Texans vs. Jaguars Prediction, Odds & Spread: Week 6 LondonThe Jaguars Have a Chance of 57% to Beat the Texans
Jacksonville escaped with a 19-17 win over Philadelphia on Sunday. Now 4-1, the Jaguars lead the AFC South and remain in London for a 9:30 a.m. ET kickoff against 1-4 Houston. The Texans snapped a season-opening four-game skid with a 26-3 victory over Tennessee. The Jaguars have a 57% chance to win this overseas divisional battle, while Kalshi has the spread at Jaguars −2.5.
About 3 in 5 (−130)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $175 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+130)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $227 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- KalshiBest price7% fee · bid 56¢58.7¢57¢ + fee$170per $100
- PolymarketOutside US5% fee · bid 56¢58.2¢57¢ + fee$172per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Jaguars by 2.8 with 42.4 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: JAX -3, total 42.5.
Texans vs. Jaguars moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and 1 more.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacksonville JaguarsHome · −130 | 57% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $175 | Kalshi57¢ | Polymarket USNo ask | Polymarket57¢ | Gemini57¢ | |
| Houston TexansAway · +130 | 44% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $227 | Kalshi44¢ | Polymarket USNo ask | Polymarket44¢ | Gemini44¢ |
Best prices to buy: Jacksonville at 57¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini; Houston at 44¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket and Gemini. Buying both costs $1.01 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $29K on Kalshi and $1K on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 5:09 PM and 5:10 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Jacksonville lost 4 points, to 57%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 6 to Oct 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Texans vs. Jaguars spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 4:21 PM and 5:10 PM ET.
Texans vs. Jaguars player props
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Woody MarksHOU | 50+ rushing yards | 50% | 51¢ | 51¢ |
| Nico CollinsHOU | Anytime touchdown | 34% | 36¢ | 68¢ |
| Foster MoreauHOU | Anytime touchdown | 6.5% | 7¢ | 94¢ |
| Dare OgunbowaleHOU | Anytime touchdown | 8% | 9¢ | 93¢ |
| Kayshon BoutteHOU | Anytime touchdown | 12% | 12¢ | 89¢ |
| Nico CollinsHOU | 70+ receiving yards | 53% | 55¢ | 49¢ |
| Woody MarksHOU | 15+ receiving yards | 48% | 50¢ | 54¢ |
| C.J. StroudHOU | 250+ passing yards | 54% | 55¢ | 47¢ |
| Trevor LawrenceJAC | 225+ passing yards | 51% | 51¢ | 50¢ |
| Josh CameronJAC | 15+ receiving yards | 54% | 55¢ | 47¢ |
| Jakobi MeyersJAC | Anytime touchdown | 20% | 22¢ | 82¢ |
| Brenton StrangeJAC | Anytime touchdown | 21% | 22¢ | 81¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Oct 13, 5:10 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
9:30 AM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 6 games 14 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETSEA SeahawksDEN BroncosSEA 58%
- Sun 9:30 AM ETThis gameHOU TexansJAC JaguarsJAC 56%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETBAL RavensCLE BrownsBAL 67%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCAR PanthersPHI EaglesPHI 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCHI BearsATL FalconsCHI 62%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNO SaintsNYG GiantsNO 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNYJ JetsNE PatriotsNE 75%
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- Sun 1:00 PM ETTEN TitansIND ColtsIND 75%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETARI CardinalsLAR RamsLAR 88%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETBUF BillsLV RaidersBUF 69%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETLAC ChargersKC ChiefsKC 79%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETDAL CowboysGB PackersGB 53%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersSF 49ersSF 78%
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