [J.Clowney].—50.5¢→50.5¢
  61. Q4 13:343:32K.Fairbairn kicks 60 yards from HST 35 to BUF 5. R.Davis pushed ob at BUF 34 for 29 yards (T.Smith).
  62. Texans drive13 plays, 72 yards, 5:50TD
  63. Q4 13:343:30Official Timeout at 13:34.
  64. Q4 13:343:292nd & Goal at BUF 7HOU 27–28C.Stroud pass short right to D.Montgomery for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN. K.Fairbairn extra point is GOOD, Center-A.Brinkman, Holder-K.Kroeger.—58.5¢→58.5¢
  65. Q4 14:173:281st & Goal at BUF 7B.Fisher reported in as eligible. D.Montgomery left guard to BUF 7 for no gain (D.Walker).—58.5¢→58.5¢
  66. Q4 15:003:271st & 10 at BUF 19C.Stroud pass short middle to J.Wayne to BUF 7 for 12 yards (C.Benford).BUF −6¢64.5¢→58.5¢
NFL Week 1 · Sun, Sep 13

Bills vs. Texans moneyline

Final

Trading has closed, so there's no price to buy.

Buffalo Bills at Houston Texans: moneyline on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket, observed between Sep 13, 12:22 PM and 5:13 PM ET
TeamAverageKalshiPolymarket USPolymarketSources
Buffalo Bills Settled YesAway–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled
Houston Texans Settled NoHome–KalshiSettledPolymarket USSettledPolymarketSettled

Kalshi: SettledPolymarket US: SettledPolymarket: Settled Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 13, 12:22 PM and 5:13 PM ET.

Price history · Kalshi daily closeSep 2 – Sep 12
404550556052%48%
BillsTexans

Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Sep 2 to Sep 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.

Spread & total · Kalshi

How the Bills vs. Texans spread and total settled

Kalshi's results for the lines either side of where each ladder settled.

Bills win by more than…

Spread ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
5+ ptsSettled Yes
6+ ptsSettled No
All 24 spread lines

Spread ladder, Kalshi: every line
Bills 2+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 3+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 4+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 5+ ptsSettled Yes
Bills 6+ ptsSettled No
Bills 7+ ptsSettled No
Bills 8+ ptsSettled No
Bills 10+ ptsSettled No
Bills 11+ ptsSettled No
Bills 14+ ptsSettled No
Bills 15+ ptsSettled No
Bills 17+ ptsSettled No
Texans 2+ ptsSettled No
Texans 3+ ptsSettled No
Texans 4+ ptsSettled No
Texans 5+ ptsSettled No
Texans 6+ ptsSettled No
Texans 7+ ptsSettled No
Texans 8+ ptsSettled No
Texans 10+ ptsSettled No
Texans 11+ ptsSettled No
Texans 14+ ptsSettled No
Texans 15+ ptsSettled No
Texans 17+ ptsSettled No
Total points over…

Total points ladder, Kalshi: the lines either side of where it settled
65.5Settled Yes
68.5Settled No
All 23 total lines

Total points ladder, Kalshi: every line
23.5Settled Yes
26.5Settled Yes
29.5Settled Yes
32.5Settled Yes
35.5Settled Yes
38.5Settled Yes
41.5Settled Yes
42.5Settled Yes
43.5Settled Yes
44.5Settled Yes
45.5Settled Yes
46.5Settled Yes
47.5Settled Yes
50.5Settled Yes
53.5Settled Yes
56.5Settled Yes
59.5Settled Yes
62.5Settled Yes
65.5Settled Yes
68.5Settled No
71.5Settled No
74.5Settled No
77.5Settled No

Settled Source: Kalshi via DeFi Rate, observed between Sep 13, 2:36 PM and 5:29 PM ET.

NFL Week 1 games 16 games

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Bills vs. Texans game stats

Team statBillsTexans
Final score3631
Total yards409381
Passing yards323257
Rushing yards86124
Turnovers02
Possession23:4336:17

Stat leaders: Passing, Josh Allen (20/29, 334 yards, 2 TD); rushing, David Montgomery (20 carries, 60 yards, 2 TD); receiving, Dalton Kincaid (5 receptions, 130 yards).

Source: ESPN game summary. Headline volume is the whole-game total across Kalshi, Polymarket US and Polymarket: every market we track on the game, each venue counted as the Game Center’s money note explains. Announcer-mention markets and parlays aren’t counted.

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Source: DraftKings Predictions / Gemini / Kalshi / Novig / Polymarket / Polymarket US / ProphetX / Rothera / Underdog Exchange via DeFi Rate: volume by category as of Nov 3, 12:30 PM ET.