Jets vs. Patriots Prediction, Odds & Spread: Week 6The Patriots Have a Chance of 75% to Beat the Jets
New England's offense just put up 45 points in a win over Las Vegas. While dealing with injuries in the secondary, it didn't make much of a difference in a 28-point victory. The 3-2 Patriots have a 75% chance to beat the 2-3 Jets. Kalshi has the spread at Patriots −6.5. The Jets beat Cleveland 17-12 on Sunday, a game that was impacted by heavy rains at MetLife Stadium.
About 3 in 4 (−303)
Polymarket shows a last trade; Kalshi and Polymarket US and Gemini show a price to buy. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $132 if correct, before fees.
About 1 in 4 (+303)
Polymarket shows a last trade; Kalshi and Polymarket US and Gemini show a price to buy. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $400 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 75¢77.3¢76¢ + fee$129per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 75¢76.8¢75.5¢ + fee$130per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Patriots by 6.9 with 43.4 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: NE -7.5, total 43.5.
Jets vs. Patriots moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team, or the last trade where no one is selling. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and 1 more.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| New England PatriotsHome · −303 | 75% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $132 | Kalshi76¢ | Polymarket US75.5¢ | Polymarket76¢last trade | Gemini76¢ | |
| New York JetsAway · +303 | 25% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $400 | Kalshi25¢ | Polymarket US25¢ | Polymarket25¢last trade | Gemini27¢ |
Best prices to buy: New England at 75.5¢ on Polymarket US; the Jets at 25¢ on Kalshi and Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.005 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $25K on Kalshi, $835 on Polymarket US and $118 on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; the midpoint of Polymarket US's bid and ask; Polymarket's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 5:13 PM and 5:30 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, New England gained 2 points, to 76%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 6 to Oct 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Jets vs. Patriots spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 27 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 4:35 PM and 5:32 PM ET.
Jets vs. Patriots player props
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake MayeNE | Anytime touchdown | 17% | 21¢ | 88¢ |
| Rhamondre StevensonNE | Anytime touchdown | 49% | 60¢ | 54¢ |
| NE Patriots D/STNE | First touchdown | 6% | 11¢ | 99¢ |
| NE Patriots D/STNE | Anytime touchdown | 18% | 18¢ | 98¢ |
| Romeo DoubsNE | Anytime touchdown | 31% | 32¢ | 70¢ |
| Garrett WilsonNYJ | Anytime touchdown | 32% | 33¢ | 70¢ |
| Hunter HenryNE | Anytime touchdown | 32% | 33¢ | 70¢ |
| NY Jets D/STNYJ | First touchdown | 3% | 5¢ | 99¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Oct 13, 5:34 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
1:00 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 6 games 14 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETSEA SeahawksDEN BroncosSEA 58%
- Sun 9:30 AM ETHOU TexansJAC JaguarsJAC 56%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETBAL RavensCLE BrownsBAL 67%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCAR PanthersPHI EaglesPHI 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCHI BearsATL FalconsCHI 61%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNO SaintsNYG GiantsNO 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETThis gameNYJ JetsNE PatriotsNE 75%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETPIT SteelersTB BuccaneersPIT 56%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETTEN TitansIND ColtsIND 75%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETARI CardinalsLAR RamsLAR 88%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETBUF BillsLV RaidersBUF 69%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETLAC ChargersKC ChiefsKC 79%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETDAL CowboysGB PackersGB 53%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersSF 49ersSF 78%
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