Raiders vs. Saints Week 3 Odds & Predictions
Sunday NFL action brings Las Vegas to New Orleans in Week 3 on September 27, 2026 at 4:25 p.m. ET on CBS. Prediction markets currently make New Orleans the favorite at -153 (60.5% implied probability), while Las Vegas is priced at +153 (39.5%). The Raiders vs. Saints board compares exact full-game winner prices from available prediction markets, using volume-weighted pricing to show the consensus line, venue spreads and trading volume with hourly updates.
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Current Raiders vs. Saints Odds: New Orleans Favorite to Win
Current probabilities across platforms with liquidity indicators
NONew Orleans
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
60.5%↓ -0.5%
P
61.0%
U
61.0%
K
60.5%
LVLas Vegas
Vol —
Spread 0.5%
Agg
39.5%↑ +1.0%
K
39.5%
U
39.5%
P
39.0%
| Outcome | Aggregated | Spread | Volume | Kalshi | Polymarket | Polymarket US |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO New Orleans | 60.5% ↓ -0.5% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
60.5%
|
Polymarket
61.0%
|
Polymarket US
61.0%
|
LV Las Vegas | 39.5% ↑ +1.0% | 0.5% | — |
Kalshi
39.5%
|
Polymarket
39.0%
|
Polymarket US
39.5%
|
Week 3 line movement: Raiders vs. Saints
Hover for details · Cursor-synced tooltips
Tap "Chart settings" to adjust the chart.
Chart settings
Arbitrage Scanner
Current cross-venue opportunities with fee calculations
Pairs (Venue-to-Venue)
| Outcome | Venue Pair | Leg A (Buy) | Leg B (Sell) | Gross Spread | After Fees | Actionable | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO New Orleans |
Polymarket
→
Polymarket US | Buy @ P 42¢ | Sell @ U 60.5¢ | +18.50% | +18.50% |
Yes | |
LV Las Vegas |
Polymarket US
→
Kalshi | Buy @ U 39.5¢ | Sell @ K 38¢ | -1.50% | -1.88% |
No |
Outcome Diff
| Outcome A | Outcome B | Venue | A Odds | B Odds | Diff | Strategy | Trade Now |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NO New Orleans |
LV Las Vegas |
Polymarket | A 61.0% | B 39.0% | +22.00% | Buy spread | |
NO New Orleans |
LV Las Vegas |
Polymarket US | A 61.0% | B 39.5% | +21.50% | Buy spread | |
NO New Orleans |
LV Las Vegas |
Kalshi | A 60.5% | B 39.5% | +21.00% | Buy spread |
After-fee spreads apply the configured taker-fee model per side. Depth/slippage is not modeled in this scanner.
Methodology & Data Mapping
How we aggregate, normalize, and map cross-platform data
Default: Volume-Weighted Average Price (VWAP)
Weights each mapped market by its reported 24H USD volume at snapshot time. If volume is unavailable, we fall back to a simple average for that snapshot.
Use the VWAP/Simple toggle above the chart to switch aggregation views.
Kalshi: Official API (best bid/ask + last + 24H volume/liquidity when available).
Polymarket: Market data via their API (token prices + best bid/ask + 24H volume/liquidity when available).
Polymarket US: Gateway market data (yes/no prices + best bid/ask + market stats for volume/open interest where available).
Event data is updated hourly. Older history is downsampled.
Each event links one or more markets per provider. We normalize labels, map provider outcomes into a shared outcome list, and merge mapped markets where appropriate.
Cross-venue spread: Max–min difference across available venue probabilities for the same outcome.
Liquidity: Relative per-venue indicators based on provider liquidity fields (no depth/slippage modeling).
Arbitrage: Computed from best bid/ask when available (otherwise mid); after-fee spread applies the configured fee model only.
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