Steelers vs. Buccaneers Prediction, Odds & Spread: Week 6The Steelers Have a 56% Chance to Defeat the Buccaneers
The 3-2 Steelers are favored on the road a week after beating Indianapolis 34-22. Pittsburgh has a 56% chance to win, and Kalshi has the spread at Steelers −2.5. The Buccaneers are 1-4 after a 24-16 win at Dallas. They may be without Baker Mayfield (thumb) once again, while the Steelers are missing running back Rico Dowdle (toe).
About 3 in 5 (−125)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $178 if correct, before fees.
About 2 in 5 (+125)
Prices to buy now. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $225 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 55¢57.7¢56¢ + fee$173per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 55.8¢57.7¢56¢ + fee$173per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Steelers by 2.6 with 39.9 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: PIT -2.5, total 40.5.
Steelers vs. Buccaneers moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and 1 more.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pittsburgh SteelersAway · −125 | 56% $100 on Kalshi at the ask pays $178 | Kalshi56¢ | Polymarket US56¢ | Polymarket56¢ | Gemini56¢ | |
| Tampa Bay BuccaneersHome · +125 | 44% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $225 | Kalshi45¢ | Polymarket US44.3¢ | Polymarket45¢ | Gemini45¢ |
Best prices to buy: Pittsburgh at 56¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and 1 more; Tampa Bay at 44.3¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $10K on Kalshi, $3K on Polymarket US and $3K on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; the midpoint of Polymarket's bid and ask; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 4:35 PM and 4:49 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Pittsburgh lost 2 points, to 56%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 6 to Oct 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Steelers vs. Buccaneers spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 3:45 PM and 4:48 PM ET.
Steelers vs. Buccaneers player props
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WarrenPIT | Anytime touchdown | 49% | 51¢ | 53¢ |
| Bucky IrvingTB | Anytime touchdown | 39% | 39¢ | 74¢ |
| Emeka EgbukaTB | Anytime touchdown | 30% | 30¢ | 84¢ |
| DK MetcalfPIT | Anytime touchdown | 34% | 34¢ | 80¢ |
| PIT Steelers D/STPIT | First touchdown | 3.5% | 6¢ | 99¢ |
| TB Buccaneers D/STTB | First touchdown | 3.5% | 6¢ | 99¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Oct 13, 4:49 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
1:00 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 6 games 13 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETSEA SeahawksDEN BroncosSEA 58%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETBAL RavensCLE BrownsBAL 67%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCAR PanthersPHI EaglesPHI 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCHI BearsATL FalconsCHI 62%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNO SaintsNYG GiantsNO 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNYJ JetsNE PatriotsNE 75%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETThis gamePIT SteelersTB BuccaneersPIT 56%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETTEN TitansIND ColtsIND 75%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETARI CardinalsLAR RamsLAR 88%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETBUF BillsLV RaidersBUF 69%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETLAC ChargersKC ChiefsKC 79%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETDAL CowboysGB PackersGB 52%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersSF 49ersSF 78%
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