Cowboys vs. Packers Prediction, Odds & Spread: SNF Week 6The Packers Have a 53% Chance of Defeating the Cowboys
The 3-2 Packers are barely favored over the 2-3 Cowboys for Sunday Night Football at Lambeau Field. Christian Watson caught six passes for 143 yards and two long touchdowns as Green Bay routed Chicago 31-7 on Sunday. Dallas is coming off a 24-16 home loss to Tampa Bay. Green Bay has a 53% chance to win. Kalshi has the spread at Packers −1.5 with the over/under listed at 52.5 total points.
About even (−114)
Polymarket shows a last trade; Kalshi and Polymarket US and Gemini show a price to buy. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $187 if correct, before fees.
About even (+113)
Polymarket shows a last trade; Kalshi and Polymarket US and Gemini show a price to buy. $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $212 if correct, before fees.
Kalshi's lines closest to a coin flip
Best price to buy
Fees included- Kalshi7% fee · bid 53¢55.7¢54¢ + fee$179per $100
- Polymarket USBest price6.95% fee · bid 53¢55¢53.3¢ + fee$182per $100
- PolymarketOutside US5% fee · bid 53¢55.2¢54¢ + fee$181per $100
Ranked by price with each venue’s taker fee on one contract. Polymarket’s international site isn’t open to US traders, so it’s never marked best.
Markets’ projected final
From the spread & totalThe Packers by 1.7 with 53 total points: the lines Kalshi’s spread and total markets price at even odds. Before the game: GB -1.5, total 53.5.
Cowboys vs. Packers moneyline odds
Prices to buy each team, or the last trade where no one is selling. Tap a price to open Kalshi, Polymarket US, Polymarket and 1 more.
| Team | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket US | Polymarket | Gemini | Sources |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay PackersHome · −114 | 53% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $187 | Kalshi54¢ | Polymarket US53.3¢ | Polymarket54¢last trade | Gemini54¢ | |
| Dallas CowboysAway · +113 | 47% $100 on Polymarket US at the ask pays $212 | Kalshi48¢ | Polymarket US47¢ | Polymarket48¢last trade | Gemini48¢ |
Best prices to buy: Green Bay at 53.3¢ on Polymarket US; Dallas at 47¢ on Polymarket US. Buying both costs $1.002 for a $1 payout, so there's no arbitrage. Traded in the past 24 hours: $22K on Kalshi, $4K on Polymarket US and $415 on Polymarket.
Kalshi: OpenPolymarket US: OpenPolymarket: OpenGemini: Open Average is the mean of each venue's price for the outcome, where it lists one: the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask; Polymarket US's displayed price; Polymarket's displayed price; the midpoint of Gemini's bid and ask. Source: Kalshi / Polymarket US / Polymarket / Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 14, 3:49 PM and 3:55 PM ET.
Over the past week on Kalshi, Green Bay gained 9 points, to 54%.
Source: Kalshi daily close via DeFi Rate, Oct 6 to Oct 13 (UTC days). A day without a close is left out.
Cowboys vs. Packers spread and over/under
Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini price a ladder of margins and totals: tap a price to buy that line. The line closest to a coin flip is tagged.
All 24 spread lines
All 19 total lines
Open Chance is the midpoint of Kalshi's bid and ask. Fair odds are that chance as American odds, before fees. Polymarket US lists one team’s spread both ways: an underdog line there is bought as No on the favorite’s line. Source: Kalshi, Polymarket US and Gemini via DeFi Rate, observed between Oct 14, 2:57 PM and 3:57 PM ET.
Cowboys vs. Packers player props
| Player | Prop | Chance | Yes | No |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian WatsonGB | Anytime touchdown | 43% | 43¢ | 58¢ |
| Ryan FlournoyDAL | Anytime touchdown | 18% | 18¢ | 83¢ |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | Anytime touchdown | 65% | 65¢ | 36¢ |
| Christian WatsonGB | 70+ receiving yards | 51% | 52¢ | 50¢ |
| Christian WatsonGB | First touchdown | 9% | 10¢ | 92¢ |
| MarShawn LloydGB | Anytime touchdown | 58% | 58¢ | 43¢ |
| Matthew GoldenGB | Anytime touchdown | 38% | 39¢ | 64¢ |
| Matthew GoldenGB | 65+ receiving yards | 50% | 51¢ | 51¢ |
| George PickensDAL | First touchdown | 7% | 8¢ | 94¢ |
| Tucker KraftGB | Anytime touchdown | 32% | 33¢ | 69¢ |
| Jake FergusonDAL | First touchdown | 4.5% | 5¢ | 96¢ |
| Javonte WilliamsDAL | First touchdown | 17% | 18¢ | 84¢ |
The busiest props on the game, each at the line priced closest to even. Chance: the midpoint of the bid and ask, or the last trade. Yes and No: the price to buy one contract that pays $1. Source: Kalshi via AllTop, observed Oct 14, 3:57 PM ET.
Live at kickoff
8:20 PM- Every play, with how the price moved on it
- The win chance, play by play, against ESPN’s model
- Live best prices on each venue, fees included
- Big bets as they land, and the money behind each side
- Quarter winners and player props as they settle
This page turns live by itself at kickoff; there’s no need to refresh.
NFL Week 6 games 14 games
- Thu 8:15 PM ETSEA SeahawksDEN BroncosSEA 57%
- Sun 9:30 AM ETHOU TexansJAC JaguarsJAC 56%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETBAL RavensCLE BrownsBAL 68%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCAR PanthersPHI EaglesPHI 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETCHI BearsATL FalconsCHI 53%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNO SaintsNYG GiantsNO 51%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETNYJ JetsNE PatriotsNE 75%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETPIT SteelersTB BuccaneersPIT 57%
- Sun 1:00 PM ETTEN TitansIND ColtsIND 75%
- Sun 4:05 PM ETARI CardinalsLAR RamsLAR 88%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETBUF BillsLV RaidersBUF 68%
- Sun 4:25 PM ETLAC ChargersKC ChiefsKC 79%
- Sun 8:20 PM ETThis gameDAL CowboysGB PackersGB 53%
- Mon 8:15 PM ETWAS CommandersSF 49ersSF 77%
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