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NFL prediction market volume reached at least $1.035 billion from Sept. 7-13, with Kalshi accounting for $983.36 million as regular-season trading spread across the Week 1 slate.
The American Gaming Association opposed the CFTC's request to block New York's enforcement against prediction markets, a case over state versus federal authority.
Prediction markets moved to near-certainty on a September Fed rate hike after core inflation came in hotter than expected, and Polymarket US listed contracts on the meeting.
The first game of the 2026 regular season nearly quadrupled the Kalshi volume generated by last year’s opener, pushing reported volume across three operators above $111 million.
DeFi Rate forecasts Kalshi's NFL trading volume for the season will far exceed last year's, modeling how volume builds week by week rather than extending current growth.
Kalshi prices on whether Tarik Skubal and Luis Arraez will be traded before the MLB deadline, plus how the variable new-user bonus with promo code RATE works.
With one day still to trade, Kalshi had already beaten its weekly volume record, driven by World Cup matches, and was on track for its first eight-billion-dollar week.
Kalshi launched a free World Cup contest whose prize pool is shared among eligible entrants who correctly pick the champion, with tickets to the final also on offer.
DeFi Rate projects the World Cup will draw billions in US prediction market volume, most of it on Kalshi, with the tournament winner contract outpacing March Madness.
Kalshi's PGA Championship markets drew heavy volume by Day 1, led by the outright winner market, and Scottie Scheffler remains the favorite on every prediction market.
Polymarket and Kalshi have opened markets on the World Cup Final halftime show. The volume won’t match the Super Bowl, but the numbers won’t be a footnote either.
The CFTC registered Gemini affiliate Olympus as a clearinghouse, letting Gemini clear its prediction markets in-house and run both the exchange and clearing.
Kalshi and Polymarket Oscar odds by category, with One Battle After Another leading Best Picture, Sean Penn favored for Supporting Actor and Best Actor still moving.
After US and Israeli strikes on Iran, Kalshi halted its Khamenei contracts and issued reimbursements, while Polymarket's offshore contract entered a second dispute.
Kalshi’s mention market on Trump’s speech took in 391,165 trades over 46 days of live markets . 79% of the money showed up on speech night for a total of 11.97 million in lifetime value.