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Amid push for market integrity transparency, Kalshi sanctioned former California gubernatorial candidate and trader linked to MrBeast markets in insider trading enforcement disclosure.

Polymarket posted a disclaimer about a “technical exploit that may be artificially distorting prices,” highlighting risks in hybrid central limit order book (CLOB) and on-chain settlement design.

DimeTrades applied for CFTC designation as a regulated prediction market exchange with Polymarket’s clearing, backed by a team with deep experience in derivatives regulation and market surveillance.

From Trump’s water intake to whether he’ll say “discombobulator,” prediction markets have left no stone unturned.

Everything you can trade on Kalshi and Polymarket for the State of the Union, from mentions and attendance to how long Trump speaks, in the largest political speech markets yet.

We found average hit rate, historical trends, and what two experts have to say about Trump mention markets heading into the State of the Union address.

Weekly notional volume across prediction market platforms dipped 1.4% to $5.25 billion for Feb. 16–22. Kalshi jumped 6.7% to $2.59 billion as Polymarket slid 3.2% WoW to $1.83 billion.

Policy intelligence firm FiscalNote laid out political prediction market plans in an SEC filing, naming Dr. Laila Mintas as a strategic adviser.

Kalshi data will appear in Tradeweb first, and direct trading could let fixed-income desks hedge binary political and policy risks without synthetic workarounds.

Fed economists find Kalshi’s macro markets to be helpful complementary real-time forecasting tools, as CEPR research highlights pricing bias concerns that require careful interpretation.

NYSE President Lynn Martin said prediction markets have become an input to traditional markets, citing S&P futures moving with Polymarket on 2024 election night.

Polymarket US is rolling out public APIs and permissionless liquidity rewards to encourage deeper liquidity, tighter spreads, and more institutional participation. But there are tradeoffs.

A Pantera-led round values Novig as it pivots from a sweepstakes sports betting exchange to federally regulated prediction markets.

Bitwise filed with the SEC to launch 2028 US election ETFs under its new PredictionShares brand, joining Roundhill and GraniteShares in the race to bring political outcome contracts to NYSE Arca.

Robinhood Ventures Fund I gives retail investors access to Stripe, Databricks and other private companies. A breakdown of its fees, risks and how it compares to ARK and DXYZ.

After posting a $667M quarterly loss, Coinbase is scrapping its social push and doubling down on stocks, ETFs and prediction markets to compete as an all-in-one trading exchange.

NBA Commissioner Adam Silver told reporters during All-Star Weekend the league is “paying enormous amount of attention” to prediction markets following Giannis Antetokounmpo’s investment in Kalshi.

Vitalik Buterin warns prediction markets risk becoming speculative “corposlop,” urging a shift toward hedging and long-term financial utility.

DraftKings' CEO confirmed plans to invest heavily in prediction markets, Railbird and a market making arm, as shares fell on guidance concerns after its fourth-quarter call.

CFTC Chair Selig taps 35 crypto, finance, and prediction market leaders for advisory committee. Coinbase, Robinhood, Nasdaq, CME Group, Uniswap, and Solana also among those named.