Bears vs. Falcons Prediction, Odds & Spread: Week 6The Bears are a 62% favorite on the road against the Falcons
The Bears enter at 3-2 with the Falcons 2-3. Caleb Williams was out with a hamstring injury for Chicago's 31-7 loss at Green Bay but could return this week. Atlanta's Michael Penix Jr. is questionable with sore ribs after the Falcons' 30-23 overtime loss to Baltimore. Chicago has a 62% chance to win, with Kalshi's spread at Bears −3.5.
About 3 in 5 (−162)
Prices to buy. Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Oct 13, 1:12 PM ET) and may have moved.
About 2 in 5 (+162)
Prices to buy. Polymarket's quotes are stale (observed Oct 13, 1:12 PM ET) and may have moved.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 61¢63.7¢62¢ + fee$157per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 61.8¢63.6¢62¢ + fee$157per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Bears by 3.1 with 49.3 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: CHI -3, total 49.5.
Bears vs. Falcons moneyline odds
Best prices to buy: Chicago at 62¢ on Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini; Atlanta at 38.3¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $28K on Kalshi, $4K on Polymarket US and $200 on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; Polymarket's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 1:12 PM and 2:33 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Chicago gained 8 points, to 62%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 6 to Oct 12 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Bears vs. Falcons spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 25 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 13, 1:37 PM and 2:34 PM ET.
Bears vs. Falcons player props
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roschon JohnsonCHI | 2+ touchdowns | 2% | 3¢ | 99¢ |
| Zachariah BranchATL | 2+ touchdowns | 1% | 1¢ | – |
| Bijan RobinsonATL | 2+ touchdowns | 26% | 26¢ | 88¢ |
| Drake LondonATL | 2+ touchdowns | 7.5% | 11¢ | 96¢ |
| ATL Falcons D/STATL | First touchdown | 3% | 5¢ | 99¢ |
| Austin HooperATL | First touchdown | 1.5% | 2¢ | 99¢ |
| Brian RobinsonATL | 2+ touchdowns | 3.5% | 5¢ | 98¢ |
| Brian RobinsonATL | First touchdown | 4% | 6¢ | 98¢ |
| CHI Bears D/STCHI | First touchdown | 3.5% | 6¢ | 99¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Oct 13, 2:35 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
1:00 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 6 games 7 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETSEA SeahawksDEN BroncosSEA 58%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCAR PanthersPHI EaglesPHI 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETThis gameCHI BearsATL FalconsCHI 62%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETTEN TitansIND ColtsIND 75%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETLAC ChargersKC ChiefsKC 79%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETDAL CowboysGB PackersGB 53%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersSF 49ersSF 78%
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