Chargers vs. Chiefs Prediction, Odds & Spread: Week 6The Chiefs Have a Chance of 79% to Defeat the Chargers
It's first against last in the AFC West. Kansas City is 4-0 coming off its bye, while the Chargers are 0-5 after losing 23-17 at home to Denver. Justin Herbert may be short of targets, with Quentin Johnston and Brenen Thompson out and Tre' Harris doubtful. The Chiefs are listed with a 79% chance to win, and Kalshi has the spread at Chiefs −8.5.
About 4 in 5 (−371)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $126 if correct, before fees.
About 1 in 5 (+376)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $476 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees includedRanked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Chiefs by 8.1 with 42.1 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: KC -8.5, total 42.5.
Chargers vs. Chiefs moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and 1 more.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas City ChiefsHome · −371 | 79% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $126 | Kalshi79¢ | Polymarket US79.3¢ | Polymarket79¢ | Gemini80¢ | |
| Los Angeles ChargersAway · +376 | 21% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $476 | Kalshi21¢ | Polymarket US21.3¢ | Polymarket22¢ | Gemini22¢ |
Best prices to buy: Kansas City at 79¢ on Kalshi and Polymarket; the Chargers at 21¢ on Kalshi. Buying both costs exactly the $1 payout: no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $29K on Kalshi, $4K on Polymarket US and $754 on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 2:57 PM and 3:06 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Kansas City lost 3 points, to 79%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 6 to Oct 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Chargers vs. Chiefs spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 28 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 2:07 PM and 3:06 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
4:25 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 6 games 9 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETSEA SeahawksDEN BroncosSEA 58%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCAR PanthersPHI EaglesPHI 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCHI BearsATL FalconsCHI 62%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETTEN TitansIND ColtsIND 75%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETARI CardinalsLAR RamsLAR 87%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETBUF BillsLV RaidersBUF 69%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETThis gameLAC ChargersKC ChiefsKC 79%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETDAL CowboysGB PackersGB 53%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersSF 49ersSF 78%
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