Todd Blanche Won the Next Attorney General MarketKalshi settled on Todd Blanche
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Who will be Trump's next Attorney General?
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| Outcome | Average | Kalshi | Polymarket | Sources | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Todd Blanche Settled Yes | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Eric Schmitt Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Harmeet Dhillon Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Jay Clayton Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Jeanine Pirro Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Ken Paxton Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Lee Zeldin Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Matt Gaetz Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Mike Lee Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Ron DeSantis Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Ted Cruz Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketClosed | ||
| No Announcement by June 30 Closed | – | KalshiNot listed | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Jeff Clark Closed | – | KalshiNot listed | PolymarketClosed | ||
| Andrew Bailey Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Aileen Cannon Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Alina Habba Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Ashley Moody Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Ed Martin Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Jeff Jensen Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Jason Miyares Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Matt Whitaker Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| No one Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Robert Giuffra Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Rudy Giuliani Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
| Yaakov Roth Settled No | – | KalshiSettled | PolymarketNot listed | ||
Kalshi: SettledPolymarket: Closed Source: Kalshi / Polymarket via DeFi Rate, observed between Jun 4, 3:10 AM ET and Aug 8, 6:14 PM ET.
Event timeline
- April 2, 2026: Pam Bondi left the role and Blanche became acting Attorney General.
- June 2026: announcement-based Polymarket contracts resolved to Blanche.
- August 8, 2026: the Senate confirmed Blanche as Attorney General, 50–49.
- August 9, 2026 UTC: Kalshi finalized its next-AG event with Todd Blanche as the winning outcome.
Final result: Todd Blanche became Attorney General
Todd Blanche won the next Attorney General prediction market. The U.S. Senate confirmed Blanche on August 8, 2026, by a 50–49 vote, moving him from acting Attorney General to the permanent role.
DeFi Rate recorded more than $13 million in tracked trading volume across the Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini contracts included on this page. That is a historical floor based on the first-party exchange totals available to us, rather than a claim that every related contract was captured.
How the markets resolved
The exchanges asked similar questions but used different payout triggers. Polymarket’s announcement-by-June-30 market resolved to Todd Blanche in June after Trump named his choice. Kalshi’s main market stayed open because its rules required the first new person to become Attorney General; acting or interim service did not count.
Kalshi finalized Todd Blanche as the winning outcome after the Senate confirmation on August 8. Gemini’s next-AG market also settled with Blanche as the winner. The final 100% and 0% prices shown above are settlement results, not live forecasts.
What the market showed
Lee Zeldin led early trading while the no-announcement outcome gained support during the spring. Blanche, who became acting Attorney General on April 2, initially traded behind Zeldin because acting service did not satisfy the principal contracts’ permanent-office rules.
The market changed once Trump selected Blanche and the nomination advanced. Traders ultimately converged on Blanche, and the Senate vote supplied the final trigger for the contracts that required him to take the office rather than merely be announced.
More than $13M traded on Next Attorney General
- Kalshi: approximately $11.84 million in displayed contract volume across the finalized event markets.
- Polymarket: approximately $1.15 million in cumulative trading volume across the mapped announcement markets.
- Gemini: approximately $65,600 in displayed volume on its settled next-AG market.
- Combined tracked total: more than $13 million.
Source: DeFi Rate aggregation of first-party exchange data from Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini. Venue totals can use different reporting conventions, so the figure is best read as the amount recorded across the markets on this page, not as a standardized cash-notional measure.
Contract rules
- Kalshi: resolved to the first new person to become Attorney General before January 20, 2029. Acting and interim officeholders did not qualify.
- Polymarket: the mapped basket resolved according to the first person Trump announced as his next Attorney General, with a June 30, 2026 deadline.
- Gemini: its settled market asked who would be Trump’s next Attorney General before January 20, 2029.
FAQ
- Who won the next Attorney General prediction market?
Todd Blanche won. The U.S. Senate confirmed him as Attorney General on August 8, 2026, by a 50–49 vote.
- When did Todd Blanche become Attorney General?
Blanche moved from acting Attorney General to the permanent role after the Senate confirmed his nomination on August 8, 2026.
- How much was traded on the next Attorney General markets?
DeFi Rate recorded more than $13 million in combined tracked volume across the Kalshi, Polymarket, and Gemini markets included on this page. The figure is a historical floor based on the first-party totals available to us.
- Why did the markets resolve at different times?
The contracts used different payout rules. Polymarket’s announcement-based markets could resolve when Trump named his choice, while the principal Kalshi market required the first new person to become Attorney General. Acting service alone did not satisfy that Kalshi rule.
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