DeFi Rate authorPat Evans
Stories by Pat Evans
101–120 of 145, newest first
- Trump’s Primary Wave Hits Texas Senate Runoff but Markets Still See Democratic Senate Path
Trump's endorsement pushed Ken Paxton to dominant odds in the Texas Senate runoff, as in Louisiana and Kentucky, while Senate markets still show a possible Democratic path.
- Senate Sports Betting Integrity Hearing Scrutinizes Prediction Markets
Senators discussed sports prediction markets during a hearing on betting integrity, youth protection and the limits of CFTC oversight.
- Trump’s Paxton Endorsement Has Prediction Markets Treating Texas Senate Runoff as a Done Deal
Ken Paxton odds surged to 94% in the Texas Senate GOP primary following President Donald Trump’s endorsement.
- GOP Turns Prime Georgia Senate Pickup Into a Primary Mess as Ossoff Holds Strong
A three-way Republican battle in the Georgia Senate primary has prediction markets breaking heavily for Democratic sitting Sen. Jon Ossoff.
- Markets Flip on Massie Ahead of KY-04 Vote: Can Trump-Backed Gallrein Pull Off Upset?
After Sen. Bill Cassidy lost his Louisiana primary, markets turned against Rep. Thomas Massie ahead of his Kentucky primary against Trump-backed Ed Gallrein.
- Louisiana Senate Markets Turn on Cassidy as Trump-Backed Letlow Gains Ground
Trump-backed Julia Letlow is the clear favorite over incumbent Sen. Bill Cassidy on prediction markets in the Louisiana GOP Senate race.
- Markets Aren’t Buying AOC‑Backed Rabb Surge in PA-03 Democratic House Primary
Prediction markets favor state Sen. Sharif Street in Philadelphia's open-seat Democratic primary over AOC-backed Chris Rabb and poll leader Ala Stanford.
- Kentucky GOP House Primary Odds Briefly Flip to Gallrein After Massie Scandal
Prediction markets briefly flipped to favor Trump-backed Ed Gallrein over Rep. Thomas Massie in Kentucky's 4th District primary after a former girlfriend's allegations.
- Prediction Markets in Tail End of ‘Wild West Stage’ Says Veteran Gaming Lawyer
Veteran gaming lawyer Stephen Piepgrass says prediction markets are nearing the end of their “Wild West” era under a “nimble” CFTC with a “perfect storm” for a Supreme Court battle brewing.
- Markets Not Buying Dan Osborn Nebraska Upset Story Despite Tight Polls
Dan Osborn polls tied with Pete Ricketts in Nebraska Senate race, but prediction markets are not buying his story.
- Roy Cooper Is Making Prediction Markets Forget North Carolina Is Republican Territory
Former Democratic Gov. Roy Cooper has a sizeable lead in both polls and prediction markets in a state that has leaned Republican.
- Rob Sand Pushes Iowa Governor Odds Toward Democrats
Prediction markets are pricing Democrat Rob Sand as a real favorite in deep-red Iowa in the 2026 governor race.
- Coinbase Prediction Markets Hit $100M Annualized Revenue Amid Crypto Slump in Q1
Coinbase missed revenue estimates on softer crypto trading, but its prediction markets product became one of its fastest-growing businesses within months of launch.
- Reality Star Spencer Pratt Emerges as Real Contender in LA Mayor Markets
Prediction markets now treat Spencer Pratt as a real contender for Los Angeles mayor after he blamed Mayor Karen Bass for the Palisades fire in a debate.
- Ohio Governor Markets Leaning Blue Despite Ramaswamy Win in GOP Primary
Vivek Ramaswamy won the Republican Primary for the Ohio governor race, but prediction markets still favor Democrat Amy Acton.
- Becerra Surges in California Governor Odds as Ballots Hit Mailboxes
Xavier Becerra took the lead on Kalshi in the California governor race as ballots went out, after a poll showed him tied with Republican Steve Hilton.
- Georgia Governor Primary Odds Favor Bottoms, Jackson as Polls Lag
Prediction markets favor Keisha Lance Bottoms and Rick Jackson in Georgia’s governor primaries, even as polls show more uncertainty on the GOP side.
- Markets Buck Texas Senate Polls, Favor Paxton and GOP Edge
Markets favor Ken Paxton over Sen. John Cornyn in the Texas Republican runoff and still expect a Republican win, even as polls show James Talarico competitive.
- Markets Favor El-Sayed in Michigan Democratic Senate Primary as Polls Stay Split
Polls show a three-way race for Michigan's Democratic Senate nomination, but prediction markets make Abdul El-Sayed a slight favorite over Mallory McMorrow and Haley Stevens.
- How Prediction Markets Saw the Platner Surge and Mills Exit in Maine Ahead of Polls
Kalshi and Polymarket had Graham Platner as the clear Maine Democratic Senate favorite long before Gov. Janet Mills suspended her campaign, while polls lagged.